Environment · Stocks

Rare Earth free motors : New Trend

Stocks

Time technoplast : Triggers ahead

Stock Markets · Stocks

20 Opportunities in mid 2025

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Electronics · Stock Markets · Stocks

SYRMA SGS

We have covered this company earlier at

Manufactures various electronic sub-assemblies, assemblies and box builds, disk drives, memory modules, power supplies/adapters, fiber optic assemblies, magnetic induction coils and RFID products, and other electronic products. The company is a part of Tandon Group with Sandeep Tandon as chairman of the company. Its manufacturing facilities are spread across Northern India (Bawal, Haryana, Manesar, Haryana, Baddi, Himachal Pradesh) and southern India – Chennai (Tamil Nadu), Bengaluru (Karnataka). 

One of India’s Largest ESDM Company in the Non-Consumer Segment

300+ customers, 18 Facilities, 20+ exporting countries

with end to end capabilities and backward integration of PCB and components inhouse

Business verticals serving high growth industries

Four Dedicated R&D Facilities
1 in Germany & 3 in India

190 employees in RnD, 537 overall engineers

1800+ suppliers

Global certifications in place

Revenue splits

Government Initiatives
 Capitalizing on government incentives such as PLI, MSIPS, ECMS, PM E-drive and EMC  Tax incentives, infrastructure support
Growth of IoT & Smart Devices
 IoT in industrial, automotive, consumer segments to drive customized solutions
 Automotive IoT growth driven by connectivity, ADAS, personal UI, etc
Export Opportunities
 Rising trend of supply chain diversification
 India being favored as the global alternative as part of China + 1 strategy

Increasing outsourcing by OEMs
 OEMs increasing reliance on ESDM players for cost efficiency, scalability, supply chain flexibility

Increasing focus area

Very very interesting chart on what SYRMA wants to do in coming time

The company imports 60% of its material requirements, which exposes it to foreign exchange fluctuation risk. While part of the forex exposure is naturally hedged from exports (about 25% of the total revenue), the company takes three months forwards to cover part of the open exposure and is able to pass on the impact of foreign exchange fluctuation to customers to some extent, any major forex fluctuation can impact the margins.

Time to time changes in technology may impact business in short term

Intensive working capital nature of business may need consistent cash flows

Technicals

Stock Markets · Stocks

New CEO

Recycling · Stocks · SWOT

Sunrise: Welcome to Recycling world

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Ganesha Ecosphere

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stock Markets · Stocks

Some interesting Snippets from Q3FY25

Data Patterns

Ami organics

Pennar Industries

Bajel Projects

Zaggle Prepaid

Blackbox

Time technoplast

Shivalik Bimetals

RATEGAIN

HSCL

Entero Healthcare

Avalon

KAYNES

KP green Engineering

Advait Energy

Antony Waste

Ganesha Ecosphere

Krishna Defense

Mtar Tech

Standard Glass

Stocks · SWOT

Sunrise : Engineering Solutions provider – Strategy and Opportunities for FY26 and FY27

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Axiscades Technologies Limited

Key Investment thesis –> Company focus on Aerospace, Defense, Semiconductor, Electronic system verticals and gearing up for FY26, FY27

Business

AXISCADES is a leading, end to end technology and engineering solutions provider aiding creation of innovative, sustainable and safer products worldwide. AXISCADES is headquartered in Bangalore with subsidiaries in USA, UK, Canada, Germany, India and China; and offices in Germany, France, Denmark, USA and Canada.
AXISCADES has a diverse team of over 3,100 professionals working across 20 locations across North America, Europe, UK and Asia-Pacific, striving to reduce the program risk and time to market.

The company offers Product Engineering Solutions across Embedded Software and Hardware, Digitization and Automation, Mechanical Engineering, System Integration, Test Solutions, Manufacturing Engineering, Technical Publications, and Aftermarket Solutions.
The solutions comprehensive portfolio covers the complete product development lifecycle from concept evaluation to manufacturing support and certification for Fortune 500 Companies in the Aerospace, Defense, Heavy Engineering, Automotive, Energy and Semiconductor industries.

Current serving Major Industries

  • Aerospace
  • Heavy Engineering
  • Products engineering
  • Products and Solutions for Defense
  • AIP and Energy
  • Semiconductors

Awards

Received 3rd consecutive Diamond supplier award from Bombardier for 2022. This recognition is a testament to our unwavering commitment to excellence, innovation, and delivering with the highest standards of quality.

