Stocks · SWOT

Sunrise : Engineering Solutions provider – Strategy and Opportunities for FY26 and FY27

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Axiscades Technologies Limited

Key Investment thesis –> Company focus on Aerospace, Defense, Semiconductor, Electronic system verticals and gearing up for FY26, FY27

Business

AXISCADES is a leading, end to end technology and engineering solutions provider aiding creation of innovative, sustainable and safer products worldwide. AXISCADES is headquartered in Bangalore with subsidiaries in USA, UK, Canada, Germany, India and China; and offices in Germany, France, Denmark, USA and Canada.
AXISCADES has a diverse team of over 3,100 professionals working across 20 locations across North America, Europe, UK and Asia-Pacific, striving to reduce the program risk and time to market.

The company offers Product Engineering Solutions across Embedded Software and Hardware, Digitization and Automation, Mechanical Engineering, System Integration, Test Solutions, Manufacturing Engineering, Technical Publications, and Aftermarket Solutions.
The solutions comprehensive portfolio covers the complete product development lifecycle from concept evaluation to manufacturing support and certification for Fortune 500 Companies in the Aerospace, Defense, Heavy Engineering, Automotive, Energy and Semiconductor industries.

Current serving Major Industries

  • Aerospace
  • Heavy Engineering
  • Products engineering
  • Products and Solutions for Defense
  • AIP and Energy
  • Semiconductors

Awards

Received 3rd consecutive Diamond supplier award from Bombardier for 2022. This recognition is a testament to our unwavering commitment to excellence, innovation, and delivering with the highest standards of quality.

Opportunities :

  • Unique positioning with deep domain capabilities ranging across competencies, with respect to – Electronics Products, Engineering Services and Defence
  • Growth driven by leveraging Digital ER&D and Defence
  • ER&D Services – A large and underpenetrated market with a Global TAM of ~$1 Tn
  • Strong Defence-Tech Play with leadership in Radar, Sonar and Electronic Warfare systems

FY24 revenue breakup

Q1Fy25 revenues breakup

Q2Fy25 revenues breakup

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT, SHP

Stable OPM, Stable tax, Quarterly YOY growth in sales and PAT, Borrowing reducing

DE ~0.4 , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil, ROCE < 15 and ROE<10%

Promoter has sufficient skin in game, Cash flows are good, Cash conversion cycle is elongated

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Appointment of Chairman Mr. Abidali

Appointed Mr. Abidali Neemuchwala as Chairman of the Board and Non-Executive Director at AXISCADES. With a distinguished career spanning over three decades in the technology industry, he has earned enviable reputation for his expertise in aligning organizations, driving business results, and consistently leading transformational initiatives.

Strategic partnerships and Opening Engineering design center

Signed a strategic partnership with with Cantier, a Singapore-based powerhouse in Manufacturing Execution Systems (MES), with a specialization in Industry 4.0 integration to create a synergy that promises to elevate precision, efficiency, and innovation in the manufacturing sector.

Inaugurated Engineering Design Centre in Saltney, UK to serve the long-term requirements of the Aerospace Industry and various promising opportunities in the region.

Signed a strategic partnership with KANZEN Institute Asia-Pacific Pvt Ltd (KIAP), for new age Industry IIoT, Digital Automation and MES 4.0 implementation for delivering enhanced value to our Global customers.

Mergers and Acquisitions and QIP

Completed the acquisition of add solution GmbH which will strengthen our service offerings and bring opportunities to deliver enhanced value to our combined global client base. . This will provide us with a strategic foothold in the automotive space, with significant offshoring opportunities and access to marquee global automotive OEMs.

The board has also approved the acquisition of EPCOGEN., a niche service provider in Energy space, specializing in engineering design and solutions. This proposed acquisition will strengthen our presence in energy vertical, provide access to Middle East and North American Energy markets

QIP in Jan2024 at 657Rs/share — The Company successfully concluded the Equity Raise of INR 220 Crores in January 2024, with marquee Institutional Investors subscribing to the issue. This will strengthen the balance sheet and improve profitability, Reduction in Net Borrowings by 60% from INR 214 crores to INR 85 crores, which will significantly reduce Finance Cost

Deal Wins

  • Deal win with Aerospace OEM with TCV of $ 18 Mn in the areas of in-service repair and manufacturing support
  • Design and prototype wins in several defense programs, such as HISAR, next generation ERP for combat aircrafts, Intel based SBC, DEAL satellite terminal design, DF for Naval program, adding to the production order pipeline
  • Digital Team ramped to 75+ FTEs with deep competencies in automation, AI/ML and robotics, with complete digital project execution capabilities
  • Acquisition of add-solutions GmbH and EPCOGEN, opens new vistas in Automotive and Energy Space, adding strategic logos and competencies

