Author: Its real ALPHA
Receivables Subsidy : Pain point

Protected: Alpha Electric Portfolio — 19-feb-2023
Protected: Positional Stocks – 19-Feb-23
You learn more after marriage!!

So simple yet so deep message!!
Deals, Mergers, acquisitions look lucrative but actuality comes when its done. Similarly as an investor you learn more about a company after buying a good quantity of shares. You have skin in the game once you do that.
I believe in this concept from Day1 , only advantage we have is we can divorce a stock
Travel bookings

Enablers for location intelligence

Mega trend : Geospatial Analytics

Pre pandemic level on shipping costs

With inflation still high and central bank rates set to rise further, demand is expected to remain weak for the rest of the year.
Shipping group Maersk predicts that demand for containers — a proxy for trade — will fall by 2.5 per cent this year.
The S&P monthly survey of purchasing managers indicated that new export orders contracted across the world throughout the second half of last year and in January. Last month, the IMF forecast that global trade growth would decline to 2.4 per cent this year, from 5.4 per cent in 2022.
Indian Dental industry

Eyes and Brain

EV Chargers

Lab grown vs Natural Diamonds

Green hydrogen in India

Air travel Market

Time time ki baat hai !! Layoffs

Startup success : Its multidimensional
Circular economy : Mega Trend

Recycle, Reduce, reuse, green products, carbon footprint
FED RATES will come down!!

Biggest moat!!

Protected: Premium Stocks : 4-Feb-23
We dont spend easily : Its costly

Roller coaster from pasts

Amrit Kaal : Saptarishi-7

Adani Saga getting bigger!!
History rhymes


Green Hydrogen Mission

Question of the day : Budget candle
Bank Credit to MSME

Response to response to response : Adani vs Hindenburg : Undying Saga
Step1
Step 2
Step 3
413 page response by Adani

Gist of response here
Step 4
Hindenburg response to Adani group here
City gas distribution (CGD) Demand



To understand better on the stock, follow below links
Protected: Positional Stocks – 29-Jan-23
Rarest of rare event : How bad was 2022


Pomodoro Technique
The Pomodoro Technique is very popular. The steps are easy:
- Select one task on which you will focus.
- Set a timer for about 25 minutes.
- Get to work on your project.
- When the timer goes off, take a quick break.
- Repeat this cycle.
- After a few repetitions, take a more extended break.
Answers to Qs of Adani
1937 stage : World war III
Just wrong by 1 digit!!