Opportunities :

  • Unique positioning with deep domain capabilities ranging across competencies, with respect to – Electronics Products, Engineering Services and Defence
  • Growth driven by leveraging Digital ER&D and Defence
  • ER&D Services – A large and underpenetrated market with a Global TAM of ~$1 Tn
  • Strong Defence-Tech Play with leadership in Radar, Sonar and Electronic Warfare systems

FY24 revenue breakup

Q1Fy25 revenues breakup

Q2Fy25 revenues breakup

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT, SHP

Stable OPM, Stable tax, Quarterly YOY growth in sales and PAT, Borrowing reducing

DE ~0.4 , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil, ROCE < 15 and ROE<10%

Promoter has sufficient skin in game, Cash flows are good, Cash conversion cycle is elongated

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Appointment of Chairman Mr. Abidali

Appointed Mr. Abidali Neemuchwala as Chairman of the Board and Non-Executive Director at AXISCADES. With a distinguished career spanning over three decades in the technology industry, he has earned enviable reputation for his expertise in aligning organizations, driving business results, and consistently leading transformational initiatives.

Strategic partnerships and Opening Engineering design center

Signed a strategic partnership with with Cantier, a Singapore-based powerhouse in Manufacturing Execution Systems (MES), with a specialization in Industry 4.0 integration to create a synergy that promises to elevate precision, efficiency, and innovation in the manufacturing sector.

Inaugurated Engineering Design Centre in Saltney, UK to serve the long-term requirements of the Aerospace Industry and various promising opportunities in the region.

Signed a strategic partnership with KANZEN Institute Asia-Pacific Pvt Ltd (KIAP), for new age Industry IIoT, Digital Automation and MES 4.0 implementation for delivering enhanced value to our Global customers.

Mergers and Acquisitions and QIP

Completed the acquisition of add solution GmbH which will strengthen our service offerings and bring opportunities to deliver enhanced value to our combined global client base. . This will provide us with a strategic foothold in the automotive space, with significant offshoring opportunities and access to marquee global automotive OEMs.

The board has also approved the acquisition of EPCOGEN., a niche service provider in Energy space, specializing in engineering design and solutions. This proposed acquisition will strengthen our presence in energy vertical, provide access to Middle East and North American Energy markets

QIP in Jan2024 at 657Rs/share — The Company successfully concluded the Equity Raise of INR 220 Crores in January 2024, with marquee Institutional Investors subscribing to the issue. This will strengthen the balance sheet and improve profitability, Reduction in Net Borrowings by 60% from INR 214 crores to INR 85 crores, which will significantly reduce Finance Cost

Deal Wins

  • Deal win with Aerospace OEM with TCV of $ 18 Mn in the areas of in-service repair and manufacturing support
  • Design and prototype wins in several defense programs, such as HISAR, next generation ERP for combat aircrafts, Intel based SBC, DEAL satellite terminal design, DF for Naval program, adding to the production order pipeline
  • Digital Team ramped to 75+ FTEs with deep competencies in automation, AI/ML and robotics, with complete digital project execution capabilities
  • Acquisition of add-solutions GmbH and EPCOGEN, opens new vistas in Automotive and Energy Space, adding strategic logos and competencies

Q4FY24 updates

  • Revenue from new customer logos grows to Rs.69 crores, a growth of 5 Times over the previous year
  • Deal win with Aerospace OEM with TCV of $ 18 Mn in the areas of in-service repair and manufacturing support
  • Defense Production Revenues in Mistral triples from Rs.39 crores to Rs.112 crores, with Rs.272 crores in executable production orders
  • Commencement of delayed delivery of Man Portable Counter Drone System (MPCDS) to the Indian Army, with significant addressable
  • market in Indian Defense and Global Markets
  • Design and prototype wins in several defense programs, such as HISAR, next generation ERP for combat aircrafts, Intel based SBC, DEAL satellite
    terminal design, DF for Naval program, adding to the production order pipeline
  • Digital Team ramped to 75+ FTEs with deep competencies in automation, AI/ML and robotics, with complete digital project execution capabilities
  • Advanced level discussions with leading helicopter manufacturer for engineering and design support
  • New opportunities in counter drone system over next 5 years are highly promising with addressable market more than INR 3,000 Cr. 40 Nos of one of a kind Man Portable Counter Drone System (MPCDS) cleared for dispatch to the Indian Army. Balance 60 Nos under production.
  • Onboarded world’s largest phone and consumer electronic manufacturer as a customer with clear glide path on engagements into FY25