Q4FY24 updates

  • Revenue from new customer logos grows to Rs.69 crores, a growth of 5 Times over the previous year
  • Deal win with Aerospace OEM with TCV of $ 18 Mn in the areas of in-service repair and manufacturing support
  • Defense Production Revenues in Mistral triples from Rs.39 crores to Rs.112 crores, with Rs.272 crores in executable production orders
  • Commencement of delayed delivery of Man Portable Counter Drone System (MPCDS) to the Indian Army, with significant addressable
  • market in Indian Defense and Global Markets
  • Design and prototype wins in several defense programs, such as HISAR, next generation ERP for combat aircrafts, Intel based SBC, DEAL satellite
    terminal design, DF for Naval program, adding to the production order pipeline
  • Digital Team ramped to 75+ FTEs with deep competencies in automation, AI/ML and robotics, with complete digital project execution capabilities
  • Advanced level discussions with leading helicopter manufacturer for engineering and design support
  • New opportunities in counter drone system over next 5 years are highly promising with addressable market more than INR 3,000 Cr. 40 Nos of one of a kind Man Portable Counter Drone System (MPCDS) cleared for dispatch to the Indian Army. Balance 60 Nos under production.
  • Onboarded world’s largest phone and consumer electronic manufacturer as a customer with clear glide path on engagements into FY25

Order book at 30th Ap24 — 749Cr

Q1FY25 updates

  • Mistral Solutions received order of ₹90 crores from BEL for supplying Radar Processing Systems
  • Ramp up in aerospace with European OEM focused on production and plant migration efforts
  • Ramp up in high end cybersecurity solutioning with UK automotive manufacturer.
  • Onboarded an EPC major from Middle East as our customer with long term contract
  • Completed second tranche of delivery of Man Portable Counter Drone System (MPCDS) to the Indian Army

Expenses hit in past Q3/Q4 Fy24

Increase in finance cost due to debt funding for Mistral acquisition . In Q2 FY24, the material cost has increased due to increase in production orders in Mistral and increase in employee expenses on account of annual increments and investments in building competencies in Embedded and Digital for future growth

Q2FY25 Update

Defence revenues grew by a healthy 73% QoQ, with Defence production revenues surging by 84% QoQ, bolstered by a significant order backlog set for execution in fiscal years 2025 & 2026. With a healthy pipeline and focused approach, over the next 12-18 months, we aim the defence revenue to reach around 60% of the overall company’s revenue

Management commentary With latest focus areas

  1. Unmanned combat, we are having anti-drone, drones, and drone controllers
  2. Foreign OEMs, we have a three-pronged, that is, weapon package, submarine, and avionics. preferred offset partner for the weapon system, weapon package
  3. new programs, all our missile programs, one is the largest missile program in India, another is an upgrade of the existing missile program, another is ground system for key programs
  4. Product focus : particular product direct RF. Then there is, of course, our product X-band radar, which is primarily used in the submarine and marine systems.
  5. Airbus, we have major programs running in India. C295, MRTT, Multi Role Transportation Tanker, which is going to be 330 based, And AVEX, of course, 319 based.
  6. Tying with AgniKul, having an MOU with them, and approaching the ISRO, ISRO and other space agencies for two major things, NGLV, New Generation Launch Vehicle, and Bharatiya Space Station. So we want to add value to them significantly, and there could be opportunities in 3D additive manufacturing, and designing of certain subsystem blocks, etcetera. Then there is also chances for electronics-based algorithms and advanced systems, and for the guidance and navigation, that product we’ll be able to make. The third one is AI-based anomaly detection in the launching

Capturing some discussions from Dec24 confcall

C2P strategy, that is, chip to product. That is Mistral’s non-defense activity, or our group’s non-defense activity., we are shifting the center of gravity of C2P to US. Basically it will be driven out of US. We’ll have a small team there and driving the offshore team here. That’s the strategy

We are a very, very good RF in RF. We consider we are among the best in India for RF. RF and RF activities. Second is probably we are one of the best in handling mixed signals. We can handle analog, digital, RF, everything together. That is one of our forte.
Third is sensor fusion. We can handle multiple sensor. Sensor fusion comes very, very handy when you deal with multiple sensor in a new AI environment, in new robotics or auto-driven and those kinds of things. We are extremely good in both. Then we are very good in ruggedization. We are especially because we are very defense focused. We can ruggedize any product and do that.
And finally that we are very good in the chip, chip level, post-silicon, whatever it is, validation, verification, and take the chip to the product and then product to the customers

Continuous Hiring of Talent

Orders winning, Expansion in Middle east and Outlook for different segments by Management