Questions to Adani
https://hindenburgresearch.com/adani/ –full report here
Answers by Adani to report here
Snippets of report –focus is questions
Given Gautam Adani’s claims to welcome criticism and embrace transparency, we hope the Adani Group will be pleased to answer the following 88 questions:
- Gautam Adani’s younger brother, Rajesh Adani, was accused by the Directorate of Revenue Intelligence (DRI) of playing a central role in a diamond trading import/export scheme around 2004-2005. He was subsequently arrested twice over allegations of customs tax evasion, forging import documentation and illegal coal imports. Given his history, why was he subsequently promoted to serve as Managing Director at the Adani Group?
- Gautam Adani’s brother-in-law, Samir Vora, was accused by the DRI of being a ringleader of a diamond trading scam and of repeatedly making false statements to regulators. Given his history, why was he subsequently promoted to Executive Director of the critical Adani Australia division?
- As part of the DRI investigation into over-invoicing of power imports, Adani claimed that Vinod Adani was “not at all having any involvement in any Adani Group of companies”, except as shareholder. Despite this claim, a pre-IPO prospectus for Adani Power from 2009 detailed that Vinod was director of at least 6 Adani Group companies. Were Adani’s original statements about Vinod, made to regulators, false?
- What has been the full extent of Vinod Adani’s role in the Adani Group to date, including all roles on deals and entities that have transacted with the Adani Group?
- Mauritius-based entities like APMS Investment Fund, Cresta Fund, LTS Investment Fund, Elara India Opportunities Fund, and Opal Investments collectively and almost exclusively hold shares in Adani-listed companies, totaling almost U.S. $8 billion. Given that these entities are key public shareholders in Adani, what is the original source of funds for their investments in Adani companies?
- Recent right-to-information requests confirm that SEBI is investigating Adani’s foreign fund stock ownership. Can Adani confirm that this investigation is ongoing and provide details on the status of that investigation?
- What information has been provided thus far as part of any investigations, and to which regulators?
- Entities associated with Monterosa Investment Holdings collectively own at least U.S. $4.5 billion in concentrated holdings of Adani Stock. Monterosa’s CEO served as director in 3 companies alongside fugitive diamond merchant Jatin Mehta, whose son is married to Vinod Adani’s daughter. What is the full extent of the relationship between Monterosa, its funds, and the Adani family?
- What is the extent of the Adani Group Companies, and any Vinod Adani related entities’ dealings with Jatin Mehta?
- A once-related party entity of Adani called Gudami International, headed by close Adani associate Chang Chung-Ling, invested heavily in one of the Monterosa funds that allocated to Adani Enterprises and Adani Power. Monterosa entities continue as key Mauritius shareholders in Adani companies. What is Adani’s explanation for this large, concentrated investment into Adani listed companies by a related-party entity?
- What was the original source of funds for each of the Monterosa funds and their investments in Adani?
- A former trader for Elara, a firm with almost $3 billion in concentrated holdings of Adani shares, including a fund that is 99% concentrated in shares of Adani, told us that it is obvious that Adani controls the shares. He added that the structure of the funds is intentionally designed to conceal their beneficial ownership. How does Adani respond?
- Leaked emails show that the CEO of Elara had dealings with notorious stock manipulator Dharmesh Doshi, partner of Ketan Parekh, even after Doshi became a fugitive for his alleged manipulation activity. How does Adani respond to this relationship, given that Elara is one of the largest “public” holders of shares of Adani?
- What was the original source of funds for the Elara funds and their investments in Adani?
- Adani has worked extensively with international incorporation firm Amicorp, which has established at least 7 of its promoter entities, at least 17 offshore shells and entities associated with Vinod Adani, and at least 3 Mauritius-based offshore shareholders of Adani stock. Amicorp played a key role in the 1MDB international fraud scandal, according to the book Billion Dollar Whale and U.S. legal case files, along with files from the Malaysian anti-corruption commission. Why has Adani continued to work closely with Amicorp despite its proximity to a major international fraud and money laundering scandal?
- New Leaina is a Cyprus-based investment firm, which held ~95% of its holdings in shares of Adani listed companies, consisting of over U.S. $420 million. The entity is operated by Amicorp. What was the original source of funds for New Leaina and its investments in Adani?
- Opal Investment Private Ltd. is the largest claimed independent holder of shares of Adani Power, with 4.69% of the company (representing ~19% of the float). It was formed on the same day, in the same jurisdiction (Mauritius) by the same small incorporation firm (Trustlink) as an entity associated with Vinod Adani. How does Adani explain this?
- What was the original source of funds for Opal and its investments in Adani?
- Trustlink’s CEO touts its close relationship with Adani. The same Trustlink CEO was previously alleged by the DRI to have been involved in a fraud using shell companies with Adani. What are the full details of Trustlink’s CEO’s dealings with the Adani Group, including those detailed in the DRI investigative records?
- The above-named offshore entities holding concentrated positions in Adani stock accounted for up to 30%-47% of the yearly delivery volume in Adani stocks, a massive irregularity, according to our analysis of data from Indian exchanges and disclosed trading volume per Adani filings. How does Adani explain the extreme trading volume from this concentrated group of opaque offshore funds?
- The nature of this trading suggests that these entities are involved in manipulative wash trading or other forms of manipulative trading. How does Adani respond?