Order book at 30th Ap24 — 749Cr

Q1FY25 updates

  • Mistral Solutions received order of ₹90 crores from BEL for supplying Radar Processing Systems
  • Ramp up in aerospace with European OEM focused on production and plant migration efforts
  • Ramp up in high end cybersecurity solutioning with UK automotive manufacturer.
  • Onboarded an EPC major from Middle East as our customer with long term contract
  • Completed second tranche of delivery of Man Portable Counter Drone System (MPCDS) to the Indian Army

Expenses hit in past Q3/Q4 Fy24

Increase in finance cost due to debt funding for Mistral acquisition . In Q2 FY24, the material cost has increased due to increase in production orders in Mistral and increase in employee expenses on account of annual increments and investments in building competencies in Embedded and Digital for future growth

Q2FY25 Update

Defence revenues grew by a healthy 73% QoQ, with Defence production revenues surging by 84% QoQ, bolstered by a significant order backlog set for execution in fiscal years 2025 & 2026. With a healthy pipeline and focused approach, over the next 12-18 months, we aim the defence revenue to reach around 60% of the overall company’s revenue

Management commentary With latest focus areas

  1. Unmanned combat, we are having anti-drone, drones, and drone controllers
  2. Foreign OEMs, we have a three-pronged, that is, weapon package, submarine, and avionics. preferred offset partner for the weapon system, weapon package
  3. new programs, all our missile programs, one is the largest missile program in India, another is an upgrade of the existing missile program, another is ground system for key programs
  4. Product focus : particular product direct RF. Then there is, of course, our product X-band radar, which is primarily used in the submarine and marine systems.
  5. Airbus, we have major programs running in India. C295, MRTT, Multi Role Transportation Tanker, which is going to be 330 based, And AVEX, of course, 319 based.
  6. Tying with AgniKul, having an MOU with them, and approaching the ISRO, ISRO and other space agencies for two major things, NGLV, New Generation Launch Vehicle, and Bharatiya Space Station. So we want to add value to them significantly, and there could be opportunities in 3D additive manufacturing, and designing of certain subsystem blocks, etcetera. Then there is also chances for electronics-based algorithms and advanced systems, and for the guidance and navigation, that product we’ll be able to make. The third one is AI-based anomaly detection in the launching

Capturing some discussions from Dec24 confcall

C2P strategy, that is, chip to product. That is Mistral’s non-defense activity, or our group’s non-defense activity., we are shifting the center of gravity of C2P to US. Basically it will be driven out of US. We’ll have a small team there and driving the offshore team here. That’s the strategy

We are a very, very good RF in RF. We consider we are among the best in India for RF. RF and RF activities. Second is probably we are one of the best in handling mixed signals. We can handle analog, digital, RF, everything together. That is one of our forte.
Third is sensor fusion. We can handle multiple sensor. Sensor fusion comes very, very handy when you deal with multiple sensor in a new AI environment, in new robotics or auto-driven and those kinds of things. We are extremely good in both. Then we are very good in ruggedization. We are especially because we are very defense focused. We can ruggedize any product and do that.
And finally that we are very good in the chip, chip level, post-silicon, whatever it is, validation, verification, and take the chip to the product and then product to the customers

Continuous Hiring of Talent

Orders winning, Expansion in Middle east and Outlook for different segments by Management

Added this latest development on 17Jun25

INDRA SIGNS AGREEMENT WITH AXISCADES TO BOOST PRODUCTION OF CUTTING-EDGE SYSTEMS IN INDIA

  • Indra, a European-based global leader in defense, aerospace, and strategic systems, and
    AXISCADES a prominent technology solutions provider in defense, aerospace and strategic
    electronics, are proud to announce a strategic alliance.
  • Indra is keen to acquire defense-related products and services from AXISCADES, which will be
    delivered through AXISCADES’ comprehensive design, development, production, and supply
    chain center.
  • Both companies are actively exploring joint product development for the Indian and global
    markets, potentially adapting existing Indra products or creating new ones specifically tailored to
    meet customer needs.