Added this latest development on 17Jun25

INDRA SIGNS AGREEMENT WITH AXISCADES TO BOOST PRODUCTION OF CUTTING-EDGE SYSTEMS IN INDIA

  • Indra, a European-based global leader in defense, aerospace, and strategic systems, and
    AXISCADES a prominent technology solutions provider in defense, aerospace and strategic
    electronics, are proud to announce a strategic alliance.
  • Indra is keen to acquire defense-related products and services from AXISCADES, which will be
    delivered through AXISCADES’ comprehensive design, development, production, and supply
    chain center.
  • Both companies are actively exploring joint product development for the Indian and global
    markets, potentially adapting existing Indra products or creating new ones specifically tailored to
    meet customer needs.

Technical chart on 15-dec24

Technical chart on 29-dec24

Highly competitive industry

Acquisitions dont play out as anticipated

Customer concentration risk – On a consolidated basis, ~26% of ACTL’s revenues in FY23 were from its top two clients (35% in FY22).

Slowdown in Europe impacting automotive revenues

Heavy Engineering vertical remains a drag for few more qtrs although optimization work going on

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

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Stocks · SWOT

Air flow into new age industries

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Aeroflex Industries

Key Investment thesis –> Increasing Demand of HVAC system, Large Scale Industrialization, Modernization in Agriculture and Demand from new edge industries like Aerospace, Satellite, Solar and Robotics

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Business

Company is one of the leading Indian manufacturers of metallic flexible flow solutions made with stainless steel used for controlled flow of all forms of substances including Solid, Liquid, and Gas. Incorporated in 1993, co. is part of Sat Industries Limited.

Product Profile:
Braided hoses, unbraided hoses, solar hoses, gas hoses, vacuum hoses, braiding, interlock hoses, hose assemblies, lancing hose assemblies, jacketed hose assemblies, exhaust connectors, exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) tubes, expansion bellows, compensators, and related end fittings.

Exports to 89 countries across Asia, Americas, Europe and Africa, through a diversified go-tomarket model

Scalable and Customized flexible flow solution products

Current serving Major Industries

  • Steel & Metal
  • Oil & Gas
  • Chemicals
  • Sea Port Terminal Handling
  • Paper & Pulp
  • Pharmaceutical

Strengths :

  • Extensive Promoter experience
  • Employee strength -500+
  • The company has 2500+ SKUs
  • Strategically Located Near JNPT Port
  • 80+ machine lines
  • 72+ Products across various stages of Research and Development
  • 14 Qualified R&D Team
  • NABL Accredited Lab
  • ISO 9001:2015, ISO 45001:2018 and ISO 14001:2015 certified;
  • Adherence to global standards

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

ROCE asnd ROE> 20%, DE ~Nil , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil

Stable OPM, Net Profit went 8X+

Promoter has skin in game + Big Shark Ashish Kacholia holding 3.6%

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Expanding our presence to:

  • Electric Mobility
  • Fire Sprinklers
  • Solar
  • Robotics
  • Semiconductors
  • Aerospace and Satellite

Management commentary in Q1Fy25 results

Increasing margins possibilities, Increasing orders from assemblies, Focus on value added offerings, possible inorganic Way of expansion, Acquisition

Technical chart on 8th Sep24

PE is bit high in short term

Large working capital requirement, cash conversion cycle is bit high

Exposure to volatile raw material price

Acquisitions dont play as anticipated

Demand dont originate as anticipated

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stocks · SWOT

Marching Towards The Greener Future

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Servotech Power

Key Investment thesis –> Developing EV charging Infra and Delivering Solar Rooftop solutions across India. Key Business wins for EV charging Infra, Association with key businesses B2B

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Business

SPSL is in the business of high-end solar products and EV chargers. It develops ultra -fast DC chargers and Home AC chargers, and has installed over 2400 EV chargers in collaboration with oil marketing companies

Product Profile:
a) EV Charger: Electric Vehicle Charging Station, AC Charger, DC Charger
b) Solar Products: Solar Inverter, Solar Panels, Solar Batteries, ServPort, SMU
c) Power & Backup: Battery, Servo Stabilizer, etc.
d) LEDs: Domestic LED, Commercial LED
e) Oxygen Concentrator: Oxygen Concentrator 5L and Oxygen Concentrator 10L
f) UVC: UV-C Handheld Disinfection Lamp – 6W, Portable UV-C Disinfection Lamp – 36W (Sensor Equipped), Portable UV-C Disinfection Lamp – 38W, UV-C Disinfection RoboTruk – 150W, UV-C Sterilization Bag, UV-C LED Sterilization Box with 10W Wifi Charger, UV Sterilization Box with Charger, UV-C Car Intelligent Sanitizer, Car Air Sanitizer, UV Air Purifier, FAR UV-C Digital Sanitizer