- In 2019, Adani Green Energy completed two offerings for sale (OFS) that were critical for ensuring that its public shareholders were above the 25% listing threshold requirement. What portion of these OFS deals were sold to offshore entities, including Mauritius and Cypriot entities named in our report?
- Indian listed corporates receive a weekly shareholding update, not disclosed to the public, which would detail the shareholding changes around the deals. Will Adani detail the full list of offshore entities that participated in the OFS deals?
- Adani chose Monarch Networth Capital to run the OFS offerings. An Adani private company has a small ownership stake in Monarch, and Gautam Adani’s brother-in-law had previously purchased an airline together with the firm. This close relationship seems to pose an obvious conflict of interest. How does Adani respond?
- Why did Adani choose Monarch Networth Capital, a small firm previously suspended and sanctioned by SEBI over allegations of market manipulation, to run the offerings, rather than a large, well-respected broker?
- Mr. Robbie Singh, Group CFO at the time the shareholding issue erupted in public forums in 2021, claimed in an NDTV interview on June 16th 2021 that funds like the Mauritius shareholders had not made fresh investments and had come to own shares of other Adani stocks through vertical demergers. Our analysis shows that it was almost certain that the Mauritius shareholders made further investments in Adani Green. This coincides with the time when the promoters were required to bring their shareholding down to meet public shareholding norms. How does Adani Group respond to this new evidence?
- Our findings indicate that SEBI has investigated and prosecuted more than 70 entities and individuals, including Adani promoters, for manipulating Adani stock between 1999 to 2005. How does Adani respond?
- A SEBI ruling determined that Adani promoters aided and abetted Ketan Parekh in the manipulation of shares of Adani Exports (now Adani Enterprises), showing that 14 Adani private companies transferred shares to entities controlled by Parekh. How does Adani explain this coordinated, systematic stock manipulation in its shares, together with one of India’s most notorious convicted stock fraudsters?
- In its defense, Adani Group claimed it had dealt with Parekh and his stock manipulation efforts to finance operations at the Mundra port. Does Adani view extraction of capital through stock manipulation as a legitimate method of financing?
- Individuals close to Ketan Parekh have told us that he continues to work on transactions with his old clients, including Adani. What was and is the full extent of the relationship between Parekh and the Adani Group, including either entity’s relationship with Vinod Adani?
- Given that Adani Group promoters pledge shares as collateral for loans, wouldn’t stock manipulation artificially inflate the collateral and borrowing base for such loans, posing a significant risk for the promoters’ counterparties and, by proxy, Adani shareholders who would suffer at the hands of a collateral call or deleveraging via equity sale?
- In 2007, an Economic Times article described a deal whereby a brokerage controlled by Dharmesh Doshi, a fugitive associated with Ketan Parekh, bought shares in a pharmaceutical company for a BVI entity where Vinod Adani served as shareholder and director. What was and is the full extent of the relationship between Dharmesh Doshi and the Adani Group, including with Vinod Adani?
- What is the explanation for a Vinod Adani entity receiving an alleged U.S. $1 million as part of a transaction with Jermyn Capital, the brokerage entity previously run by Dharmesh Doshi, at the time a fugitive and wanted market manipulator?
- Investors generally prefer clean and simple corporate structures to avoid the conflicts of interest and accounting discrepancies that can lurk in sprawling, convoluted structures. Adani’s 7 key listed entities collectively have 578 subsidiaries and have engaged in a total of 6,025 separate related-party transactions in fiscal year 2022 alone, per BSE disclosures. Why has Adani chosen such a convoluted, interlinked corporate structure?
- We found at least 38 Mauritius-based entities associated with Vinod Adani and Subir Mittra (the head of the Adani private family office). We also found Vinod Adani associated entities in other tax haven jurisdictions like Cyprus, the UAE, Singapore, and various Caribbean islands. Several of these entities have transacted with Adani entities without disclosing the related party nature of the dealings, seemingly in violation of the law, as evidenced throughout our report. What is the explanation for this?
- How many entities is Vinod Adani associated with as either director, shareholder, or beneficial owner? What are the names and jurisdictions of these entities?
- What are the full details of the Vinod Adani-associated entities’ dealings with private and listed entities in the Adani empire?
- We found websites for 13 Vinod Adani entities that seem like rudimentary efforts to demonstrate that the entities have operations. Many websites were formed on the exact same day and listed the same set of nonsensical services such as “consumption abroad” and “commercial presence”. What business or operations do each of these entities actually engage in?
- One of the websites for a Vinod Adani-associated entity claimed “we trade in Services such as sale and delivery of an intangible product, like a Service, between a producer and consumer.” What does that even mean?
- A Vinod Adani-controlled Mauritius entity now called Krunal Trade & Investment lent INR 11.71 billion (U.S. ~$253 million) to a private Adani entity without disclosure of it being a related party loan. How does Adani explain this?
- A Vinod Adani-controlled UAE entity called Emerging Market Investment DMCC lists no employees on LinkedIn, has no substantive online presence, has announced no clients or deals, and is based out of an apartment in the UAE. It lent U.S. $1 billion to an Adani Power subsidiary. What was the source of the Emerging Market Investment DMCC funds?