Technical chart on 15-dec24

Technical chart on 29-dec24

Highly competitive industry

Acquisitions dont play out as anticipated

Customer concentration risk – On a consolidated basis, ~26% of ACTL’s revenues in FY23 were from its top two clients (35% in FY22).

Slowdown in Europe impacting automotive revenues

Heavy Engineering vertical remains a drag for few more qtrs although optimization work going on

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Electronics · Stocks

PLI Schemes in ESDM

  • The post discusses PLI schemes in the Electronics System Design and Manufacturing (ESDM) sector, which are part of India’s initiative to boost domestic electronics manufacturing. The schemes aim to incentivize production and attract investments, aligning with the government’s goal to make India a global hub for electronics.
  • The PLI schemes mentioned are part of a broader strategy under the National Policy on Electronics 2019 to overcome domestic manufacturing disadvantages like inadequate infrastructure and high finance costs, aiming to position India competitively in the global electronics market.
  • The thread includes technical charts for various stocks related to the ESDM sector, which could be analyzed for investment opportunities, reflecting the sector’s growth potential and market interest due to these government incentives.
IPO · Stocks

Insights into Indian Jewelry Market and LGD

Below snippets are from recently listed company prospectus IGIL

Lab grown Diamonds

The government is supporting the domestic diamond industry by building infrastructure and policy interventions,
specifically for LGDs

Medium Term trend · Stocks

Telecom Towers : Medium term trend

Gas · Infrastructure · Stocks · SWOT

Investing in Jash engineering : Strong Order Book and Market Outlook

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Jash Engineering

Key Investment thesis –> Increasing Demand of Water Intake Systems, Water and Waste Water Pumping Stations and Treatment Plants, Storm Water Pumping Stations, Water Transmission Lines, Consistent Business and Order book

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Business

Jash engineering is dedicated to offering varied products for use in Water and Wastewater Pumping Stations and Treatment Plants, Storm Water Pumping Stations, Water Transmission Lines, Desalination, Power, Steel, Cement, Paper & Pulp, Petrochemicals, Chemicals, Fertilizers and other process plants.
Headquartered in Indore – India, Jash has six well-integrated state-of-art manufacturing facilities, four in India and one each in the USA & UK. Global presence with bases in India / USA / Austria / Hong Kong / UK

Employees > 1075, Countries served 45+, Manufacturing units 6, Capacity utilization 70% approx

Company has many accolades, and technical collaborations

Joint Venture with Invent , Germany to manufacture their range of aeration and mixing equipment.

Technical & Financial collaboration with Schuette, Germany for Bulk solids valves

Technical Collaboration with Invent, Germany for Disc Filter

Technical collaboration with Rehart, Germany for Archimedes screw pumps & hydro power generation.

Technical collaboration with Weco Armaturen, Germany to offer its range of Valves in Asian market

Domestic 40%, Exports 60%

Water control gates –60% (FY24) 49%(Q1Fy25)

Valves -15% FY24, 13% Q1FY25

Screening equipment 15% FY24, 31% Q1FY25

Hydropower and pumping solutions 10% FY24, 7% Q1FY25

Strengths :

  • Long standing relationships with domestic marquee customers.
  • Efficient business model
  • Strong project execution capabilities
  • Diversified geographical presence in India and world
  • Strong Technical Qualification to bid for new projects
  • Highly experienced Management Team

ROCE>25% and ROE> 22%, DE ~0.23 , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil

Net Profit went 67X+ in 10 Years, Consistent Dividend Payout

Consistent Profit growth, sales growth, ROE over 3 years, 5 years, 10 Years

Triggers

Acquired Waterfront Fluid Controls Ltd, UK in 2023.

WATERFRONT UK PLANT & OFFICE INAUGURATION
After successful acquisition of Waterfront Fluid Controls Ltd, UK, the company has taken manufacturing plant on lease which is adjoining shed to the present Waterfront’s shed. This plant was commissioned on 31st May 2024.

A new plant for manufacturing process equipment is under construction in Chennai. This plant will be commissioned in December 2024/Feb25. This facility is being built at an approximate cost of Rs. 20 crores and this will start contributing to improvement in revenue from April 2025 onwards. This facility at its peak production capacity will contribute up-to Rs. 100 Cr to company revenue.

