Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
Axiscades Technologies Limited
Key Investment thesis –> Company focus on Aerospace, Defense, Semiconductor, Electronic system verticals and gearing up for FY26, FY27
Business
AXISCADES is a leading, end to end technology and engineering solutions provider aiding creation of innovative, sustainable and safer products worldwide. AXISCADES is headquartered in Bangalore with subsidiaries in USA, UK, Canada, Germany, India and China; and offices in Germany, France, Denmark, USA and Canada. AXISCADES has a diverse team of over 3,100 professionals working across 20 locations across North America, Europe, UK and Asia-Pacific, striving to reduce the program risk and time to market.
The company offers Product Engineering Solutions across Embedded Software and Hardware, Digitization and Automation, Mechanical Engineering, System Integration, Test Solutions, Manufacturing Engineering, Technical Publications, and Aftermarket Solutions. The solutions comprehensive portfolio covers the complete product development lifecycle from concept evaluation to manufacturing support and certification for Fortune 500 Companies in the Aerospace, Defense, Heavy Engineering, Automotive, Energy and Semiconductor industries.
Company Portfolio
Current serving Major Industries
Aerospace
Heavy Engineering
Products engineering
Products and Solutions for Defense
AIP and Energy
Semiconductors
Awards
Received 3rd consecutive Diamond supplier award from Bombardier for 2022. This recognition is a testament to our unwavering commitment to excellence, innovation, and delivering with the highest standards of quality.
Opportunities :
Unique positioning with deep domain capabilities ranging across competencies, with respect to – Electronics Products, Engineering Services and Defence
Growth driven by leveraging Digital ER&D and Defence
ER&D Services – A large and underpenetrated market with a Global TAM of ~$1 Tn
Strong Defence-Tech Play with leadership in Radar, Sonar and Electronic Warfare systems
Revenue Breakup
FY24 revenue breakup
Q1Fy25 revenues breakup
Q2Fy25 revenues breakup
Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT, SHP
Stable OPM, Stable tax, Quarterly YOY growth in sales and PAT, Borrowing reducing
DE ~0.4 , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil, ROCE < 15 and ROE<10%
Promoter has sufficient skin in game, Cash flows are good, Cash conversion cycle is elongated
Triggers
Macro Trends :
Recent Triggers in last 1 year or so
Appointment of Chairman Mr. Abidali
Appointed Mr. Abidali Neemuchwala as Chairman of the Board and Non-Executive Director at AXISCADES. With a distinguished career spanning over three decades in the technology industry, he has earned enviable reputation for his expertise in aligning organizations, driving business results, and consistently leading transformational initiatives.
Strategic partnerships and Opening Engineering design center
Signed a strategic partnership with with Cantier, a Singapore-based powerhouse in Manufacturing Execution Systems (MES), with a specialization in Industry 4.0 integration to create a synergy that promises to elevate precision, efficiency, and innovation in the manufacturing sector.
Inaugurated Engineering Design Centre in Saltney, UK to serve the long-term requirements of the Aerospace Industry and various promising opportunities in the region.
Signed a strategic partnership with KANZEN Institute Asia-Pacific Pvt Ltd (KIAP), for new age Industry IIoT, Digital Automation and MES 4.0 implementation for delivering enhanced value to our Global customers.
Mergers and Acquisitionsand QIP
Completed the acquisition of add solution GmbH which will strengthen our service offerings and bring opportunities to deliver enhanced value to our combined global client base. . This will provide us with a strategic foothold in the automotive space, with significant offshoring opportunities and access to marquee global automotive OEMs.
The board has also approved the acquisition of EPCOGEN., a niche service provider in Energy space, specializing in engineering design and solutions. This proposed acquisition will strengthen our presence in energy vertical, provide access to Middle East and North American Energy markets
QIP in Jan2024 at 657Rs/share — The Company successfully concluded the Equity Raise of INR 220 Crores in January 2024, with marquee Institutional Investors subscribing to the issue. This will strengthen the balance sheet and improve profitability, Reduction in Net Borrowings by 60% from INR 214 crores to INR 85 crores, which will significantly reduce Finance Cost
Deal Wins
Deal win with Aerospace OEM with TCV of $ 18 Mn in the areas of in-service repair and manufacturing support
Design and prototype wins in several defense programs, such as HISAR, next generation ERP for combat aircrafts, Intel based SBC, DEAL satellite terminal design, DF for Naval program, adding to the production order pipeline
Digital Team ramped to 75+ FTEs with deep competencies in automation, AI/ML and robotics, with complete digital project execution capabilities
Acquisition of add-solutions GmbH and EPCOGEN, opens new vistas in Automotive and Energy Space, adding strategic logos and competencies
Q4FY24 updates
Revenue from new customer logos grows to Rs.69 crores, a growth of 5 Times over the previous year
Deal win with Aerospace OEM with TCV of $ 18 Mn in the areas of in-service repair and manufacturing support
Defense Production Revenues in Mistral triples from Rs.39 crores to Rs.112 crores, with Rs.272 crores in executable production orders
Commencement of delayed delivery of Man Portable Counter Drone System (MPCDS) to the Indian Army, with significant addressable
market in Indian Defense and Global Markets
Design and prototype wins in several defense programs, such as HISAR, next generation ERP for combat aircrafts, Intel based SBC, DEAL satellite terminal design, DF for Naval program, adding to the production order pipeline
Digital Team ramped to 75+ FTEs with deep competencies in automation, AI/ML and robotics, with complete digital project execution capabilities
Advanced level discussions with leading helicopter manufacturer for engineering and design support
New opportunities in counter drone system over next 5 years are highly promising with addressable market more than INR 3,000 Cr. 40 Nos of one of a kind Man Portable Counter Drone System (MPCDS) cleared for dispatch to the Indian Army. Balance 60 Nos under production.
Onboarded world’s largest phone and consumer electronic manufacturer as a customer with clear glide path on engagements into FY25
Order book at 30th Ap24 — 749Cr
Q1FY25 updates
Mistral Solutions received order of ₹90 crores from BEL for supplying Radar Processing Systems
Ramp up in aerospace with European OEM focused on production and plant migration efforts
Ramp up in high end cybersecurity solutioning with UK automotive manufacturer.
Onboarded an EPC major from Middle East as our customer with long term contract
Completed second tranche of delivery of Man Portable Counter Drone System (MPCDS) to the Indian Army
Expenses hit in past Q3/Q4 Fy24
Increase in finance cost due to debt funding for Mistral acquisition . In Q2 FY24, the material cost has increased due to increase in production orders in Mistral and increase in employee expenses on account of annual increments and investments in building competencies in Embedded and Digital for future growth
Q2FY25 Update
Defence revenues grew by a healthy 73% QoQ, with Defence production revenues surging by 84% QoQ, bolstered by a significant order backlog set for execution in fiscal years 2025 & 2026. With a healthy pipeline and focused approach, over the next 12-18 months, we aim the defence revenue to reach around 60% of the overall company’s revenue
Management commentary With latest focus areas
Unmanned combat, we are having anti-drone, drones, and drone controllers
Foreign OEMs, we have a three-pronged, that is, weapon package, submarine, and avionics. preferred offset partner for the weapon system, weapon package
new programs, all our missile programs, one is the largest missile program in India, another is an upgrade of the existing missile program, another is ground system for key programs
Product focus : particular product direct RF. Then there is, of course, our product X-band radar, which is primarily used in the submarine and marine systems.
Airbus, we have major programs running in India. C295, MRTT, Multi Role Transportation Tanker, which is going to be 330 based, And AVEX, of course, 319 based.
Tying with AgniKul, having an MOU with them, and approaching the ISRO, ISRO and other space agencies for two major things, NGLV, New Generation Launch Vehicle, and Bharatiya Space Station. So we want to add value to them significantly, and there could be opportunities in 3D additive manufacturing, and designing of certain subsystem blocks, etcetera. Then there is also chances for electronics-based algorithms and advanced systems, and for the guidance and navigation, that product we’ll be able to make. The third one is AI-based anomaly detection in the launching
Capturing some discussions from Dec24 confcall
C2P strategy, that is, chip to product. That is Mistral’s non-defense activity, or our group’s non-defense activity., we are shifting the center of gravity of C2P to US. Basically it will be driven out of US. We’ll have a small team there and driving the offshore team here. That’s the strategy
We are a very, very good RF in RF. We consider we are among the best in India for RF. RF and RF activities. Second is probably we are one of the best in handling mixed signals. We can handle analog, digital, RF, everything together. That is one of our forte. Third is sensor fusion. We can handle multiple sensor. Sensor fusion comes very, very handy when you deal with multiple sensor in a new AI environment, in new robotics or auto-driven and those kinds of things. We are extremely good in both. Then we are very good in ruggedization. We are especially because we are very defense focused. We can ruggedize any product and do that. And finally that we are very good in the chip, chip level, post-silicon, whatever it is, validation, verification, and take the chip to the product and then product to the customers
Continuous Hiring of Talent
Orders winning, Expansion in Middle east and Outlook for different segments by Management
Added this latest development on 17Jun25
INDRA SIGNS AGREEMENT WITH AXISCADES TO BOOST PRODUCTION OF CUTTING-EDGE SYSTEMS IN INDIA
Indra, a European-based global leader in defense, aerospace, and strategic systems, and AXISCADES a prominent technology solutions provider in defense, aerospace and strategic electronics, are proud to announce a strategic alliance.
Indra is keen to acquire defense-related products and services from AXISCADES, which will be delivered through AXISCADES’ comprehensive design, development, production, and supply chain center.
Both companies are actively exploring joint product development for the Indian and global markets, potentially adapting existing Indra products or creating new ones specifically tailored to meet customer needs.
TechnicalChart
Technical chart on 15-dec24
Technical chart on 29-dec24
Risks
Highly competitive industry
Acquisitions dont play out as anticipated
Customer concentration risk – On a consolidated basis, ~26% of ACTL’s revenues in FY23 were from its top two clients (35% in FY22).
Slowdown in Europe impacting automotive revenues
Heavy Engineering vertical remains a drag for few more qtrs although optimization work going on
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
Impact Of Data Localisation Laws The Indian government’s push for data localisation, under policies like the Digital Personal Data Protection Act, has accelerated the establishment of data centres. Global players such as AWS, Microsoft, and Google are investing heavily to comply with these regulations, while Indian companies like Jio and Yotta Infrastructure are scaling up their capacities.
Green Data Centres On The Rise Sustainability is a key focus for Indian data centres in 2025. Operators are investing in renewable energy sources like solar and wind to power facilities, with states such as Rajasthan and Gujarat leading in renewable energy adoption. Innovative cooling technologies, including liquid cooling and the use of natural resources for temperature management, are becoming standard practices to enhance energy efficiency.
Edge Computing And Regional Growth India’s shift towards edge computing is transforming data centre architecture. With the rollout of 5G and the proliferation of IoT devices, smaller edge data centres are being established closer to users in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities.