- A Vinod Adani-controlled Cyprus entity called Vakoder Investments has no signs of employees, no substantive online presence, and no clear operations. It had an investment of U.S. ~$85 million in an Adani private entity without disclosure that it was a related party. How does Adani explain this?
- What was the source of the Vakoder funds?
- We have identified a series of transactions from 2013-2015 whereby assets were transferred from a subsidiary of listed Adani Enterprises to a private Singaporean entity controlled by Vinod Adani, without disclosure of the related party nature of these deals. What is the explanation for these transactions and the lack of disclosure?
- The private Singaporean entity controlled by Vinod Adani almost immediately wrote down the value of the transferred assets. Were those still held on the books of Adani Enterprises, it likely would have resulted in an impairment and significant decline in reported net income. What is the explanation for why these assets were transferred to a private undisclosed related party before being written down?
- We found that a “silver bar” merchant based at a residence with no website and no obvious signs of operations, run by a current and former Adani director, lent INR 15 billion (U.S. $202 million) to private Adani Infra with no disclosure of it being a related party transaction. What is the explanation for the lack of required disclosure?
- What was the purpose of the loan, and what was the original source of the “silver bar” merchant’s funds?
- Gardenia Trade and Investments is a Mauritius-based entity with no website, no employees on LinkedIn, no social media presence, and no apparent web presence. One of its directors is Subir Mittra, the head of the Adani private family office. The entity lent INR 51.4 billion (U.S. $692.5 million) to private Adani Infra with no disclosure of it being a related party loan. What is the explanation for the lack of required disclosure?
- What was the purpose of the loan, and what was the original source of the Gardenia Trade and Investments funds?
- Milestone Tradelinks, another claimed silver and gold merchant also run by a longstanding employee of the Adani Group and a former director of Adani companies, invested INR 7.5 billion (U.S. $101 million) into Adani Infra. Once again there was no disclosure of it being a related party loan. What is the explanation for the lack of required disclosure?
- What was the purpose of the loan, and what was the original source of the Milestone Tradelinks funds?
- Another secretive Mauritius entity called Growmore Trade and Investment netted an overnight U.S. ~$423 million gain through a stock merger with Adani Power. According to court records, Growmore is controlled by Chang Chung-Ling, an individual who shared a residential address with Vinod Adani and had been named in DRI fraud allegations as director of a key intermediary entity used to siphon funds out of Adani Enterprises. What is the explanation for this windfall gain to an opaque private entity controlled by a close associate of the Adani family?
- What is the nature of Chang Chung-Ling’s relationship with the Adani Group, including his relationship with Vinod Adani?
- Listed Adani companies have paid INR 63 billion to private contractor PMC Projects over the past 12 years to help construct major projects. A 2014 DRI investigation called PMC Projects a “dummy firm” for Adani Group. Given that constructing major projects is Adani’s business, is PMC Projects in fact just a “dummy firm”?
- PMC Projects has no current website. Historical captures for its website show that it shared an address and phone number with an Adani company. Numerous employee LinkedIn profiles show that they work concurrently at both. Several expressed confusion at whether there was any difference. Is PMC Projects a mere “dummy firm” for Adani?
- Newly revealed ownership records show that PMC Projects is owned by the son of Chang Chung-Ling, the close associate of Vinod Adani mentioned above. Taiwanese media reports that the son is “Adani Group’s Taiwan representative”. We found pictures of him literally holding an Adani sign at an official government event, where he represented Adani. Once again, is PMC projects a mere “dummy firm” for Adani, as earlier alleged by the government?
- If so, why hasn’t either company reported its extensive dealings as being related party transactions, as required?
- In FY20, AdiCorp Enterprises only generated INR 6.9 million (U.S. $97,000) in net profit. That same year, 4 Adani Group companies entities lent it U.S. ~$87.4 million, or more than 900 years of AdiCorp net income. These loans seemed to make little financial sense. What was the underwriting process and business rationale that went into making these loans?
- AdiCorp almost immediately re-lent 98% of those loans to listed Adani Power. Was AdiCorp simply used as a conduit to surreptitiously move funds into Adani Power from other Adani Group entities and side-step related party norms?
- Why have listed Adani companies paid private Adani entity “Adani Infrastructure Management Services” INR 21.1 billion (U.S. $260 million) over the past 5 years, given that the listed companies’ business is also managing infrastructure?
- Listed company Adani Enterprises paid U.S. $100 million to a company, ultimately held by private trust of the Adani family in the British Virgin Islands (BVI), a notorious Caribbean tax haven, with the claimed rationale being to pay a security deposit to use an Australian coal terminal. Why did the listed company need to pay such lucrative fees to Adani’s private interests?
- Adani Enterprises has had 5 chief financial officers over the course of 8 years, a key red flag suggesting potential accounting irregularities. Why has Adani Enterprises had such a difficult time retaining someone for its top financial position?
- What were the reasons for the resignations or terminations each of these prior CFOs?
- Adani Green Energy, Adani Ports and Adani Power have each had 3 CFOs over 5 years, while Adani Gas and Adani Transmission have both had CFO turnover within the past 4 years. Why have Adani entities struggled to retain individuals at its top financial positions?
- What were the reasons for the resignations or terminations each of these prior CFOs?