A new land has been acquired for expansion of Unit 4 (Fabricated Products Plant), SEZ Unit. This new plant of ~ 55000 sq. ft. will be commissioned in FY 2025-26. Manufacture Stainless steel products for the growing export market. The construction of this plant will start in October 2024 and the plant will be commissioned by year end 2025. This plant will be constructed at a tentative cost of Rs 22-23 crores inclusive of land and at its peak production capacity will contribute up-to Rs. 100 Cr to company revenue.

Good execution and order book and Consistent new orders

946 cr order book on 1st sep24, 74cr orders in pipeline, negotiation

FY25 guidance ~675cr

New Product developments

First Vortex Grit Mechanism with Grit Classifier For 26 MLD STP Jhansi, UP Jal Nigam

Combined Screening & Grit Removal System-1MLD (PTU) for Enviro-Infra, Bareilly, UP

First set of Bladder Vessel 9 m3 x 3, 1 m3 x 3 supplied to Varanasi WSP Project

3 Wheel Sealed Version Disc Filter for 6 MLD capacity for Delhi Jal Board

Large working capital requirement, cash conversion cycle is bit high
Trade receivables and Inventory on higher side
Rising raw material and commodity costs
Increase in competitive bids for procuring the projects

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Gas · Infrastructure · Stocks · SWOT

Investing in Likhitha Infra: Strong Order Book and Market Outlook

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Likhitha Infra Limited (LIL)

Key Investment thesis –> Increasing Demand of Gas pipeline Infra, City Gas distribution and National Gas policy 2030, Expanding Geographically, Consistent Business and Order book

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Business

LIL was incorporated in 1998 and is engaged in the business of pipeline laying providing comprehensive erection, testing, and commissioning of Oil and Gas pipelines, city gas distribution projects, tankage and operations and maintenance services. It is based in Hyderabad, Telangana. 

Company has two (02) Joint Ventures viz., CPM-Likhitha Consortium, India and Likhitha Hak Arabia Contracting Company, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. In addition, Company held 60% equity share capital in Likhitha Hak Arabia Contracting Company, and consequently, now it became a subsidiary of the Company

Has successfully laid over 1500 km of steel pipelines and over 1500 km of MDPE of oil & gas pipelines in the past years. Additionally, the company is laying approximately 1000 km of oil & gas pipelines for the ongoing projects
Executed the First Trans-National cross-country pipeline of South-East Asia connecting India to Nepal in the year 2019, for the supply of petroleum products

Strong presence in more than 20 states and 2 Union Territories in India.

Business Segments:

a) City Gas Distribution Projects:
This Involves laying of steel and MDPE pipelines for consumers across domestic, commercial and industrial sector, creating a network of pipelines along with associated facilities, Last Mile Connections, CNG Stations
b) Cross Country Pipeline Projects:
Laying of Cross Country Pipeline projects along with piping, civil, electrical, instrumentation and other associated works
c) Operation & Maintenance Services:
O&M services include providing skilled manpower, executing emergency repairs, overhauling, scheduled maintenance activities and operation of the network
d) Tankage:
Construction of fuel depots including storage tanks, Combined Station Works, mechanical, instrumentation, electrical, civil works, F&G system, and other associated facilities

Strengths :

  • Long standing relationships with domestic marquee customers.
  • Efficient business model
  • Strong project execution capabilities
  • Diversified geographical presence in India
  • Strong Technical Qualification to bid for new projects
  • Strong promoter holding showing skin in game
  • Strong Order Book 1500cr in Jun24
  • Highly experienced Management Team
  • Credit ratings –>Long term facilities A/Stable and Short term facilities A1

GAIL, GGL, ONGC, HPCL, IOCL, IHB, Numaligarh Refinery, IOAGPL, TGPL, IGL, etc.

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

ROCE>30% and ROE> 20%, DE ~Nil , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil

Stable OPM, Net Profit went 33X+ in 10 Years, Consistent Dividend Payout

Consistent Profit growth, sales growth, ROE over 3 years, 5 years, 10 Years

Promoter has sufficient skin in game at 70% shareholding

YouTube link

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Expanding presence

In line with growth strategy, Company has entered new markets such as the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, where we see substantial opportunities in the oil and gas infrastructure sector. The company has been exploring growth opportunities beyond India. We have formed a joint venture firm in Saudi Arabia and have opened a branch office in Abu Dhabi, UAE to explore business prospects in the Middle East markets which promise long-term growth for pipeline infrastructure development.