Expansion Of Colocation And Hyperscale Facilities By 2025, colocation and hyperscale data centres will dominate the Indian market. Colocation facilities, which allow multiple organizations to share infrastructure, are becoming the preferred choice for startups and small businesses due to cost efficiency. On the other hand, hyperscale data centres, built to support massive data volumes for global giants like Amazon and Google, are rapidly expanding to cater to India’s growing digital needs.
Advances In Security And Automation With increasing cyber threats, Indian data centres are integrating advanced security measures such as Zero Trust Architecture, AI-powered threat detection, and biometric access controls. Automation is playing a vital role in optimizing operations. AI systems are managing energy consumption, predicting maintenance needs, and ensuring seamless uptime, reducing operational costs while improving efficiency.
Government Support And Policy Initiatives The Indian government’s initiatives, such as the National Policy on Software Products and state-level incentives, are creating a favourable ecosystem for data centre growth. Many states are offering subsidies on land, power tariffs, and taxes to attract data centre investments.
Opportunities In Tier 2 And Tier 3 Cities As data consumption grows beyond urban centres, data centre operators are expanding into Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities. These locations offer lower operational costs, ample land availability, and growing demand for digital services, making them attractive for future investments.
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
Jash Engineering
Key Investment thesis –> Increasing Demand of Water Intake Systems, Water and Waste Water Pumping Stations and Treatment Plants, Storm Water Pumping Stations, Water Transmission Lines, Consistent Business and Order book
Jash engineering is dedicated to offering varied products for use in Water and Wastewater Pumping Stations and Treatment Plants, Storm Water Pumping Stations, Water Transmission Lines, Desalination, Power, Steel, Cement, Paper & Pulp, Petrochemicals, Chemicals, Fertilizers and other process plants. Headquartered in Indore – India, Jash has six well-integrated state-of-art manufacturing facilities, four in India and one each in the USA & UK. Global presence with bases in India / USA / Austria / Hong Kong / UK
Employees > 1075, Countries served 45+, Manufacturing units 6, Capacity utilization 70% approx
Company has many accolades, and technical collaborations
Joint Venture with Invent , Germany to manufacture their range of aeration and mixing equipment.
Technical & Financial collaboration with Schuette, Germany for Bulk solids valves
Technical Collaboration with Invent, Germany for Disc Filter
Technical collaboration with Rehart, Germany for Archimedes screw pumps & hydro power generation.
Technical collaboration with Weco Armaturen, Germany to offer its range of Valves in Asian market
Business Segments and Revenue Contribution and Products
Domestic 40%, Exports 60%
Water control gates –60% (FY24) 49%(Q1Fy25)
Valves -15% FY24, 13% Q1FY25
Screening equipment 15% FY24, 31% Q1FY25
Hydropower and pumping solutions 10% FY24, 7% Q1FY25
Clientele
Strengths :
Long standing relationships with domestic marquee customers.
Efficient business model
Strong project execution capabilities
Diversified geographical presence in India and world
Strong Technical Qualification to bid for new projects
Highly experienced Management Team
Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT
ROCE>25% and ROE> 22%, DE ~0.23 , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil
Net Profit went 67X+ in 10 Years, Consistent Dividend Payout
Consistent Profit growth, sales growth, ROE over 3 years, 5 years, 10 Years
Triggers
Expanding presence and Acquisitions
Acquired Waterfront Fluid Controls Ltd, UK in 2023.
WATERFRONT UK PLANT & OFFICE INAUGURATION After successful acquisition of Waterfront Fluid Controls Ltd, UK, the company has taken manufacturing plant on lease which is adjoining shed to the present Waterfront’s shed. This plant was commissioned on 31st May 2024.
A new plant for manufacturing process equipment is under construction in Chennai. This plant will be commissioned in December 2024/Feb25. This facility is being built at an approximate cost of Rs. 20 crores and this will start contributing to improvement in revenue from April 2025 onwards. This facility at its peak production capacity will contribute up-to Rs. 100 Cr to company revenue.
A new land has been acquired for expansion of Unit 4 (Fabricated Products Plant), SEZ Unit. This new plant of ~ 55000 sq. ft. will be commissioned in FY 2025-26. Manufacture Stainless steel products for the growing export market. The construction of this plant will start in October 2024 and the plant will be commissioned by year end 2025. This plant will be constructed at a tentative cost of Rs 22-23 crores inclusive of land and at its peak production capacity will contribute up-to Rs. 100 Cr to company revenue.
Good execution and order book and Consistent new orders
946 cr order book on 1st sep24, 74cr orders in pipeline, negotiation
FY25 guidance ~675cr
New Product developments
First Vortex Grit Mechanism with Grit Classifier For 26 MLD STP Jhansi, UP Jal Nigam
Combined Screening & Grit Removal System-1MLD (PTU) for Enviro-Infra, Bareilly, UP
First set of Bladder Vessel 9 m3 x 3, 1 m3 x 3 supplied to Varanasi WSP Project
3 Wheel Sealed Version Disc Filter for 6 MLD capacity for Delhi Jal Board
Technical chart on 6 Oct 24
Risks
Large working capital requirement, cash conversion cycle is bit high Trade receivables and Inventory on higher side Rising raw material and commodity costs Increase in competitive bids for procuring the projects
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
Likhitha Infra Limited (LIL)
Key Investment thesis –> Increasing Demand of Gas pipeline Infra, City Gas distribution and National Gas policy 2030, Expanding Geographically, Consistent Business and Order book
LIL was incorporated in 1998 and is engaged in the business of pipeline laying providing comprehensive erection, testing, and commissioning of Oil and Gas pipelines, city gas distribution projects, tankage and operations and maintenance services. It is based in Hyderabad, Telangana.
Company has two (02) Joint Ventures viz., CPM-Likhitha Consortium, India and Likhitha Hak Arabia Contracting Company, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. In addition, Company held 60% equity share capital in Likhitha Hak Arabia Contracting Company, and consequently, now it became a subsidiary of the Company
Has successfully laid over 1500 km of steel pipelines and over 1500 km of MDPE of oil & gas pipelines in the past years. Additionally, the company is laying approximately 1000 km of oil & gas pipelines for the ongoing projects Executed the First Trans-National cross-country pipeline of South-East Asia connecting India to Nepal in the year 2019, for the supply of petroleum products
Strong presence in more than 20 states and 2 Union Territories in India.
Business Segments:
a) City Gas Distribution Projects: This Involves laying of steel and MDPE pipelines for consumers across domestic, commercial and industrial sector, creating a network of pipelines along with associated facilities, Last Mile Connections, CNG Stations b) Cross Country Pipeline Projects: Laying of Cross Country Pipeline projects along with piping, civil, electrical, instrumentation and other associated works c) Operation & Maintenance Services: O&M services include providing skilled manpower, executing emergency repairs, overhauling, scheduled maintenance activities and operation of the network d) Tankage: Construction of fuel depots including storage tanks, Combined Station Works, mechanical, instrumentation, electrical, civil works, F&G system, and other associated facilities
Strengths :
Long standing relationships with domestic marquee customers.
Efficient business model
Strong project execution capabilities
Diversified geographical presence in India
Strong Technical Qualification to bid for new projects
Strong promoter holding showing skin in game
Strong Order Book 1500cr in Jun24
Highly experienced Management Team
Credit ratings –>Long term facilities A/Stable and Short term facilities A1
ROCE>30% and ROE> 20%, DE ~Nil , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil
Stable OPM, Net Profit went 33X+ in 10 Years, Consistent Dividend Payout
Consistent Profit growth, sales growth, ROE over 3 years, 5 years, 10 Years
Promoter has sufficient skin in game at 70% shareholding
YouTube link
Triggers
Macro Trends :
India has set a target of increasing the share of natural gas in the overall energy mix to 15% from present 6.7%.
As per the Government policies, PNGRB has increased the number of Geographical Areas (GAs) to 228 comprising of 402 districts spread over 27 States and Union Territories, covering 70% of Indian population and 53% of its area. These recent Government initiatives have provided lucrative opportunities for Oil & Gas infrastructure service providers
Recent policy moves, including a wide-scale rollout of CNG and the expansion of gas infrastructure including LNG terminals, long-distance transmission pipelines and city gas distribution networks, will help drive 30bnm³ of gas demand growth over the next decade through fuel switching away from coal and oil. A recent switch to CNG from coal in India’s brick industry is encouraging greater gas use.
India is set to dominate the number of trunk/ transmission pipeline projects that are expected to start operations in Asia during 2024-2028, contributing about 43% (62 projects) of the region’s total projects count by 2028. The transmission pipeline length of 29,800 kms is expected to be added, says GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.
The gas pipeline infrastructure has been seeing intense development activity. The Government of India has set a target to reach 34,500 km by 2024-25 end from 22, 335 km as on January, 2023. Furthermore, plans to connect states with the trunk natural gas pipeline network by 2027 are gathering momentum.
In terms of investments, the Petroleum and Natural Gas Ministry said about ` 41,000 crore ($4.95 billion) are expected from companies to build natural gas pipeline infrastructure in the northeastern states and northern federal territories of Kashmir and Ladakh. The thrust on natural gas and government policy initiatives are in line with India’s global commitments to boost the use of cleaner fuels and cut carbon emissions with the ultimate goal of achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2070.
Expanding presence
In line with growth strategy, Company has entered new markets such as the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, where we see substantial opportunities in the oil and gas infrastructure sector. The company has been exploring growth opportunities beyond India. We have formed a joint venture firm in Saudi Arabia and have opened a branch office in Abu Dhabi, UAE to explore business prospects in the Middle East markets which promise long-term growth for pipeline infrastructure development.
The Indian government’s continued emphasis on expanding the oil and gas transportation network and promoting city gas distribution projects provides us with a steady stream of contracts.
India’s energy consumption is on the rise, with the country consuming 19.9 million metric tonnes of petroleum products and 5.51 BCM of natural gas during FY 2023-24. As the world’s third-largest consumer of energy, India’s demand for natural gas is expected to grow fivefold by 2047, in line with the nation’s vision of becoming a developed nation by its centennial year
Good execution and order book and Consistent new orders
Technical chart on 21st Sep24
Risks
Large working capital requirement, cash conversion cycle is bit high Trade receivables and Inventory on higher side Any change in CGD policy Rising raw material and commodity costs The Company is deriving significant portion of orders from major Oil & Gas distribution companies inducing a client concentration risk Increase in competitive bids for procuring the projects
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
A dark store is a small warehousing urban distribution centre exclusively for online shopping with an area ranging between 3,000 to 8,000 sq ft located close to densely packed residential areas to meet quick delivery requirements, Srinivas N, Managing Director, Industrial and Logistics, Savills India said.
Dark stores stock a variety of products and operate around the clock. This enables quick access to inventory, reduces transportation costs, has a quick turn-around time, and improves last-mile delivery capabilities.
However, unlike warehousing, dark stores maintain a limited inventory, often with products having a shelf life of less than 24 hours. In contrast, warehouses store a wide variety of materials in bulk quantities, without the same time constraints on product freshness or expiration.