- The independent auditor for Adani Enterprises and Adani Gas is a tiny firm called Shah Dhandharia. Historical archives of its website show that it had only 4 partners and 11 employees. It seems to have no current website. Records show it pays INR 32,000 (U.S. $435 in 2021) in monthly office rent. The only other listed entity we found that it audits has a market capitalization of about INR 640 million (U.S. $7.8 million). Given the complexity of Adani’s listed companies, with hundreds of subsidiaries and thousands of interrelated dealings, why did Adani choose this tiny and virtually unknown firm instead of larger, more credible auditors?
- The audit partner at Shah Dhandharia who signed off on Adani Gas’ annual audits was 23 years old when he began approving the audits. He had just finished university. Is that individual really in a position to scrutinize and hold to account the financials of a firm controlled by one of the world’s most powerful individuals?
- The audit partner at Shah Dhandharia who signed off on Adani Enterprises annual audits was as young as 24 years old when he began approving the audits. Is that individual really in a position to scrutinize and hold to account the financials of a firm controlled by one of the world’s most powerful individuals?
- The audit partners signing off on Adani Gas and Adani Enterprises annual audits are now both 28 years old. Again, are they in a position to credibly scrutinize and hold to account the financials of firms controlled by one of the world’s most powerful individuals?
- The auditor for Adani Power, an Ernst & Young affiliate, gave a “qualified” opinion in its audit, saying that it had no way to support the value of INR 56.75 billion (U.S. ~700 million) in investments and loans held by Adani Power. What is Adani Power’s full explanation for the valuation of these investments and loans?
- Which parts of the valuation of Adani Power’s investments and loans did the auditor disagree with?
- Adani has been subject to numerous allegations of fraud by the DRI and other government agencies. In the 2004-2006 diamond scandal investigation, the government alleged that Adani Exports Ltd (renamed Adani Enterprises) and related entities’ exports were 3x the total exports of all the other 34 firms in the industry group put together. How does Adani explain that sudden surge in trading volume?
- The diamond export investigation also demonstrated the role played by Vinod Adani and entities in the UAE, Singapore and Hong Kong that were used to facilitate the back-and-forth movement of money and product. How does Adani explain all the trading that took place with entities associated with Vinod Adani?
- In 2011, the parliamentary Ombudsman for the Karnataka state issued a 466-page report describing Adani as the “anchor point” for a massive INR 600 billion (U.S. $12 billion) scam involving the illegal importation of iron ore, alleging that Adani had bribed all levels of the government in facilitation of the scheme. What is Adani’s response to the investigation and the extensive evidence presented as part of these findings?
- In 2014, the DRI once again accused Adani of using intermediary UAE-based shell entities controlled by Vinod Adani to siphon funds, in this case through the over-invoicing of power equipment. Did Adani invoice the power equipment purchases to UAE-based entities such as Electrogen Infra FZE? If so, why?
- Was there a markup from the original purchase price for the equipment? What services did the Vinod Adani-associated entities provide that would have justified a markup?
- The same DRI investigation found that Vinod Adani’s intermediary entity sent ~$900 million to a privately owned Adani entity in Mauritius. What is the explanation for these transactions?
- Where did the money from these transactions go after it was sent to a private Adani entity in Mauritius?
- The DRI investigation also documented many other transactions through the Vinod Adani intermediary entity, which were not probed further by investigators. What is Adani’s explanation for these other transactions?
- In yet another scandal, Adani was accused of over-valuing coal imports through shell entities in Dubai, the UAE, Singapore, and the BVI. Did Adani transact with entities in these jurisdictions? If so, which ones and why?
- In 2019, the Singaporean entity Pan Asia Coal Trading won a coal supply tender floated by Adani Group. Pan Asia Coal Trading’s website provides no details on its coal trading experience, nor does it name a single individual associated with the company. Why did Adani Group select such a small firm for coal supply? What was the due-diligence process that went into its selection?
- Corporate records show that a former Adani Group company director was a director and shareholder of Pan Asia. Why didn’t Adani Group disclose the potential conflict of interest in the transaction?
- In the same year as winning the coal deal in 2019, Pan Asia Coal Trading lent U.S. $30 million to a private entity of Adani Group, per Singaporean corporate records. Why did a private company of the Adani family take money from a small single shareholder entity in Singapore at the same time its listed company was awarding a coal supply deal to it?
- In interviews, Gautam Adani has said “I have a very open mind toward criticism.” Given this, why did Adani seek to have critical journalist Paranjoy Guha Thakutra jailed following his articles on allegations of Adani tax evasion?
- In the same interview, Gautam Adani said “Every criticism gives me an opportunity to improve myself.” Given this, in 2021, why did Adani seek a court gag order on a YouTuber that made critical videos of Adani?
- In the same interview, Gautam Adani said “I always introspect and try to understand the others’ point of view.” Given this, why has Adani Group filed legal suits against journalists and activists, which have been condemned by media watchdogs? Why did it have an activist in Australia followed by private investigators?
- If Adani Group has nothing to hide, why does it feel the need to pursue legal action against even the smallest of its critics?
- Does Adani Group truly view itself as an organization with sound corporate governance that embodies its slogan, “Growth With Goodness?”
Data center demand : Long term trend