The Indian government’s continued emphasis on expanding the oil and gas transportation network and promoting city gas distribution projects provides us with a steady stream of contracts.

India’s energy consumption is on the rise, with the country consuming 19.9 million metric tonnes of petroleum products and 5.51 BCM of natural gas during FY 2023-24. As the world’s third-largest consumer of energy, India’s demand for natural gas is expected to grow fivefold by 2047, in line with the nation’s vision of becoming a developed nation by its centennial year

Good execution and order book and Consistent new orders

Large working capital requirement, cash conversion cycle is bit high
Trade receivables and Inventory on higher side
Any change in CGD policy
Rising raw material and commodity costs
The Company is deriving significant portion of orders from major Oil & Gas distribution companies inducing a client concentration risk
Increase in competitive bids for procuring the projects

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stocks · SWOT

Air flow into new age industries

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Aeroflex Industries

Key Investment thesis –> Increasing Demand of HVAC system, Large Scale Industrialization, Modernization in Agriculture and Demand from new edge industries like Aerospace, Satellite, Solar and Robotics

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Business

Company is one of the leading Indian manufacturers of metallic flexible flow solutions made with stainless steel used for controlled flow of all forms of substances including Solid, Liquid, and Gas. Incorporated in 1993, co. is part of Sat Industries Limited.

Product Profile:
Braided hoses, unbraided hoses, solar hoses, gas hoses, vacuum hoses, braiding, interlock hoses, hose assemblies, lancing hose assemblies, jacketed hose assemblies, exhaust connectors, exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) tubes, expansion bellows, compensators, and related end fittings.

Exports to 89 countries across Asia, Americas, Europe and Africa, through a diversified go-tomarket model

Scalable and Customized flexible flow solution products

Current serving Major Industries

  • Steel & Metal
  • Oil & Gas
  • Chemicals
  • Sea Port Terminal Handling
  • Paper & Pulp
  • Pharmaceutical

Strengths :

  • Extensive Promoter experience
  • Employee strength -500+
  • The company has 2500+ SKUs
  • Strategically Located Near JNPT Port
  • 80+ machine lines
  • 72+ Products across various stages of Research and Development
  • 14 Qualified R&D Team
  • NABL Accredited Lab
  • ISO 9001:2015, ISO 45001:2018 and ISO 14001:2015 certified;
  • Adherence to global standards

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

ROCE asnd ROE> 20%, DE ~Nil , Free cash flow is good , Pledge is Nil

Stable OPM, Net Profit went 8X+

Promoter has skin in game + Big Shark Ashish Kacholia holding 3.6%

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Expanding our presence to:

  • Electric Mobility
  • Fire Sprinklers
  • Solar
  • Robotics
  • Semiconductors
  • Aerospace and Satellite

Management commentary in Q1Fy25 results

Increasing margins possibilities, Increasing orders from assemblies, Focus on value added offerings, possible inorganic Way of expansion, Acquisition

Technical chart on 8th Sep24

PE is bit high in short term

Large working capital requirement, cash conversion cycle is bit high

Exposure to volatile raw material price

Acquisitions dont play as anticipated

Demand dont originate as anticipated

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

AGM · Stocks

Astra Microwave : Key points from Q1FY25 confcall and AGM

Copied key contents from confcall and AGM

Disclosure : I am holding it from very low levels, Not added/not sold recently

Keeping in mind the seasonality pattern inherent to our business wherein Q1 is the weakest quarter and the major chunk of revenues are captured in the subsequent part of the financial year. We want to highlight that we have also improved our gross margin significantly, which were primarily driven by continuous improvement in the product mix where the domestic defense business contributed to 65% of the topline, followed by exports whose contribution is around 21% and the space with 11.5% with rest of the business coming in from meterology and other sectors

Employee expenses have slightly gone up because of the increase in the number of skilled and professional employees. This is mainly due to our employee addition at our Bangalore facility. At the end of the quarter, the employees count is close to about 1537, up from 1468 at the end of the financial year.

We have created that Bangalore facility for our systems integration and testing, especially in the radar and electronic warfare domain and we have built up NFTR facility also and also assembly hangers to handle and address the radar systems. And also we have created space division in Bangalore facility. We have incorporated 100% subsidiary unit, Astra Space Technologies Limited and that group is basically going to address all future satellite requirements and they are also working in the same facility.