“The current requirements from quick commerce necessitate dark store spaces of 5,000 square feet or larger. The evolution of quick commerce has managed to establish a firm foothold in the market, which indicates a likely increase in the number of these larger stores moving forward,” Abhishek Bhutani, Managing Director, Ahmedabad and Logistics & Industrials, Cushman & Wakefield said.
Where are dark stores usually located?
A 2021 study by JLL showed that in the e-commerce sector, about 10-15 percent of total kilometres travelled in urban areas contributed to 47 percent of total transportation costs.
This brought dark stores closer to the dense residential areas to ensure efficient and timely delivery. However, real estate costs in urban locations cannot meet retail rental expectations. Therefore, dark stores are usually located in smaller commercial building basements, parking spaces, and defunct facilities in the bylanes or alleyways.
Additionally, these stores are not visited by customers. So, low-cost space is most functional for a dark store.
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
Aeroflex Industries
Key Investment thesis –> Increasing Demand of HVAC system, Large Scale Industrialization, Modernization in Agriculture and Demand from new edge industries like Aerospace, Satellite, Solar and Robotics
Company is one of the leading Indian manufacturers of metallic flexible flow solutions made with stainless steel used for controlled flow of all forms of substances including Solid, Liquid, and Gas. Incorporated in 1993, co. is part of Sat Industries Limited.
Product Profile: Braided hoses, unbraided hoses, solar hoses, gas hoses, vacuum hoses, braiding, interlock hoses, hose assemblies, lancing hose assemblies, jacketed hose assemblies, exhaust connectors, exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) tubes, expansion bellows, compensators, and related end fittings.
Exports to 89 countries across Asia, Americas, Europe and Africa, through a diversified go-tomarket model
Scalable and Customized flexible flow solution products
Current serving Major Industries
Steel & Metal
Oil & Gas
Chemicals
Sea Port Terminal Handling
Paper & Pulp
Pharmaceutical
Strengths :
Extensive Promoter experience
Employee strength -500+
The company has 2500+ SKUs
Strategically Located Near JNPT Port
80+ machine lines
72+ Products across various stages of Research and Development
14 Qualified R&D Team
NABL Accredited Lab
ISO 9001:2015, ISO 45001:2018 and ISO 14001:2015 certified;
Adherence to global standards
Revenue Breakup
Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT
ROCE asnd ROE> 20%, DE ~Nil , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil
Stable OPM, Net Profit went 8X+
Promoter has skin in game + Big Shark Ashish Kacholia holding 3.6%
Triggers
Macro Trends :
▪ Global market for SS flexible hose has grown at a CAGR of 8.2% to value at approximately USD 3.3 Bn in 2022 ▪ Traditionally, the demand for Flexible Flow Solutions made with Stainless Steel Corrugation was largely driven by the industrial sector – manufacturing plants and manufacturing products from chemicals to paper ▪ Between FY’18-9M FY23, over 1,840 projects (brownfield and greenfield) were completed in the manufacturing ▪ With Flexible Flow Solutions made with Stainless Steel Corrugation application being universal, this large base is believed to have supported a strong demand for the product ▪ Given the increasing preference for Flexible Flow Solutions made with Stainless Steel Corrugation in place of rubber / PTFE / polymer hoses, the demand for the former from the industrial sector would be stable
Company has worked on Capacity Expansion, value added products
Expanding our presence to:
Electric Mobility
Fire Sprinklers
Solar
Robotics
Semiconductors
Aerospace and Satellite
Management commentary in Q1Fy25 results
Increasing margins possibilities, Increasing orders from assemblies, Focus on value added offerings, possible inorganic Way of expansion, Acquisition
Technicals
Technical chart on 8th Sep24
Risks
PE is bit high in short term
Large working capital requirement, cash conversion cycle is bit high
Exposure to volatile raw material price
Acquisitions dont play as anticipated
Demand dont originate as anticipated
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
Disclosure : I am holding it from very low levels, Not added/not sold recently
Keeping in mind the seasonality pattern inherent to our business wherein Q1 is the weakest quarter and the major chunk of revenues are captured in the subsequent part of the financial year. We want to highlight that we have also improved our gross margin significantly, which were primarily driven by continuous improvement in the product mix where the domestic defense business contributed to 65% of the topline, followed by exports whose contribution is around 21% and the space with 11.5% with rest of the business coming in from meterology and other sectors
Employee expenses have slightly gone up because of the increase in the number of skilled and professional employees. This is mainly due to our employee addition at our Bangalore facility. At the end of the quarter, the employees count is close to about 1537, up from 1468 at the end of the financial year.
We have created that Bangalore facility for our systems integration and testing, especially in the radar and electronic warfare domain and we have built up NFTR facility also and also assembly hangers to handle and address the radar systems. And also we have created space division in Bangalore facility. We have incorporated 100% subsidiary unit, Astra Space Technologies Limited and that group is basically going to address all future satellite requirements and they are also working in the same facility.
Objective is to get qualified for satelitte integration and launching business. Own satellite launch is the goal in next 2-3 years with synthetic aperture, radar payload ( ISRO collaboration)
Guidance :
And lastly, for the current financial year, we maintain our target which was given previously for an order book in the range of about Rs. 1,200-Rs. 1,300 crores and the topline in the range of Rs. 1,000-Rs. 1,100 crore with the PBT margin to the tune of about 16%-18% on standalone basis.
Import Substitution + Winning Contracts
We made a breakthrough in replacing imported critical wideband receiver for EW project which DPSU has been using for product of foreign make and the DPSU has the production order. Also, we have bagged precision approach radar and repeat order of Doppler weather radars in this quarter. Our anti drone radar is ready for the deployment in the field and we have been responding RFP’s from various agencies.
we define ourselves to be in the IP business. We are in the business of creating IP, enhancing our IP and that can be done both through our own internal efforts as well as collaborations. But eventually we are in the business of monetizing intellectual property. We have embarked on an exercise now aimed at selling out the IP which has been created within the Company and shared to a large extent which we can now either monetize on a standalone basis or combine it with the other IPs which may be available within the Company or externally available to create value. We found that we had multiple products and technologies which had been created and then not acted upon any further post order completion and had just been filed away as the teams got busy in fulfilling other orders. So, taken out of cold storage and updated with the current tech standards, we can productize these technologies on their own, or combine them with other technologies and that is a low hanging route for us. The incremental efforts at making this tech viable and commercial in minimal and offer us easy way to monetize our efforts
Glad to share that two definitive binding term sheets have been signed this past quarter alone, one in the area of chip design services and another in the radar space while discussions have been initiated with multiple companies, both listed space as well as in the smaller unlisted space for enhanced collaboration with the platform, which Astra provides to further enhance our joint intellectual property and create products which are well suited for the future. We are also in a hurry to monetize things at the fastest possible pace and collaborations
Capacity expansion and ability to handle more orders
we enhanced our facility. Recently, we have added auto bonding facility by virtue of which in fact our subsystems that is the tier module of those radars we can produce manifold in the sense about 20 times than what we made it with semi-automatic facility. So, that way we have enhanced our infrastructure, we scaled up our capacity. We are geared up to manufacture as many as numbers as we want.
Order Book
We have crossed the milestone of Rs. 2,000 crores mark this time where the standalone order book as of June 2024 stood at Rs. 2,099 crores and our order wins continues to be healthy. On a consolidated basis, our order book stood at Rs. 2,365 crores as of June 2024. Overall, our order book comprises of 88% of the domestic orders, which are largely BTS, which enjoys good margins and 12% of export, which is a mix of BTP and BTS business. Our consolidated order book consists of Rs. 120 crores worth of service orders, which are typically margin accretive. Our focus remains on getting more orders, which consists of high proportion of complex system projects
Q. top 5 programs that would be critical for our order book accretion and revenue growth in the next 2 years? Management: There are many projects we have been addressing radar and electronic warfare domain especially if you take in the radar, we have been addressing airborne radar and also the ground radars, shipborne radars in all three segments.
Like airborne radars, we have been working for AWC Mk1, Mk1A and also we are waiting for the RFPs for Mk2. . Similarly there is Su-30 opportunities also will come.
Similarly like in the ground segment, there are many radars like we are talking about Tushar like Akash-NG, Akash Prime, WLR repeat orders, these are all which customers DPSS are likely to get. So, we will be getting subsystems from those particular segments.
And shipborne Navy, as I said we are likely to get some repeat orders from Navy.
And in electronic warfare, we have been working for pod jammer for LCA Mk1 as well as we have been working on the ongoing production programs of BEL like Nayan Shakti, Himshakti and all these programs, we are there. And also we are there in the EW programs of like DR118, R118. So, all these programs, we have some orders on hand, and we are likely to get more orders, repeat orders from these customers
Uttam Radar –75% of Radar cost is Antenna –We are supplying exclusively Active Antenna Array units for same. we are expecting around close to Rs. 1,100-1,200 crores worth of business from the Uttam radar in the next 3-4 year’s timeframe
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
Servotech Power
Key Investment thesis –> Developing EV charging Infra and Delivering Solar Rooftop solutions across India. Key Business wins for EV charging Infra, Association with key businesses B2B
SPSL is in the business of high-end solar products and EV chargers. It develops ultra -fast DC chargers and Home AC chargers, and has installed over 2400 EV chargers in collaboration with oil marketing companies
Product Profile: a) EV Charger: Electric Vehicle Charging Station, AC Charger, DC Charger b) Solar Products: Solar Inverter, Solar Panels, Solar Batteries, ServPort, SMU c) Power & Backup: Battery, Servo Stabilizer, etc. d) LEDs: Domestic LED, Commercial LED e) Oxygen Concentrator: Oxygen Concentrator 5L and Oxygen Concentrator 10L f) UVC: UV-C Handheld Disinfection Lamp – 6W, Portable UV-C Disinfection Lamp – 36W (Sensor Equipped), Portable UV-C Disinfection Lamp – 38W, UV-C Disinfection RoboTruk – 150W, UV-C Sterilization Bag, UV-C LED Sterilization Box with 10W Wifi Charger, UV Sterilization Box with Charger, UV-C Car Intelligent Sanitizer, Car Air Sanitizer, UV Air Purifier, FAR UV-C Digital Sanitizer
Covered the thesis here in quick 12 min Video
Well-equipped 2 manufacturing facilities spanning over 80,000 sq. ft. and 1,44,000 sq. ft. respectively in Sonipat, Haryana
Capacity to manufacture 30,000 AC EV Chargers and 12,000 DC EV chargers annually
The company is majorly into B2B operations and having Marquee clientele comprising of BPCL, IOCL, HPCL, Nayara Energy, UPNEDA and others
Employee strength -500+
Revenue Breakup
Range of EV AC AND DC chargers
DC chargers have amazing features on fast port, advanced connectivity and user friendliness
Range of Solar solutions
Solar panels, Solar Inverters, Solar Batteries
ESS : Energy storage system (Major tailwinds may appear here)
Solar Street light (too much commodity)
Solar charge controller
EV CHARGER Components
Another interesting solution is Servport
Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT
ROCE and ROE > 10%, Pledging 0%, Debt to equity under control
High TTM PE and PB ratio
12X Sales and 12X PAT in 10 Years, Stable EBITDA numbers, Improving NPM
Promoter has good skin in game at ~60% shareholding, FII holding 5% approx
Cash conversion cycle have improved in recent years
Triggers
Macro Trends :
Developing EV charging Infra and Solar Rooftop solutions Infra across India
Journey and recent forays
Government subsidies & policies promoting local manufacturing of EV Components and sustainable energy resources
Growing need for carbon neutral has increased the demand forsustainable energy solution
Increasing demand for EV charging stations with healthy traction in order pipeline in addition to a sizable order backlog. Govt. allocate subsidies of INR 800 Cr to set up 22,000 fast chargers at various fuel pumps across India. The government has sanctioned 2,877 such charging stations across 68 cities in 25 states and UTs. In addition, 1,576 charging stations on nine expressways and 16 highways have also been sanctioned.