Cell chemistry evolution

Disruptive Materials

Protected: Positional Stocks – 21-Jan-23
Capex : Will it increase further!!

Mega Trend : Air Passenger traffic

Thread on Dependable Clean energy Giant in making!!
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
MTAR Technologies – Emerging Midcap
Story – When the going gets tough, the tough get going, wrote American football coach John Thomas in 1953. This axiom today applies to the Hyderabad-based MTAR Technologies too, in more than one way. Old-timers at MTAR recall India’s former President and ‘Missile Man’ Abdul Kalam telling his team during his DRDO days: “If nothing is getting done, go to that Reddy company at Hyderabad.”
In fact, the Reddy duo – Ravindra and Satyanarayana – set up MTAR, to meet a challenge thrown at them by the government, way back in 1970, to make a critical cooling channel for a nuclear reactor.
As global suppliers began tightening their screws on India’s nuclear power ambitions, the government asked HMT to work on the cooling channel. The late Ravindra’s son P. Srinivas Reddy, MD, MTAR, recalls that HMT expressed its inability to do this and the Reddy duo, who were working there, quit and told DAE they would take up the channel challenge.
There are many Proud moments on its journey including
Mangalyan PSLV engine supplied by MTAR to ISRO
GSLV Mark III engine for the Chandrayaan II mission
Base shroud assembly for Agni missiles
Source —BusinessIndia
Business Domains

Order Book
Order Book moving to Clean energy over last 2years. Order book at Sep 2022 closure is 1288 cr while Current TTM sales is ~394 cr (till Sep22)


Sector wise and Geographical Break up of Orders
Company is export oriented–trend is almost same in last 3 years
Clean energy orders constitutes almost more than 50% order book every year
Space and Defense Constitutes between 18-26%
Nuclear constitutes 14-22% order book
Other segments growing fast and now at 5.7%



Customers

Strengths
High Entry Barriers and Increased customer dependency on Mtar
Strong Order Book Position and Strong repeat business due to MTAR’s engineering capability
Advanced and End to End Manufacturing Capabilities
Strong Diversified portfolio of critical and differentiated engineered products in emerging domains of Nuclear, Space,Defense, Clean energy , fuel cell etc
Manufactures import substitute products like Roller screws, ball screws. MTAR will be the first manufacturer of roller screws in India and the product will be used for a wide variety of applications in the nuclear, space and defence sectors
Manufactures precision machined components
Strong association with Exiting Customers & new Customers in Pipeline
Stringent Quality checks –Company uses high precision quality inspection equipment such as 3D co-ordinate measuring machines (CMM), laser measuring, optical alignment instruments, non-contact measuring and other such non-destructive testing equipment, to ensure ideal quality. “MTAR enjoys an unblemished record of quality for its product range”
Capability of making —
- Low volume R&D to high volume production products
- Regular to complex products
- Low weight to high weight products
- Export oriented to import substituition products
Experienced Board of Directors & Well Qualified Management Team

Certifications and Awards

Developed global supplier base over the years &procures materials from US, Brazil, among others, Low supplier dependency which also enables negotiation of favorable terms. Global network provides the option to take advantage of better pricing as available in a particular market


Triggers
Strong growing order book –Currently ~1300cr order book giving revenue visibility of 2+ years
Strong Net profit margins with company growing at 30% CAGR. FY23 and FY24 expected to grow similarly or better