Covered the thesis here in quick 12 min Video

Well-equipped 2 manufacturing facilities spanning over 80,000 sq. ft. and 1,44,000 sq. ft. respectively in Sonipat, Haryana

Capacity to manufacture 30,000 AC EV Chargers and 12,000 DC EV chargers annually

The company is majorly into B2B operations and having Marquee clientele comprising of BPCL, IOCL, HPCL, Nayara Energy, UPNEDA and others

Employee strength -500+

Range of EV AC AND DC chargers

DC chargers have amazing features on fast port, advanced connectivity and user friendliness

Range of Solar solutions

Solar panels, Solar Inverters, Solar Batteries

ESS : Energy storage system (Major tailwinds may appear here)

Solar Street light (too much commodity)

Solar charge controller

EV CHARGER Components

Another interesting solution is Servport

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

ROCE and ROE > 10%, Pledging 0%, Debt to equity under control

High TTM PE and PB ratio

12X Sales and 12X PAT in 10 Years, Stable EBITDA numbers, Improving NPM

Promoter has good skin in game at ~60% shareholding, FII holding 5% approx

Cash conversion cycle have improved in recent years

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Journey and recent forays

Preferential shares allotment and warrants issued at 83 Rs (approx raised 74cr)

Backward integration efforts for key components (control set and power module) are on track, with the control set already being manufactured in India.

Solar Segment:

  • Regular monthly sales of ₹8-10 crores in the solar segment, targeting a total of ₹100-150 crores annually.
  • Plans to expand presence in 20-21 states within two months to leverage government schemes for household electricity.

International Expansion:

  • Export business is expected to grow, with previous year’s revenue at approximately ₹40 crores and positive momentum for future exports.
  • Attending international exhibitions and establishing a dedicated export team.

Patents; Innovation and Leadership

51% Growth in the Dealer & Distributor Network

Hired 128+ employees in Q1

Coninuous order wins from Major OEM’sCurrent order book stands at approximately 8,000-8,500 pieces of DC chargers, indicating strong demand.

  • Order win from BPCL worth ₹120 Crs for the supply of 1,800 DC EV chargers
  • Order win from IOCL and other EV Charger OEM’s worth ₹111 Crs for the supply of 1,400 DC EV chargers
  • Order win from BPCL for the supply of 2,649 AC EV chargers
  • Order win from HPCL and other EV charger OEM’s worth ₹102 Crs for the supply of 1,500 DC EV chargers

Signed a contract with Adani Total Energies E-Mobility Ltd. (ATEL) for the supply of AC EV chargers

  • SPSL will be responsible for manufacturing, supplying and Installing AC EV Chargers at different Airports and other said locations

Collaborated with an international company to enhance its in-house components manufacturing.

  • SPSL will be constructing a cutting-edge manufacturing facility focused on the production of Power Modules, Control Circuits, and PLCs. The new plant will have an initial annual production capacity of 24,000 power modules & will ramp up its production capacity to 2.4 lakh power modules annually

Solar energy storage

Servotech Secures Order of around 1.2 MW Solar Energy Storage and Grid Connected Systems from Rural Development Department and UPNEDA. Servotech will be responsible for installing multiple 75kW solar-based energy storage systems, designed to provide reliable and uninterrupted power supply across Uttar Pradesh. Additionally, the company will also be designing, manufacturing, supplying, erecting, testing and commissioning 20 kW and 40 kW grid-connected solar power systems, contributing to the state’s renewable energy goals. This order will prove to be essential for overcoming geographical and infrastructural challenges in areas of Uttar Pradesh by enabling a broader reach of sustainable energy solutions and ensuring the penetration of renewable energy into the grid.

Creating new subsidiary “Servotech Sports and Entertainment Pvt. Ltd.”

Servotech aims to capitalize on the sporting fervor, its immense popularity, and global appeal to strengthen its brand presence and connect with a wider audience base. This strategic alignment presents an exciting opportunity for Servotech to extend its reach beyond its industry boundaries and tap into new avenues of success and engagement, establishing itself as not just a leader in the EV charging and solar energy sectors, but also as a prominent player in the sports industry.

Technical chart on 21st Aug24

Consistent Equity dilution, consistent increase in borrowing and Negative cash flows poses risk to company business growth

PE is high and any 2 bad qtrs can screw the returns profile from the current levels

Large capital working requirements is another thing to watch out for

Highly competitive industry both in Solar and EV industry

Delay in projects due to Govt policies or Land acquisition issues

Components import is another risk

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

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