Projections indicate that fast-charging stations will witness a CAGR of over 40% by 2025.
New additions in budget 2024 like Pumped Storage Policy and exemption of customs duty on lithium will incentivize renewable energy integration and adoption
Rising urbanization and awareness of climate change have led to increase in demand for cost-efficient products
PM Suryodaya Yojana to solarize 1 Cr Households. 50 solar parks with an aggregate capacity of 37.49 GW have been approved in India
Company has worked on Capacity Expansion
Preferential shares allotment and warrants issued at 83 Rs (approx raised 74cr)
Backward integration efforts for key components (control set and power module) are on track, with the control set already being manufactured in India.
Solar Segment:
Regular monthly sales of ₹8-10 crores in the solar segment, targeting a total of ₹100-150 crores annually.
Plans to expand presence in 20-21 states within two months to leverage government schemes for household electricity.
International Expansion:
Export business is expected to grow, with previous year’s revenue at approximately ₹40 crores and positive momentum for future exports.
Attending international exhibitions and establishing a dedicated export team.
Patents; Innovation and Leadership
51% Growth in the Dealer & Distributor Network
Hired 128+ employees in Q1
Coninuous order wins from Major OEM’s —Current order book stands at approximately 8,000-8,500 pieces of DC chargers, indicating strong demand.
Order win from BPCL worth ₹120 Crs for the supply of 1,800 DC EV chargers
Order win from IOCL and other EV Charger OEM’s worth ₹111 Crs for the supply of 1,400 DC EV chargers
Order win from BPCL for the supply of 2,649 AC EV chargers
Order win from HPCL and other EV charger OEM’s worth ₹102 Crs for the supply of 1,500 DC EV chargers
Signed a contract with Adani Total Energies E-Mobility Ltd. (ATEL) for the supply of AC EV chargers
SPSL will be responsible for manufacturing, supplying and Installing AC EV Chargers at different Airports and other said locations
Collaborated with an international company to enhance its in-house components manufacturing.
SPSL will be constructing a cutting-edge manufacturing facility focused on the production of Power Modules, Control Circuits, and PLCs. The new plant will have an initial annual production capacity of 24,000 power modules & will ramp up its production capacity to 2.4 lakh power modules annually
Solar energy storage
Servotech Secures Order of around 1.2 MW Solar Energy Storage and Grid Connected Systems from Rural Development Department and UPNEDA. Servotech will be responsible for installing multiple 75kW solar-based energy storage systems, designed to provide reliable and uninterrupted power supply across Uttar Pradesh. Additionally, the company will also be designing, manufacturing, supplying, erecting, testing and commissioning 20 kW and 40 kW grid-connected solar power systems, contributing to the state’s renewable energy goals. This order will prove to be essential for overcoming geographical and infrastructural challenges in areas of Uttar Pradesh by enabling a broader reach of sustainable energy solutions and ensuring the penetration of renewable energy into the grid.
Creating new subsidiary “Servotech Sports and Entertainment Pvt. Ltd.”
Servotech aims to capitalize on the sporting fervor, its immense popularity, and global appeal to strengthen its brand presence and connect with a wider audience base. This strategic alignment presents an exciting opportunity for Servotech to extend its reach beyond its industry boundaries and tap into new avenues of success and engagement, establishing itself as not just a leader in the EV charging and solar energy sectors, but also as a prominent player in the sports industry.
Technicals
Technical chart on 21st Aug24
Risks
Consistent Equity dilution, consistent increase in borrowing and Negative cash flows poses risk to company business growth
PE is high and any 2 bad qtrs can screw the returns profile from the current levels
Large capital working requirements is another thing to watch out for
Highly competitive industry both in Solar and EV industry
Delay in projects due to Govt policies or Land acquisition issues
Components import is another risk
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
Oriental Rail Infra
Key Investment thesis –> Providing Infra to Railway sector. Govt focus and orders landing up fast to Railway vendors. Oriental rail Infra is prime contender for seats and birth for new coaches. Apart from that New wagons orders also flowing
Oriental Rail Infrastructure Limited (ORIL) (formerly know as Oriental Veneer Products Limited) is engaged in manufacturing and supply of rail products predominantly for Indian Railways(IR). It manufactures Seats and Berths, Chairs, Lavatory doors etc. for all types of passenger coaches. It also manufactures Heavy Engineering equipment’s like Railway Rolling Stock, a diverse range of products which includes Wagons, Bogie, Coupler & Draft Gears through its wholly owned subsidiary Oriental Foundry Private Limited (OFPL).
Manufacturing Facility for Silicon Foam, Seats and Berth, Rexine, Compreg Board, PU Foam used for Seats & Berths, Recron used for Seats & Berths
Only Listed player in Seats & Berths in Organised sector
RDSO Certified and preferred vendor
1000+ employee strength
This Wagon capacity has been increased to 2400 wagons in Sep2023
Preferential shares allotment and warrants issued at 169 Rs (approx 200cr raised)
Order Book and strength
Company has a strong order book of more than 1200cr
Strong promoter background
3 decade old company
Big clients
Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT
Sales and profit 7x and 10x approximately in last 9 years
ROCE and ROE >12 %
Debt to equity is okayish at ~1, Pledging is 0%
Promoter has good skin in game at ~55% shareholding and big players entered recently including Mukul Agarwal
Triggers
Macro Trends :
Amid rising demand for coal freight and an aggressive push towards diversifying its freight basket, IR is planning to buy 1,00,000 more Wagons over the next three financial years Under the National Rail Plan(NRP), Centre wants to significantly increase the national transporter’s freight numbers, along with its modal freight share to 45 per cent by 2030. As per GOI estimates, consolidated demand for freight will be over 6,300 Million Tons (MT) by 2026 and 8,220 MT by 2031 Having ferried 1,418 MT in this fiscal, the national transporter would need to account for over 3,600 MT in 2031 to meet its NRP targets.
Company has worked on
Backward integration, Capacity Expansion, High Value Products and Client Diversification
Technicals
Technical chart in 10th Aug24
Risks
Working capital intensive nature of operations
Operating Cash flows are not good. Working capital days, Cash conversion cycle, ROCE, ROE needs to improve
Strong dependency on big customer IR
Margins are fluctuating in past based on execution and delivery. Not easy to predict bad or good quarters for company business
Susceptibility of profitability to volatility in raw material prices – ORIL’s product mix mainly includes seats, berths, compreg boards wherein the major raw materials are wood, rexene, cloth, foams, recron and various other solvents. Major raw material is supplied inhouse like company manufactures rexene and foam useful in manufacturing of seats. Other raw material consumed for manufacturing of seats includes veneer, which is formed from timber and company procures timber from local market. Its profitability is susceptible to fluctuations in the prices of wood as it serves as the main raw material for manufacturing of veneers, particle boards, plywood and compreg boards. For wagons, bogies and coupler body, major raw material is steel or scrap of steel which is procured from local market whose prices are highly volatile in nature. However, the company has a price variation clause inbuilt for key raw material, i.e., steel and wheels if procured from Indian Railways, thus reducing the price volatility to that extant
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
Copied key contents which I liked from AGM transcript.
Disclosure : I am holding it from very low levels, Not added/not sold recently
we have consolidated our existing business in satellite communication for defence applications, we are also diversifying into two different areas and the results we expect to see in two years from now in a big way.
So, and we are very confident that both these initiatives will put the company in a different orbit. From 2026 -27 onwards, we expect to see the results. And from 2027 onwards, the three years from now, there will be a quantum jump. we expect the company to establish itself as the top five companies in the country in the space of defence
First diversification that we are doing is the software defined radios. It’s a big, huge market globally. But if you come to very specific to India alone itself, it’s around $11 billion market globally. But coming to India in the Indian Defence market alone, it’s, it’s around, it’s around $300 million leaving the civilian commercial market only Indian defence market per annum. That is $300 million is per annum
we would be number two, I mean, if I’m not wrong, in that space of SDR’s with SCI compliance and that covers various spectrum like HF, VHF, UHF, L band, Satcom, SDR. There are various frequency bands and various versions of them for like portable versions, handheld versions with vehicle borne aircrafts, helicopters, shipborne submarines
C4ISR is the basic backbone of any, you know, any defence service, which includes command, control, communication, computing, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance
We are planning to complete a range of products by this year, financially and itself, but we expect to see a good revenue and all from 26, 27 onwards. By 2027, we should have, we consolidated as a serious player in that segment in India. And these products will also have possibility to expand in the global market.
second diversification is in the space sector where there the government of India has started opening up the sector very seriously and they want to see that private sector enters BLO, build, launch and operate kind of services. So in all the both upstream as downstream and midstream services in satellite space will be open to the private sector either through partnership with public sector or, government. Public private partnership or private sector alone government of India is looking at something like $50 billion in the next eight to nine years
we are well positioned to expand our presence in the space sector by getting into two areas.
One is ground station as a service like it includes satellite operation Centre, mission control Centre and also receiving the data and images from the satellites. Their station is supposed to receive the signals from satellites and then distribute that to the customers.