The company has got the in principle approval from the board to establish electronics manufacturing in-house and started working on it
Indigenization of Roller Screws done, Executed the FAI orders
The company has also initiated the development of Electromechanical actuators, which find application in Space and Defense sectors
Specialized fabrication facility to be functional soon, The new capabilities are expected to bring in lot more customers. Sheet metal manufacturing facility at Adibatla, Hyderabad has become operational in Fiscal 2023 to undertake sheet metal jobs for ISRO, Bloom Energy and certain other customers. This business expected to generate 100 cr revenue in FY24. Commenced shipments to South Korea and USA; supplied Rs. 11.8 Crs worth of sheet metal orders for Clean Energy sector in Q2 FY 23
Upgrade existing facilities by implementing new technology and releasing release bottlenecks in production capacity
Expanding Product Portfolio and CAPEX ongoing along with IMPORT SUBSTITUITION


Increasing employee strength in last two years as order book increasing continuously
In discussion with below customers to reduce dependency on existing clients

MTAR is developing the following products in collaboration with Bloom to expand its product portfolio in clean energy sector:
Hydrogen boxes- Use Hydrogen to generate power
Electrolyzers – generate green hydrogen from water that shall be used in power units to generate power with zero carbon emissions
(Bloom is one of the largest and the fastest growing player globally in the stationary hydrogen fuel cell segment and has 70% of its revenues
coming from products segment and balance from services)
Opportunities in each business domain due to Indigenization policies in defense, Aatmnirbhar Bharat policies in different sectors, demand of fuel cells and growing maintenance market
Exponential growth expected for Indian players in Space sector given ISRO’s plan to commercialise the Indian space sector
and offer its products and services to other countries
Opportunities in defence offset partnership with certain global OEMs

14 New reactors planned and tenders to be released, one recator have equipments worth ~2200 cr Rs where MTAR is focussing on. Long term relationship with NPCIL can help MTAR to grab that opportunity
Green Hydrogen push by Government brightens prospects further. A capital outlay of Rs75,000 crore (US$9.4 billion) over the next three years to develop manufacturing capacities for clean energy technologies, which include electrolysers to produce green hydrogen. NTPC is already walking the talk on green hydrogen. The company is developing India’s first hydrogen-to-electricity project using US-headquartered Bloom Energy’s solid-oxide electrolysers and fuel cell technology. NTPC’s floating solar plant will power the electrolysers to produce green hydrogen. Bloom Energy’s hydrogen fuel cell technology will convert the hydrogen into carbon-neutral electricity without combustion to power NTPC’s Guest House in Simhadri, Visakhapatnam.

Risks
No long term contracts with suppliers, though risk is mitigated with enough suppliers on board
Client concentration risk –Bloom energy almost constitutes 50% of orders–Company is trying to get more clients onboard to mitigate this risk
Valuations seems a bigger risk than above mentioned ones. If orders/Profit don’t materialize on expected lines, stock can easily correct to 900-1200 zone or It can happen that stock may not fall much , but may remain stagnant between 1200-2000 range for long leading to opportunity loss
Any policy changes can delay the expected outcome
Technicals

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IT services result takeaways
Key takeaways from Q3FY23 IT services
1. Demand remains strong for cloud and automation
2. Indian IT companies are benefiting from clients looking to consolidate their vendors
3. Attrition is stabilising
4. Employee addition slowed significantly in Q3
5. A slowdown is imminent, and some tech spending will be delayed
Sources : Forbes
Infra Speed breaker

Fuel cell market projection

EV sales hinges on 2W 3W

GDP vs Spending

CY2023 – Alpha Picks for Investors
Will keep updating this Hashtag, follow closely to cancel out noise and focus long
DREAMFOLKS
PG ELECTROPLAST
HG INFRA
MTAR Technologies
ALLCARGO LOGISTICS
BHARTI AIRTEL
LIKHITHA INFRA
STERLING TOOLS
GRAVITA INDIA
EXIDE INDUSTRIES
KABRA EXTRUSIONS
DATA PATTERNS
LARSEN TOUBRO
Chart of the day : Inflation and IIP

EVolution happening!!

PLI effects are like Mr India

PE deals : Transportation is no 3 as focus area

Inflation

Protected: Positional Stocks – 9-Jan-23
Technology trends

Protected: Alpha Electric Portfolio — 8-Jan-2023
Way forward is SMART

Rentals

Speciality chemicals trend

Some long term trends
MSME

PMI — Optimism

It’s Waste!

EV Charged up : Mega Trend

Protected: Positional Stocks – 1-Jan-23
Protected: Premium Stocks : 1-Jan-23
Goals 2023
RBI on crypto
Who gained Who lost

Most clicks on alpha-affairs.com in 2022
Most clicks on alpha-affairs.com in 2022
And
Book Summary : The Little Book That Builds Wealth by PAT DORSEY
Little time : FOMO on EV train in OEM

Lithium ion Battery capacity additions

1% to 2%

Green Hydrogen : Long term trend

Airbag ready!!

