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Deals, Mergers, acquisitions look lucrative but actuality comes when its done. Similarly as an investor you learn more about a company after buying a good quantity of shares. You have skin in the game once you do that.
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With inflation still high and central bank rates set to rise further, demand is expected to remain weak for the rest of the year.
Shipping group Maersk predicts that demand for containers — a proxy for trade — will fall by 2.5 per cent this year.
The S&P monthly survey of purchasing managers indicated that new export orders contracted across the world throughout the second half of last year and in January. Last month, the IMF forecast that global trade growth would decline to 2.4 per cent this year, from 5.4 per cent in 2022.








Recycle, Reduce, reuse, green products, carbon footprint









413 page response by Adani

Hindenburg response to Adani group here



To understand better on the stock, follow below links


The Pomodoro Technique is very popular. The steps are easy:

https://hindenburgresearch.com/adani/ –full report here
Answers by Adani to report here
Snippets of report –focus is questions
Given Gautam Adani’s claims to welcome criticism and embrace transparency, we hope the Adani Group will be pleased to answer the following 88 questions:





Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
Story – When the going gets tough, the tough get going, wrote American football coach John Thomas in 1953. This axiom today applies to the Hyderabad-based MTAR Technologies too, in more than one way. Old-timers at MTAR recall India’s former President and ‘Missile Man’ Abdul Kalam telling his team during his DRDO days: “If nothing is getting done, go to that Reddy company at Hyderabad.”
In fact, the Reddy duo – Ravindra and Satyanarayana – set up MTAR, to meet a challenge thrown at them by the government, way back in 1970, to make a critical cooling channel for a nuclear reactor.
As global suppliers began tightening their screws on India’s nuclear power ambitions, the government asked HMT to work on the cooling channel. The late Ravindra’s son P. Srinivas Reddy, MD, MTAR, recalls that HMT expressed its inability to do this and the Reddy duo, who were working there, quit and told DAE they would take up the channel challenge.
There are many Proud moments on its journey including
Mangalyan PSLV engine supplied by MTAR to ISRO
GSLV Mark III engine for the Chandrayaan II mission
Base shroud assembly for Agni missiles
Source —BusinessIndia

Order Book moving to Clean energy over last 2years. Order book at Sep 2022 closure is 1288 cr while Current TTM sales is ~394 cr (till Sep22)


Company is export oriented–trend is almost same in last 3 years
Clean energy orders constitutes almost more than 50% order book every year
Space and Defense Constitutes between 18-26%
Nuclear constitutes 14-22% order book
Other segments growing fast and now at 5.7%




High Entry Barriers and Increased customer dependency on Mtar
Strong Order Book Position and Strong repeat business due to MTAR’s engineering capability
Advanced and End to End Manufacturing Capabilities
Strong Diversified portfolio of critical and differentiated engineered products in emerging domains of Nuclear, Space,Defense, Clean energy , fuel cell etc
Manufactures import substitute products like Roller screws, ball screws. MTAR will be the first manufacturer of roller screws in India and the product will be used for a wide variety of applications in the nuclear, space and defence sectors
Manufactures precision machined components
Strong association with Exiting Customers & new Customers in Pipeline
Stringent Quality checks –Company uses high precision quality inspection equipment such as 3D co-ordinate measuring machines (CMM), laser measuring, optical alignment instruments, non-contact measuring and other such non-destructive testing equipment, to ensure ideal quality. “MTAR enjoys an unblemished record of quality for its product range”
Capability of making —
Experienced Board of Directors & Well Qualified Management Team

Certifications and Awards

Developed global supplier base over the years &procures materials from US, Brazil, among others, Low supplier dependency which also enables negotiation of favorable terms. Global network provides the option to take advantage of better pricing as available in a particular market


Strong growing order book –Currently ~1300cr order book giving revenue visibility of 2+ years
Strong Net profit margins with company growing at 30% CAGR. FY23 and FY24 expected to grow similarly or better

The company has got the in principle approval from the board to establish electronics manufacturing in-house and started working on it
Indigenization of Roller Screws done, Executed the FAI orders
The company has also initiated the development of Electromechanical actuators, which find application in Space and Defense sectors
Specialized fabrication facility to be functional soon, The new capabilities are expected to bring in lot more customers. Sheet metal manufacturing facility at Adibatla, Hyderabad has become operational in Fiscal 2023 to undertake sheet metal jobs for ISRO, Bloom Energy and certain other customers. This business expected to generate 100 cr revenue in FY24. Commenced shipments to South Korea and USA; supplied Rs. 11.8 Crs worth of sheet metal orders for Clean Energy sector in Q2 FY 23
Upgrade existing facilities by implementing new technology and releasing release bottlenecks in production capacity
Expanding Product Portfolio and CAPEX ongoing along with IMPORT SUBSTITUITION


Increasing employee strength in last two years as order book increasing continuously
In discussion with below customers to reduce dependency on existing clients

MTAR is developing the following products in collaboration with Bloom to expand its product portfolio in clean energy sector:
Hydrogen boxes- Use Hydrogen to generate power
Electrolyzers – generate green hydrogen from water that shall be used in power units to generate power with zero carbon emissions
(Bloom is one of the largest and the fastest growing player globally in the stationary hydrogen fuel cell segment and has 70% of its revenues
coming from products segment and balance from services)
Opportunities in each business domain due to Indigenization policies in defense, Aatmnirbhar Bharat policies in different sectors, demand of fuel cells and growing maintenance market
Exponential growth expected for Indian players in Space sector given ISRO’s plan to commercialise the Indian space sector
and offer its products and services to other countries
Opportunities in defence offset partnership with certain global OEMs

14 New reactors planned and tenders to be released, one recator have equipments worth ~2200 cr Rs where MTAR is focussing on. Long term relationship with NPCIL can help MTAR to grab that opportunity
Green Hydrogen push by Government brightens prospects further. A capital outlay of Rs75,000 crore (US$9.4 billion) over the next three years to develop manufacturing capacities for clean energy technologies, which include electrolysers to produce green hydrogen. NTPC is already walking the talk on green hydrogen. The company is developing India’s first hydrogen-to-electricity project using US-headquartered Bloom Energy’s solid-oxide electrolysers and fuel cell technology. NTPC’s floating solar plant will power the electrolysers to produce green hydrogen. Bloom Energy’s hydrogen fuel cell technology will convert the hydrogen into carbon-neutral electricity without combustion to power NTPC’s Guest House in Simhadri, Visakhapatnam.

No long term contracts with suppliers, though risk is mitigated with enough suppliers on board
Client concentration risk –Bloom energy almost constitutes 50% of orders–Company is trying to get more clients onboard to mitigate this risk
Valuations seems a bigger risk than above mentioned ones. If orders/Profit don’t materialize on expected lines, stock can easily correct to 900-1200 zone or It can happen that stock may not fall much , but may remain stagnant between 1200-2000 range for long leading to opportunity loss
Any policy changes can delay the expected outcome
Technicals

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Key takeaways from Q3FY23 IT services
1. Demand remains strong for cloud and automation
2. Indian IT companies are benefiting from clients looking to consolidate their vendors
3. Attrition is stabilising
4. Employee addition slowed significantly in Q3
5. A slowdown is imminent, and some tech spending will be delayed
Sources : Forbes




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