And the second part is the assembly, integration and testing of the satellites themselves. There up to satellite weight of say 1000 kgs max. We should be able to do it in house. So we are establishing a facility in ECT electronic city in Hyderabad. It is near airport. It’s about four acres of land. The construction is going on and we should be able to complete that facility in all respects by this year end. So there two things
Orders we have around 287 crores worth of orders on hand right now. there are a lot of other things in pipeline railways now, we are well established. We are expecting another 60 crores order, approximately, and maybe in a month or two and followed up by another tender coming up. They are coming up for I think maybe 12,000 terminals. So that will be a public tender. NSIL, we are doing, I mean, we have an order for around 27,600 or so
Five-kilowatt HF system we have already delivered and that has only been delivered to Indian Navy, government of India through bath electronics, installed and commissioned. So, there’s a good requirement in that space. And right now, A, we have the product in hand and we are ready for that. So, whenever the RFP comes, we are. That will be a big opportunity. Maybe few hundred crores.
we want to work on satellite payloads also which is again state of the art kind of development work. Subsystems for satellites. These are highly manpower intensive kind of work. So, the manpower expenses in R and D will grow a lot significantly in the next three to four years because we are investing heavily in R and D in those software, different radios and satellite subsystems right now. We have five projects sanctioned by Minister of defence government of India and five is the maximum they can give to any company. So, and we got five out of this. Two contracts are signed. One is in the final stage of contract signing. Maybe this month, June they will sign another one, maybe in June end or July. So enough. There are two major projects we have signed wherein once we complete the development, we’ll be the only vendor for those requirements. And those projects are having high potential because we’ll be the single vendor and those projects are having huge requirement from Indian army
Government of India is giving a grant for those projects, investing in that. And they are investing in their time and effort to do the trials, conduct the field trials for these projects. So earlier we have to understand the requirements, develop the product without anything, no cost, no commitment basis, go after them to conduct trials and accept that. Now it has come from them. They are given the specs, they have given the requirements, they are giving the grant and they are saying once it is completed, they will buy from us. So, it is like a phenomenal change in the outlook from the government of India. And in terms of making India and self-reliant, I think they mean business
Receivables Receivables we have, because we did 38 crores in the last quarter. I mean there is some, it appears to be more, but we have already received close to 39 crores from those 68 crores. And in that again around eleven crores is towards installation commissioning which will come over a period of time as we complete the installation of the equipment and all crores, another remaining eleven crores we should be receiving in June or July. So, there is absolutely no, as you could see, there are no bad debts at all for the company and they are, if they are there also, they are minuscule, 0.001% something like that. Because all receivables are from government of India or government of India undertakings.
IMax opportunity we may do some two and a half crores or so next year. Then following year maybe, we may even go up to ten crores, then 15 crores. But we are confident that we will reach 100 crores by 2030. So that’s not a very ambitious target because of the market here is around $11 billion and we are importing about $7 billion every year in medical equipment. That sector, which is about $7 billion, is the import itself around 60,000 crores or more they are importing. There is a huge potential there that is also expected to go to $50 billion by 2030. we are very well positioned in that because our expertise in electronics and engineering and mechanical, everything is very helpful in making world class equipment. We are not compromising on quality or anything. We are trying to build artificial intelligence into that. We want to make this equipment IOT enabled and benchmarked against the best in the world. So, there is no doubt that we will do well in image. It’s only a matter of time. So, But the break-even may happen. Maybe if not this year, next year definitely it will break even and get into cash profit. We’ll make profits in 25, 26 for sure. And after that the growth will be exponential. So, the I max would be a very, very significant
we are positioned in a place called AP MedTech zone where the world class facilities are created for complete testing and certification. It’s world class, it is recognized by WHO also. So, our facility is coming up in that 300 acre or something kind of a thing, where there is incubation centre, the test labs, certification labs, and many companies also have already started operations about four or five years back, and they’re doing extremely well. So, in that we have chosen space where two, three areas we have identified.
One is the respiratory area, like. Like ventilators and C Pap, BiPap and things like that. Then we are selected. Endoscopy is one of the areas And of course, to start with a low, low-end side, we have taken surgical staplers where it is certified. And then we, as I briefed you earlier, we got a contract for supply, 25,000 numbers per month from another OEM company. So, we’re on the right track. And then the final, we also want to, as I rightly, as I told you earlier, we want to develop something called hospital at home kind of equipment, which will be very useful for in times like Covid or for elders or for communities. So where in a budget of, say, ten lakhs, you can have everything that a hospital can provide. In an ICU, which is a small, it’s an equipment which will be carried on a cart or something like that, which will monitor all vitals. It will supply oxygen, it will have ventilator, it will have infusion pump to infuse injections and all. It will monitor all the vitals. They will be communicated to the doctor. Essential medicines will be made available there. Simple. Some small blood tests also can be done. So basically, it is like everything that you can ask for in an ICU, kind of things will be made available. Any nurse can handle that. And as the vitals are monitored remotely and doctor can be. Will receive alerts and then he can give guidance and then nurse can attend to that
are we able to develop any new products now which will help us be ahead of the competition for the next three, four years and enjoy similar margins? Dr Abburi Vidyasagar- Actually we are continuing that initiative in developing intellectual property. The fundamental focus of the company is on innovation. Always it’s an innovation driven company, though we give very lot of importance to customer service and operational excellence, which are also required to make our company profitable. But the core is innovation only even today.
we have already started working on software, different radios with SCA compliance for Indian as well as global market in defence communication. That is going to be. I mean, there will not be many companies in that anyway. Okay, I don’t say zero competition. There will be competition, but there will be limited competition. Similarly, the ground terminals I am talking about in KU band, cultivating Gaga band, which is again, very few companies will be there. I mean, the satellite terminals I am talking about, which are portable, mobile, you know, airborne, those versions which can be mounted in aircraft or a helicopter, those satellite terminals, again, very few companies will be there
Avantel AGM 2025
we have taken up five projects, 5 projects from the Ministry of Defence under the scheme of iDEX Indian Defence Challenges. So, the projects are mostly related to satellite communication. In fact, all the five projects are related to satellite communication. And the first one is sat phone based on geostationary satellite. The second one was again Convoy Management based on satellite. Both are for Indian Army. The third one is the receiver for receiving video through satellite, again for Indian Army. Port and 5th projects are for the requirements of Indian Navy, which is mostly based on Satcom on the move, the communication on the move for both land-based platforms as well as for the airborne applications. So, all five out of the five project, the 5th project contract was signed recently, but the fourth projects were signed quite some time back about six months back and the development work is going on very well
we have come for rights issue which is that near Vijayawada about an hour from the airport of Vijayawada, it’s on the highway. So that we would like to use for you know, making antennas which like HF antennas which are very huge and in terms of occupy a lot of space, 5 kilowatt HF antennas, one kilowatt HF antennas and then other types of antennas use it in military applications as well as sat com ground station antennas for say 7.3 meters, 9.3 meters, even 11 meters satellite (Not Clear) antennas can be manufactured there.
we are meeting all the requirements in terms of production as well as design, development of various products for MSS, particularly MSS mobile satellite services and UHF, SATCOM and UHF LOS radios, HFSDRs and HF one kilowatt systems and the real time training information systems, fishing transponders for boats from the Department of Fisheries through NSL.
The growth again using CAGR growth. So for example, in 2021, the sales was 77 crores and now 24-25 it is 248 crores either kind of almost it’s more than it’s about 3 times 300%. If you look at the profit, it was 15 crores in 2021 and now it is 24-25 which has come to about close to 60 crores, 59.56 crores see this is about almost four times Ok, the 400% something like. So this kind of increase you, I would like to caution you will not be there for next couple of years in 25-26 and 26-27, which it will be more stable and from 27-28 again, you can expect a steep growth. If a couple of opportunities from say 4 to 5 opportunities, 5 opportunities are there, which are likely to take us to the next level of growth to say sound 50 crores turnover supposed to be aimed to reach by 2030 to reach that kind of from say sound 50 again, 300% again over a period of four years. So that is possible from if we can convert two out of five to six opportunities that we are working on, which will get us good numbers in terms of both sales as well as the profit
l. Coming to IMAX, so as I told you in the last meeting, this medical equipment requires certification, Ok. The certification process will quite elaborate and go through and has to go through many levels of testing particularly things like those noninvasive ventilators and then you know CPAP patient monitoring systems. Those things have to go through a lot of processes that for certification. But the total money, if you to put them in the right perspective the startups with one single product also I have to remain investing at least 5 to $10 million. And all the money that we have invested here is close to $4 million, not even 4 million rather than 4 million. And if we have around 5 products in place and the certification process will be completed for all these products by September for sure. I mean some of them we got already and some of them by June this month end, some of them July end one more and August one more and September. So in the next three months we are getting all the certifications. Plus we have to build a facility with a clean room and other things. The kind of world class facility built and out of 30 crores close to 22 crores has gone for fixed assets. There’s nothing that and you can assume that eight crores have gone for product development. So basically we laid the strong foundation for IMAX to go forward and if any of the shareholders are very, very, I mean worried about this, then the promotes can take over if required. So, but thing is the medical industry, the projections are from $12 billion in 23-24, they are expected to reach $50 billion by 2030. That is the kind of growth they are expecting in IMAX
. I’ll come to the first point that and he also was asked about unsecured loans and all that CDB. There are two reasons for which the shares have been sold. One is to subscribe to the rights issue number 1. number 2 is Laxmi Foundation. I have donated quite some time back the 45,00,000 shares and obviously that donated means I want to sell the shares and invest in the trust for building the hospital, which we already have a hospital in leisure premises and we want to go for our own building for the hospital, much bigger hospital, maybe around 200 bed hospital, multi-specialty hospital. So we have to, I mean, I’m going to not stop here. I’m going to maybe donate more, another 45,00,000 shares or maybe another 45,00,000 shares, maybe another 90,00,000 shares for every next 3-4 years. So that’s and I think that’s my privilege to donate. And then once we donate, they have to be sold to be able to invest in the foundation activities. So I think that’s obvious and I hope shareholders understand that point. Regarding these loans unsecured loans because the company because suddenly the lot of projects were implemented and obviously the receivables have to come from government PSUs and where there were delays, there were delays in receivables. So instead of rushing to the bank. So whatever money I wanted to got to invest in rights, I have invested as unsecured loans here because it is the easiest route for me to fund immediately.