Key M&A : 2022

EV Battery Tech : LFP

Alpha Mentorship Batch Jan2023
Protected: Positional Stocks – 24-Dec-22
Top 20 India

Stabilisation fund for carbon markets

Its M&A time!

IPO 2022

IPO Bubble Pops


Paradigm Shift

Business Model Trends

PPE market : Long term trend

EV : Mega trend

PLI 2.0 : Textile version

Hospitals Business : Best (Max) Performance

Mega trend : Lounge market

ALSO READ
Small satellites : Way forward

GDP in 2100!! Wild guesses


ALPHA LEARNERS – Mentorship program Jan-23
With great pleasure and best wishes from all of you, we are delighted to launch new batch of
ALPHA Mentorship program
Art and Science of Investing
to make you Independent in stock markets
AVAIL EARLY BIRD OFFER till 31stDec 2022
A PROGRAM TO MAKE YOU LEARN AND EARN
This is a unique live program for approx. 5 months (on weekends) and 7 months of handholding further, Where one can learn necessary
Fundamental Qualitative concepts to understand the things which create wealth in long run–like how to evaluate management, how to evaluate certain corporate actions, how to understand direction of company
Fundamental Quantitative concepts to substantiate what we have seen qualitatively, understanding ratios and numbers like margins and numbers like EBITDA, PAT, OPM, Financial Ratio, Valuation ratios PE, PB, PS, EVEBITDA, ROE, ROCE, Debt, equity and many other deep ratios to understand whether stock at right price or not
Learn about cost of capital, working capital cycle, inventory turnover, asset turnover, interest coverage, pledging(good or bad)
Why Dividend is good or bad
How long we can hold a stock or when to leave the stock
Capex, Opex and how it impacts and when it impacts
Why certain high pe stocks keep on running and low pe stocks remain down
Red flags and green flags
Necessary Technical aspect to make our entry and exit better in stocks ,oscillators and unique indicators including SMA, DMA, RSI, MACD, EMA, Trends, SL, , different time frames and some UNIQUE TECHNICAL INDICATORS NOT TAUGHT by ANYONE
Technical aspect and understanding of Price Volume action, candlestick patterns ( bullish, bearish, single, double, triple patterns)
Technical understanding of Targets from different patterns, How to look for patterns and when to look for which pattern
Resources to analyze faster to analyze more companies faster
Understand Contrarian, Cyclical, Value and Growth investing
Bucket and GRADE Framework
Business Moats understanding–how to categorize moats, what is real moat, what is fake moat
Exit Strategies in stocks
Reading Balances sheet in simple way to analyze results and issues to make quick exits or to do pyramiding after results
Reading Cash flows in simple way to understand where money is being moved in company
Reading Quarterly, half yearly, yearly results and interpreting them better
Tricks and Checklist for faster analysis of Annual Reports to help us all understand whether to deep dive or not
Conf-call understanding, Transcripts Concepts and Tricks to understand faster
Big money moves aspect to understand where money is moving
Concepts and tricks on various intricacies in stock market
Understanding about primary, secondary market
Also get a KNOWHOW on
Checklist for stocks to identify red flags faster
Checklist for deep dive into selected stocks
How to build Portfolio for Short term
How to build Portfolio for Long term
How to find Multi bagger stocks
How to avoid pitfalls in market
When to exit stocks
Bonus sessions on (apart from Program content)
Financial planning &
IPO
Free lifetime learning through a Community (apart from Program content)
Join like minded people to interact with on CHARTS, Domain KNOWLEDGE, Sector Expertise etc

4-5 months of teaching and mentoring
Can be extended based on queries, case studies
This is a program YOU CAN NOT AFFORD TO MISS
LET THIS Last MONTH of 2022 be the start of your journey towards INDEPENDENCE IN STOCK MARKETS
ACT NOW for your Independence
CONTACT us
AVAIL EARLY BIRD OFFER till 31st Dec 2022
FEEDBACK By ALPHA LEARNERS




ACT NOW for your Independence
CONTACT us
Number of batches and batch size is very very limited considering live classes
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
Sports Tourism : New Mega Trend


Protected: Positional Stocks – 10-Dec-22
Aatmnirbhar Version : Speciality Steel

TATA TATA BYE BYE to imports!

PSU are moving to cloud solutions