e SDR market is around 3000 crores every year for the last, so many last 7-8 years is buying from different services is about SDR business for military segment alone is that much so and obviously it’s not something that you can do overnight, then everybody could have done it, you know, So for Avantel also, it takes time to do as per software communication architecture, SCA 4.1 specifications and kind of stringent requirements that army and the navy are asking for, including Air Force that shows that the kind of intellectual property that is involved in development of SDRs and Avantel’s capability number one is we are already supplying HFSDRs 1 kilowatt HFSDRs is being supplied to Indian Navy and the shipyards. So our competency and capability is already proven. We have delivered. We are already demonstrated and trials have completed for UHF SDR and UHF sat com SDR to Indian Navy in trials on ships. So there also it’s not on the board drawing board. It’s proven. And 3rd, as you can see, we are selected by Deal Dehradun as against competition from Bell L&T and other major players. So we are short, we became L1 and we are technically qualified. So and those radios are meant for Indian Air Force, Ok, so airborne SDRS for which we have been we got the received the contract also they gave us two years, but I am sure we will develop much before that. Ok. That’s a four channel radio now. Right now they are being imported. This is an import. Two companies were there and we are L1 and some company L2 both of us shared the order, other one is Coral yeah. So that that’s about the SDR capability and development and the big numbers. Defence Services in the next maybe one year. So we are participated in the RFI and if definitely qualification criteria we have to see how much turnover and all that individually or through conversion we will bid for that. That’s big number. So in that the product that is required for that is in am advanced stage and definitely we will meet the requirements. We have given the complaints for all the requirements and it’s that development is going on now, right now at ECT facility in Hyderabad, Ok, when that is 12,000, you can, I don’t know it will be 3000 crores or by 10,000 crores. It depends upon the kind of estimate they have for this product. But definitely I’m sure it will be around maybe 3000 crores or even more, Ok. So that’s the kind of segment we are positioning ourselves and there are entry barriers. There is not something that everybody can by investing money they can develop the product unless the import and obviously imported the equipment are at least 100% more expensive than what is developed by Bharat Electronics. Not even a lender in Bharat Electronics is giving it a competitive price when compared to imports. Dr. Ajit may correct me if I’m wrong. So this is about the SDR part about win profile radar. Yes, we have the technology. We already delivered sharp and two more tenders are coming. One tender is expected this year. One tender is already come. We have already participated in the bid and it may be opened anytime, maybe in the next couple of months. And the next one, the RFP for us may come in the next 2-3 months and we are very confident that we will be there, one for Indian Air Force, One for ISTRAC
Somebody’s talking about 100 crores less or something kind of order. This 100 plus crores of orders will come this year itself and other things like ground stations and all that. One good news is we have a good collaboration with Safran France, the one of the best companies in France, in aerospace, not only in France, in the Europe itself and maybe in the world. So they are, we are collaborating with them for all the ground station 360° coverage, full motion antennas for satellite data reception,
we have already tied up with one company in Med Tech industry for Health Kiosk and we will be doing the contract manufacturing for them. And also we can also sell directly also. It is a very good product. It’s called help pod. It’s like an ATM for healthcare. There are many, many parameters automatically measured. Maybe it’ll take 15 minutes maximum, Max that is otherwise all together, actual measurement time is 5 minutes. So that health part like an ATM Kiosk and we have some requirements. It can be proliferated both. In fact, there’s a potential in military also for that along with our home care product which can be moved into ambulances, army vehicles, trucks and health centers everywhere. It can be fixed along with the H pod. H pod and our health home care unit together. It will be like a mini hospital during diagnostics and service. So both are very good products and the home care product when it comes, it integrates multiple technology. It will have x-ray, ultrasound scan, patient monitor, ventilator. It will have everything that you can ask for to like in whatever is there for the best possible treatment in hospital. So that’s our product and HPOD is the product from Satyendra Goyal who is from Chicago, USA.
They have developed it and they want us to partner. We have signed an MOU also and that is another great opportunity. And in Imax when, when we when we start producing, after the certificate get, start get going, the growth rates will not be 10-15%, but they could be 40-50% year on year or even more 100% or something like that. So once it starts with some 4-5 crores this year, afterwards it could be 30 crores, then it could be 60 to 75 and then hundred. That’s the kind of potential that is there in that area in highlights
With great pleasure and best wishes from all of you, we are delighted to launch new batch of
ALPHA Mentorship Art and Science of Investing(basics to advanced)
to make you Independent in stock markets
Make your journey faster in Stock market (by 3 to 4yrs) with ALPHA LEARNERS Mentorship program
Number of batches and batch size is very very limited considering live classes
A PROGRAM TO MAKE YOU LEARN AND EARN
This is a unique live program for 2.5years approx. with live classes for approx. 5-6 months (on weekends) and 2 years of handholding further
Where one can learn necessary
Fundamental Qualitative concepts to understand the things which create wealth in long run–like how to evaluate management, how to evaluate certain corporate actions, how to understand direction of company
Fundamental Quantitative concepts to substantiate what we have seen qualitatively, understanding ratios and numbers like margins and numbers like EBITDA, PAT, OPM, Financial Ratio, Valuation ratios PE, PB, PS, EVEBITDA, ROE, ROCE, Debt, equity and many other deep ratios to understand whether stock at right price or not
Learn about cost of capital, working capital cycle, inventory turnover, asset turnover, interest coverage, pledging(good or bad)
Why Dividend is good or bad
How long we can hold a stock or when to leave the stock
Capex, Opex and how it impacts and when it impacts
Why certain high pe stocks keep on running and low pe stocks remain down
Red flags and green flags
Necessary Technical aspect to make our entry and exit better in stocks ,oscillators and unique indicators including SMA, DMA, RSI, MACD, EMA, Trends, SL, , different time frames and some UNIQUE TECHNICAL INDICATORS NOT TAUGHT by ANYONE
Technical aspect and understanding of Price Volume action, candlestick patterns ( bullish, bearish, single, double, triple patterns)
Technical understanding of Targets from different patterns, How to look for patterns and when to look for which pattern
Resources to analyze faster to analyze more companies faster
Understand Contrarian, Cyclical, Value and Growth investing
Bucket and GRADE Framework
Business Moats understanding–how to categorize moats, what is real moat, what is fake moat
Exit Strategies in stocks
Reading Balances sheet in simple way to analyze results and issues to make quick exits or to do pyramiding after results
Reading Cash flows in simple way to understand where money is being moved in company
Reading Quarterly, half yearly, yearly results and interpreting them better
Tricks and Checklist for faster analysis of Annual Reports to help us all understand whether to deep dive or not
Conf-call understanding, Transcripts Concepts and Tricks to understand faster
Big money moves aspect to understand where money is moving
Concepts and tricks on various intricacies in stock market
Understanding about primary, secondary market
Also get a KNOWHOW on
Checklist for stocks to identify red flags faster
Checklist for deep dive into selected stocks
How to build Portfolio for Short term
How to build Portfolio for Long term
How to find Multi bagger stocks
How to avoid pitfalls in market
When to exit stocks
Free lifetime learning through a Whatsapp Community (apart from Program content) & Bonus Sessions
Join like minded people to interact with on CHARTS, Domain KNOWLEDGE, Sector Expertise etc
This is a program YOU CAN NOT AFFORD TO MISS
Other Details
Time period 2.5 Years
Starting time 21st jul24
Live classes on Sunday Morning/afternoon mostly
Time duration of each lecture –approx 1.5 to 2 Hrs
Time period of live classes 6 months approx.
Each session recorded and shared with participants
Next 2 years handholding to close the GAPS in knowledge with Handholding, Quizzes, Exercises, Bonus sessions, Charts, Fundamentals and Business analysis from time to time
Be ready to WELCOME 2025 with Knowledge
Let 2024 be the start of your journey towards INDEPENDENCE IN STOCK MARKETS
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
Jupiter Wagons Limited (JWL) is a provider of comprehensive mobility solutions, with diverse offerings across Freight Wagons, Locomotives, Passenger Coaches (LHB), Braking Systems, Metro Coach, Commercial Vehicles, ISO Marine Containers, and products such as Couplers, Draft Gears, Bogies, and CMS Crossings. JWL has manufacturing facilities located in Kolkata, Jamshedpur, Indore, and Jabalpur with full backward integration to its foundry operations.
With a rich legacy over four decades, the Company has leveraged its deep technological capabilities and robust financial position to emerge as a one-stop shop for mobility solutions and reinforce its position as one of the fastest growing within the industry.
Products, Segments
Railway Wagons
Commercial Vehicles incluising Electric Light Commercial Vehicle business (eLCV)
CMS Crossing
Brake Systems & Brake Disc
Containers including Flex Containers, Marine containers , BESS containers
Strengthsand Certifications
The Group has established partnerships with leading global companies such as Tatravagonka (Slovakia), DAKO-CZ (Czech Republic), Kovis Proizvodna (Slovenia), Telleres Alegria S.A (Spain).
Marquee clients associated with company
JWL is one of India’s largest wagon manufacturers, with a capacity of 9,600 wagons per annum
Improving scale of operations
Healthy order book providing revenue visibility
Experienced Management and leadership team
12 World-class manufacturing facilities
3,000+ Workforce
Clients
Catering to industries such as Railways (Freight + Passenger), Metro Rail, Automobile, Transportation, Logistics, Construction Equipment, Municipalities, Healthcare, Energy, Mining and Infrastructure, the Company boasts a marquee client base including the Indian Railways, American Railroads, Indian Ministry of Defense, Tata Motors, GE, Volvo Eicher Motors
Joint Ventures
Fundamental Ratios, Cash, Loans, EBITDA,PAT margin, Shareholding pattern
Consistent increase in sales over last 12 qtrs barring a quarter or so Profits have multiplies by 8x in last 2 years
Consistent Tax records
ROCE and ROE is reasonably above 20%
Promoter has skin in game, FII is increasing stake, DII stake is stable
Recent Developmentsand Key Triggers
Dedicated Freight corridor, Projected Wagon demand, Improving logistics share through Railways are big triggers for continuous growth of this segment
JWL has made a strategic entry into the global markets by signing a long-term Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with RITES Limited, a prominent PSU associated with the Indian Railways, to explore opportunities in the international market for railway rolling stock projects. JWL’s focus is on the design, manufacturing, and supply of Railway wagons.
The Company is focusing efforts on achieving Import Substitution, particularly in the areas of High-tech and Highend Containers. To further elevate global competitiveness, manufacturing facilities have been fully automated, enabling consistent production and maintaining world-class quality standards. The manufacturing facility is certified by both ‘LRQA’ and ‘BVQI’.
A new foundry is scheduled to be established in Jabalpur over the next 18 months with a capacity of 2,000 tonnes, catering to both captive use and exports. This initiative is expected to yield cost savings in freight expenses.
In the Marine Container Business, the outlook for specialized containers is improving as the Company has: Secured a contract for 40-foot ‘Open Top, Coil Containers’ with a pilot order worth ₹ 1,000 lakh.
Received a Letter of Intent (LOI) from an Indian Subsidiary of a Prestigious Global Group for the supply of 1,000 units of special Flex Inverter containers for the fiscal year 2024-25.
JV Company JWL DAKO CZ India Ltd. has received an order aggregating ~₹ 11,200 lakh for axle-mounted disc brake systems from Indian Railways.
The BESS container, a key element in Solar and Data Centre Containers, offering energy storage capabilities has a huge market opportunity in round-the-clock Renewable Energy Projects as well as Commercial Industrial Energy storage in both domestic and international markets. With Jupiter’s expertise in making containers for this application, we now are looking forward to adding more value for the same by creating complete integrated solutions for varied markets.
Successful Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) in May and December 2023 amounting to ~ ₹ 528cr which includes prominent investors, including DIIs like Tata MF, HSBC MF, Bandhan Equity Fund, and FII’s like Societe Generale, and Copthall Mauritius Investment Limited.
JWL is one of India’s largest wagon manufacturers, with a capacity of 9,600 wagons per annum with plans to enhance capacity to 12,000 wagons per annum by Q1 fiscal 2025.
JWL has also ventured in brake disc, brake systems for rolling stock and weldable CMS Crossing manufacturing during fiscals 2023-24 equipping JWL to capitalize on robust spendings for developing high speed train infrastructure, and to fortify its market position in this segment, in Q1 fiscal 2024 JWL has acquired Stone India Limited, having extensive infrastructure and licensing for brake manufacturing.
Valuations
Looking at their growth currently and opportunity size in coming years, Stock is trading at fair value. Once the capacity comes online and if company executes the order well , it might look undervalued intermittently
Risks
Exposure to risks relating to fluctuation in raw material prices and intense competition: The key inputs include steel and related products. While the IR projects generally have a long execution period and are covered by a price-variation clause to a large extent, private sector orders are generally fixed in nature.
Cash flows poses a big risk due to intensive working capital operations
Valuations are subjective but definitely its not hugely undervalued in short term
Most orders are from Railways and have this dependency in business, though company is trying to diversify
Technicals on 11-May-24
Conclusion
If you have understood the triggers and industries it cater to + RISKS which can materialize and have patience then think of buying this company in every dip, market offers, else Ignore the stock
Stock might be volatile in short term and give a chance to buy around 425-525 range for long term investment purpose
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
Savita Oil Technologies Limited, established in 1961, is a specialty petroleum products company engaged in manufacturing Transformer Oils, White Oils etc.
The Co manufactures products like Transformer Oils, Liquid Paraffins, White Oils, Automotive and Industrial Lubricants, Coolants and Greases, among others. These products are essentially obtained through refining base oil, and topped with additives to derive the required characteristics. A wide range of lubricants, greases, and coolants of the Co are sold to retail customers under the brand SAVSOL
The Co has a market share of ~35% in the domestic transformer oil and white oil segments.
The Co’s manufacturing facilities are situated in the state of Maharashtra and at Silvassa in the UT of Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu with total refining capacities of 450,000 kilolitres per annum. Its windmills are located at 18 sites in the states of Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka and have an installed capacity to produce 54.15 MW of wind-powered electricity
Company has 80 % domestic sales vs 20% exports
Revenue distribution 75% from petroleum and 25% from lubricating oils
Unit I – Navi Mumbai, Maharashtra Unit II – Mahad, Maharashtra Unit III – Kharadpada, Silvassa Unit IV – Silli, Silvassa
41 Stock points,
20,000 Retailers
400 Distributors
1,500 Franchise Dealers
Products, Segments and Strengths
Two major segments : Petroleum Oils and Lubricating Oils
Petroleum oils : Transformer oils, White and Mineral oil, Speciality oil : ~75% sales as portion of total sales over last 2 years
Transformer oils : These oils are used as an insulating and cooling medium in distribution transformers, power transformers and instrumentation transformers
White oils :
Offer wide range of highly refined specialty mineral oil based products under the “TECHNOL” and “SAVONOL” brand.
They manufacture petroleum jellies like Ultima White, Snow White, Yellow Petroleum Jelly and other specific industrial grade petrolatum’s under the brand “Savogel”
Key properties of this fluids are good lubricity, smoothness, softness and resistance to moisture in the formulations
Specialized waxes and emulsions including paraffin wax emulsions, microcrystalline wax, Polyethylene wax, oxidized PE wax and a range of wax emulsions. Wax Emulsion protect coating and ink surfaces for diverse applications
Cable filling and flooding compounds for copper cables as well as Optic Fiber Cables under “Savofil”, “Savoflod” and “Vitagel” brand names. This compound helps moisture tolerance, softness and stability at an extreme temperature
3.Formulated & Specialty Products
The 5G Telecom spectrum auction held in 2022 and subsequent rollout of the network is expected to generate healthy demand for this product
› Growing demand from end user market
› Government Linked PLI Scheme
Key Growth Drivers
Optic Fibre Cables
Textile & Leather
Auto components
Polymers
Refrigeration Compressors
Construction Compounds
Lubricating oils : Automotive and Industrial oils
Automotive oils
The lubricant brand SAVSOL manufactures and markets high performance lubricants, fluids, coolants & greases and is amongst the fastest growing lubricant brand of India
It has a comprehensive range of automotive lubricants meeting the growing demand for sustainable products in various categories, i.e., Passenger Car Oils, Motorcycle Oils, Commercial Vehicle Oils, and Other Specialty Products
SAVSOL portfolio has products which successfully meets the latest & stringent BS VI emission norms for automobiles
Savita Oil Technologies known for its high quality lubricant manufacturing with state-of-the-art plants and technology centre has been amongst preferred supplier to automotive OEMs for a wide range of lubricant applications
Trusted partner for leading automotive OEMs. Some of our OEM associations are existing for over two decades
A fully equipped technical and quality control lab ensures high quality standards
Industrial oils
Savita Oil Technologies has been a trusted partner to Industrial OEMs for a wide range of lubricant application needs.
› It has an elaborate product portfolio under Brand “SAVSOL” catering to various Industrial applications and provides
excellent lubrication, performance and protection to different types of Machines and Industrial Equipment
The exhaustive portfolio includes wide range of Hydraulic Oils, Turbine Oils, Thermic Fluids, Heavy Duty Industrial Gear
Oils, Transmission Oils, Greases, Heat Treatment (Quenching Oils), Metal Working Oils and other Specialty Oils
Strengths
Multi-decade relationships with many of our OEM and B2B customers across all product lines
In-house technology and R&D is the backbone of our company and has manifested many high quality products across the product portfolio.
Focus on innovation
Focus on sustainable products development
Management has almost 3 decades of experience.
Company has ISO and other necessary certifications in its field of operations
Clients
Fundamental Ratios, Cash, Loans, EBITDA,PAT margin, Shareholding pattern
Consistent record of Dividends since listing in 1994 Healthy cash generation over the years Debt free balance sheet Consistent track of profitability despite market volatility Longstanding relationships with customers and vendors
Consistent Tax records
Cash conversion cycle and working capital cycle is good.
Cash flows seems good
ROCE is reasonably above 20%
Shareholding pattern
Promoter has skin in game. SBI energy fund has entered recently
Transformer oils : Rising Investments over the next decade in transmission segment to support higher generation capacity and rural electrification Rising demand for modernization of aging grid infrastructure coupled with large scale capacity addition will boost the market
White oils : The Indian personal care industry is witnessing a boom due to changing perceptions, growing awareness, and the rise of direct-to-consumer (D2C) companies making waves in the online retail space Growing demand of cosmetic and pharma products from urban & rural India
Product Innovation
Company is focused on building an independent distribution network for our industrial lubricants and with this now in place , they want to rapidly scale up industrial lubricant volumes
Company has created a subsidiary and moving towards plastic recycling
Savita Greentec Limited (a subsidiary of Savita Oil Technologies Limited) is expected to commence construction of Greenfield Projects in plastic recycling in theQ4Fy24
SAVSOL Bio Boost, one of India’s most biodegradable engine oils is launched
Oct23 – successfully commissioned new Synthetic Ester manufacturing plant
Commissioned new Synthetic Ester manufacturing plant at Mahad, Maharashtra with a designed capacity of 5,000 metric tons of which current operational capacity would be ~3,000 metric tonnes per annum
The new synthetic ester manufacturing plant will provide a strategic advantage to Savita by making it the first company in the world to manufacture and market all three classes of Transformer Fluids vis. Mineral Oil Based, Natural Ester Based as well as Synthetic Ester Based Transformer Fluids. The applications of these Esters are very versatile, and we will be able to leverage our existing client base to cross-sell these products while tapping new clientele. With these plant-based esters, we will have a more sustainable and environment friendly product range in the premium and synthetic categories. We plan to launch a new range of EV Coolants and immersion Cooling Fluids based on Esters from this plant. One of our products has already been approved by a reputed OEM as an EV coolant. We are also undertaking trials with another potential customer for immersion cooling.
Environment friendly products
Company have evaluated the introduction of versatile ester-based compounds (esters) in product range to enhance our diversified offerings of environmentally friendly products. Group V Base Oils comprising Polyol, Phosphate and other Esters are the most superior performing fluids that exceed the performance of synthetic base oils on parameters of lubrication, thermal stability, oxidative stability, compatibility with most metals and sealants and biodegradable with low toxicity
Modernisation of Existing Transformers: Majority of India’s transformers and power infrastructure components are ageing and need replacement or modernisation. This drives the demand for newer, more efficient, and technologically advanced transformers.
Implementation of Smart Grid: The development of smart grids requires intelligent transformers that can handle bidirectional power flow, manage voltage fluctuations, and support grid automation. This opens avenues for technologically advanced transformers. Moreover, the demand for energy-efficient transformers that reduce transmission losses and improve overall grid efficiency is steadily expanding in India. The transformer fluids market in India holds promising opportunities as the country strives to meet its increasing power demands while addressing environmental concerns and adopting technological advancements.
Company is seeing a substantial increase in customer order books within the Power and Distribution Transformer sector, with their production capacity reserved for the coming 12-16 months. This heightened demand extends beyond India; the export segment to North America and other regions is also demonstrating promising growth potential. This is attributed to India’s competitive manufacturing ecosystem for transformers, well-suited to meet global requirements.
Alternative Fluids Bio-Based – Your Company also produces bioTransol, a natural ester-based insulating fluid designed for transformers. This groundbreaking product was originally launched by Savita Polymers Limited (earlier a wholly-owned subsidiary of your Company which is in the process of being merged into your Company), in 2015. Remarkably, it marked the first instance of an Indian company introducing such a product to the market. With an extensive reach, bioTransol has been applied to over 300 projects, solidifying its impact. This product promotes environmental consciousness with a high proportion of biodegradability. Moreover, its safety and efficiency surpass conventional options across various equipment applications. Your Company is actively engaged in collaborating with major national and state utility boards, as well as Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM) clients, to showcase the product’s merits. Not only does bioTransol offer a more effective solution within its grade, but it also embodies environmental sustainability. In an environment where global OEMs are compelled to reduce their carbon footprint, the appeal of such products is further enhanced. Company is confident that the adoption of Natural Ester-Based Transformer Fluids will witness substantial growth, becoming an integral component of OEM consumption.
Synthetic Based – Your Company is poised to introduce Transol Synth100, a cutting-edge synthetic ester-based insulation fluid. This fluid represents a significant advancement in transformer fluid technology, surpassing existing solutions across a range of parameters. Transol Synth100 stands as the most robust transformer fluid to date. As this product comes at a higher cost compared to mineral or natural esters, Transol Synth100 finds application in highly sensitive applications such as Locomotives (Metro and Rail), Mining, and Floating Solar projects. The overall lifecycle cost of this fluid effectively offsets its initial investment which will serve as a key driving force in the gradual transition from mineral to ester fluids within the ecosystem. With the launch of Transol Synth100 in the coming financial year, your Company will achieve a remarkable milestone, emerging as the sole manufacturer of the entire spectrum of transformer fluids – Mineral, Natural, and Synthetic.
Capex
Capacity Expansion Increasing capacity through continued investments for efficient leveraging of comprehensive and balanced product portfolio
Valuations
Reasonable valuations with PE <20. If the company shows growth in coming years as per their talk and opportunity size, this price looks undervalued
Risks
During the quarter under review, two critical components – Base Oils and the Exchange Rate have witnessed major volatility and both of these impacted us adversely. Base Oils Prices have fallen about 25% since June 2022 and the Indian rupee also depreciated significantly in the Quarter ending December, 2022. This resulted in inventory and foreign exchange losses which have impacted our margins
Any policy changes can impact the company hard
Technicals on 28Apr24
Stock has given a breakout and volumes are supporting upmove as well
Conclusion
If you have understood the triggers and industries it cater to + RISKS which can materialize and have patience then think of buying this company in every dip, market offers, else Ignore the stock
Stock might be volatile in short term and give a chance to buy around 500-650 range for long term investment purpose
Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
With great pleasure and best wishes from all of you, we are delighted to launch new batch of
ALPHA Mentorship Art and Science of Investing(basics to advanced)
to make you Independent in stock markets
Make your journey faster in Stock market (by 3 to 4yrs) with ALPHA LEARNERS Mentorship program
Number of batches and batch size is very very limited considering live classes
A PROGRAM TO MAKE YOU LEARN AND EARN
This is a unique live program for 2.5years approx. with live classes for approx. 5-6 months (on weekends) and 2 years of handholding further
Where one can learn necessary
Fundamental Qualitative concepts to understand the things which create wealth in long run–like how to evaluate management, how to evaluate certain corporate actions, how to understand direction of company
Fundamental Quantitative concepts to substantiate what we have seen qualitatively, understanding ratios and numbers like margins and numbers like EBITDA, PAT, OPM, Financial Ratio, Valuation ratios PE, PB, PS, EVEBITDA, ROE, ROCE, Debt, equity and many other deep ratios to understand whether stock at right price or not
Learn about cost of capital, working capital cycle, inventory turnover, asset turnover, interest coverage, pledging(good or bad)
Why Dividend is good or bad
How long we can hold a stock or when to leave the stock
Capex, Opex and how it impacts and when it impacts
Why certain high pe stocks keep on running and low pe stocks remain down
Red flags and green flags
Necessary Technical aspect to make our entry and exit better in stocks ,oscillators and unique indicators including SMA, DMA, RSI, MACD, EMA, Trends, SL, , different time frames and some UNIQUE TECHNICAL INDICATORS NOT TAUGHT by ANYONE
Technical aspect and understanding of Price Volume action, candlestick patterns ( bullish, bearish, single, double, triple patterns)
Technical understanding of Targets from different patterns, How to look for patterns and when to look for which pattern
Resources to analyze faster to analyze more companies faster
Understand Contrarian, Cyclical, Value and Growth investing
Bucket and GRADE Framework
Business Moats understanding–how to categorize moats, what is real moat, what is fake moat
Exit Strategies in stocks
Reading Balances sheet in simple way to analyze results and issues to make quick exits or to do pyramiding after results
Reading Cash flows in simple way to understand where money is being moved in company
Reading Quarterly, half yearly, yearly results and interpreting them better
Tricks and Checklist for faster analysis of Annual Reports to help us all understand whether to deep dive or not
Conf-call understanding, Transcripts Concepts and Tricks to understand faster
Big money moves aspect to understand where money is moving
Concepts and tricks on various intricacies in stock market
Understanding about primary, secondary market
Also get a KNOWHOW on
Checklist for stocks to identify red flags faster
Checklist for deep dive into selected stocks
How to build Portfolio for Short term
How to build Portfolio for Long term
How to find Multi bagger stocks
How to avoid pitfalls in market
When to exit stocks
Free lifetime learning through a Whatsapp Community (apart from Program content) & Bonus Sessions
Join like minded people to interact with on CHARTS, Domain KNOWLEDGE, Sector Expertise etc
This is a program YOU CAN NOT AFFORD TO MISS
Other Details
Time period 2.5 Years
Starting time Jan24
Live classes on Sunday afternoon mostly
Time duration of each lecture –approx 1.5 to 2 Hrs
Time period of live classes 6 months
Each session recorded and shared with participants
Next 2 years handholding to close the GAPS in knowledge with Handholding, Quizzes, Exercises, Bonus sessions, Charts, Fundamentals and Business analysis from time to time
Have a Resolute NEW YEAR 2024
Let 2024 be the start of your journey towards INDEPENDENCE IN STOCK MARKETS
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
With great pleasure and best wishes from all of you, we are delighted to launch new batch of
ALPHA Mentorship Art and Science of Investing(basics to advanced)
to make you Independent in stock markets
Make your journey faster in Stock market (by 3 to 4yrs) with ALPHA LEARNERS Mentorship program
Number of batches and batch size is very very limited considering live classes
EARLY BIRD DISCOUNTS if one Enrols before 25th DEC 2023
A PROGRAM TO MAKE YOU LEARN AND EARN
This is a unique live program for 2.5years approx. with live classes for approx. 5-6 months (on weekends) and 2 years of handholding further
Where one can learn necessary
Fundamental Qualitative concepts to understand the things which create wealth in long run–like how to evaluate management, how to evaluate certain corporate actions, how to understand direction of company
Fundamental Quantitative concepts to substantiate what we have seen qualitatively, understanding ratios and numbers like margins and numbers like EBITDA, PAT, OPM, Financial Ratio, Valuation ratios PE, PB, PS, EVEBITDA, ROE, ROCE, Debt, equity and many other deep ratios to understand whether stock at right price or not
Learn about cost of capital, working capital cycle, inventory turnover, asset turnover, interest coverage, pledging(good or bad)
Why Dividend is good or bad
How long we can hold a stock or when to leave the stock
Capex, Opex and how it impacts and when it impacts
Why certain high pe stocks keep on running and low pe stocks remain down
Red flags and green flags
Necessary Technical aspect to make our entry and exit better in stocks ,oscillators and unique indicators including SMA, DMA, RSI, MACD, EMA, Trends, SL, , different time frames and some UNIQUE TECHNICAL INDICATORS NOT TAUGHT by ANYONE
Technical aspect and understanding of Price Volume action, candlestick patterns ( bullish, bearish, single, double, triple patterns)
Technical understanding of Targets from different patterns, How to look for patterns and when to look for which pattern
Resources to analyze faster to analyze more companies faster
Understand Contrarian, Cyclical, Value and Growth investing
Bucket and GRADE Framework
Business Moats understanding–how to categorize moats, what is real moat, what is fake moat
Exit Strategies in stocks
Reading Balances sheet in simple way to analyze results and issues to make quick exits or to do pyramiding after results
Reading Cash flows in simple way to understand where money is being moved in company
Reading Quarterly, half yearly, yearly results and interpreting them better
Tricks and Checklist for faster analysis of Annual Reports to help us all understand whether to deep dive or not
Conf-call understanding, Transcripts Concepts and Tricks to understand faster
Big money moves aspect to understand where money is moving
Concepts and tricks on various intricacies in stock market
Understanding about primary, secondary market
Also get a KNOWHOW on
Checklist for stocks to identify red flags faster
Checklist for deep dive into selected stocks
How to build Portfolio for Short term
How to build Portfolio for Long term
How to find Multi bagger stocks
How to avoid pitfalls in market
When to exit stocks
Free lifetime learning through a Whatsapp Community (apart from Program content) & Bonus Sessions
Join like minded people to interact with on CHARTS, Domain KNOWLEDGE, Sector Expertise etc
This is a program YOU CAN NOT AFFORD TO MISS
Other Details
Time period 2.5 Years
Starting time Jan24
Live classes on Sunday afternoon mostly
Time duration of each lecture –approx 1.5 to 2 Hrs
Time period of live classes 6 months
Each session recorded and shared with participants
Next 2 years handholding to close the GAPS in knowledge with Handholding, Quizzes, Exercises, Bonus sessions, Charts, Fundamentals and Business analysis from time to time
Have a Resolute NEW YEAR 2024
Let 2024 be the start of your journey towards INDEPENDENCE IN STOCK MARKETS
ACT NOW for your Independence
FEEDBACK By ALPHA LEARNERS
EARLY BIRD DISCOUNTS if one Enrols before 25th DEC 2023
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
For more valuable financial resources, check out the Alpha Affairs website!
Cash flow issues sink small businesses every single day. If you’re not on top of your cash flow, future financial problems are inevitable. Learning about common cash flow issues and good financial management practices will ensure you don’t fall victim to the mistakes made by many other small business owners. Below, we share some great tips to help you establish good cash flow practices from day one!
Protect Your Personal Assets
Before concerning yourself with your business finances, make sure your personal financial health is in good standing. Many first-time entrepreneurs don’t think about the fact that their personal assets are at risk in the case of litigation or overdue business debts. Shield yourself from financial hardship by establishing your business as a separate legal entity.
One of the easiest ways to do this is to form an LLC. Besides shielding your personal assets, forming an LLC will also offer tax advantages that can further support your financial health. You can form an LLC online through formation services like ZenBusiness. Just make sure you review the rules and regulations around forming an LLC in your specific state before moving forward!
Speed Up Accounts Receivable
The faster you can get money coming in, the better. Collecting money owed to you by customers and clients will ensure you have the cash you need to pay your bills on time. Thankfully, there are many things you can do to speed up your accounts receivable. Consider asking clients for a deposit before starting work on a project. Invoice your clients as soon as the work is done. And make it as easy as possible for people to send you money by setting up digital payments. If your clients tend to wait a long time before paying their invoices, consider establishing late penalties or early payment discounts to incentivize them to pay faster.
Cut Your Ongoing Expenses
Many small business owners don’t start thinking about making expense cuts until they’re facing tough times. But to keep your cash flow strong, try to be mindful of your spending at all times. Always be on the lookout for ways to reduce your ongoing expenses, whether this means downgrading to a less expensive email service provider or reducing the size of your office and hiring remote employees. When cutting costs, don’t sacrifice the quality of your products or your customer service. As MoneyHighStreet explains, striving for high levels of customer satisfaction and encouraging repeat business is much more affordable than continuously looking for new customers.
Stabilize Cash Flow with a Line of Credit
Cash flow naturally fluctuates throughout the year. As consumer shopping behavior shifts with the seasons, it can be tough to keep up with your spending needs. For example, if you need to purchase extra inventory ahead of the holidays, you may be short on working capital for a while. This is where a line of credit can help you out. A line of credit will allow you to access cash quickly, so you can pay bills or purchase inventory when your cash flow slows down. Unlike traditional loans that require a long and drawn-out application process, lines of credit make money available whenever you need it.
Lines of credit are ideal for established businesses but may not be available for startups. According to ZDNet, most lenders will require that your business has been operating for at least 6 months and earns an annual income of $25,000 or more. You may have to rely on a personal line of credit until your business is established enough to qualify for its own.
Maintaining healthy cash flow is key to the long-term success of your business. Make sure you always have the working capital you need to pay the bills and your business is sure to thrive! Taking steps to cut your costs, speed up your accounts receivable, and stabilize your cash flow will go a long way towards securing your financial future.
Three common ratios ( D/E), (Debt Service Coverage ratio) and (Interest service coverage ratio) represented in annual report and discussed at various places in quarterly results of many companies.
These numbers, if not given, can also be calculated if few details are looked into the report carefully
Leadership: Mega-trends and leadership : value investing (Youtube)
Photography: Free Software a photographer inside you needs (Lights)
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form
Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.
Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.
Start by doing 1 exercise Start by drinking 1 cup of water Start by saving 1 dollar Start by reading 1 page Start by buying 1 stock Start by walking 1 lap Start by meditating for 1 minute Start by writing 1 sentence