Objective is to get qualified for satelitte integration and launching business. Own satellite launch is the goal in next 2-3 years with synthetic aperture, radar payload ( ISRO collaboration)

Guidance :

And lastly, for the current financial year, we maintain our target which was given previously for an order book in the range of about Rs. 1,200-Rs. 1,300 crores and the topline in the range of Rs. 1,000-Rs. 1,100 crore with the PBT margin to the tune of about 16%-18% on standalone basis.

Import Substitution + Winning Contracts

We made a breakthrough in replacing imported critical wideband receiver for EW project which DPSU has been using for product of foreign make and the DPSU has the production order. Also, we have bagged precision approach radar and repeat order of Doppler weather radars in this quarter. Our anti drone radar is ready for the
deployment in the field and we have been responding RFP’s from various agencies.

we define ourselves to be in the IP business. We are in the business of creating IP, enhancing our IP and that can be done both through our own internal efforts as well as collaborations. But eventually we are in the business of monetizing intellectual property. We have embarked on an exercise now aimed at selling out the IP which has been created within the Company and shared to a large extent which we can now either monetize on a standalone basis or combine it with the other IPs which may be available within the Company or externally available to create value. We found that we had multiple products and technologies which had been created and then not acted upon any further post order completion and had just been filed away as the teams got busy in fulfilling other orders. So, taken out of cold storage and updated with the current tech standards, we can productize these technologies on their own, or combine them with other technologies and that is a low hanging route for us. The incremental efforts at making this tech viable and commercial in minimal and offer us easy way to monetize our efforts

Glad to share that two definitive binding term sheets have been signed this past quarter alone, one in the area of chip design services and another in the radar space while discussions have been initiated with multiple companies, both listed space as well as in the smaller unlisted space for enhanced collaboration with the platform, which Astra provides to further enhance our joint intellectual property and create products which are well suited for the future. We are also in a hurry to monetize things at the fastest possible pace and collaborations

Capacity expansion and ability to handle more orders

we enhanced our facility. Recently, we have added auto bonding facility by virtue of which in fact our subsystems that is the tier module of those radars we can produce manifold in the sense about 20 times than what we made it with semi-automatic facility. So, that way we have enhanced our infrastructure, we scaled up our capacity. We are geared up to manufacture as many as numbers as we want.

Order Book

We have crossed the milestone of Rs. 2,000 crores mark this time where the standalone order book as of June 2024 stood at Rs. 2,099 crores and our order wins continues to be healthy. On a consolidated basis, our order book stood at Rs. 2,365 crores as of June 2024. Overall, our order book comprises of 88% of the domestic orders, which are largely BTS, which enjoys good margins and 12% of export, which is a mix of BTP and BTS business. Our consolidated order book consists of Rs. 120 crores worth of service orders, which are typically margin accretive. Our focus remains on getting more orders, which consists of high proportion of complex system projects

Q. top 5 programs that would be critical for our order book accretion and revenue growth in the next 2 years?
Management: There are many projects we have been addressing radar and electronic warfare domain especially if you take in the radar, we have been addressing airborne radar and also the ground radars, shipborne radars in all three segments.

Like airborne radars, we have been working for AWC Mk1, Mk1A and also we are waiting for the RFPs for Mk2. . Similarly there is Su-30 opportunities also will come.

Similarly like in the ground segment, there are many radars like we are talking about Tushar like Akash-NG, Akash Prime, WLR repeat orders, these are all which customers DPSS are likely to get. So, we will be getting subsystems from those particular segments.

And shipborne Navy, as I said we are likely to get some repeat orders from Navy.

And in electronic warfare, we have been working for pod jammer for LCA Mk1 as well as we have been working on the ongoing production programs of BEL like Nayan Shakti, Himshakti and all these programs, we are there. And also we are there in the EW programs of like DR118, R118. So, all these programs, we have some orders on hand, and we are likely to get more orders, repeat orders from these customers

Uttam Radar –75% of Radar cost is Antenna –We are supplying exclusively Active Antenna Array units for same. we are expecting around close to Rs. 1,100-1,200 crores worth of business from the Uttam radar in the next 3-4 year’s timeframe

Stocks · SWOT

Marching Towards The Greener Future

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Servotech Power

Key Investment thesis –> Developing EV charging Infra and Delivering Solar Rooftop solutions across India. Key Business wins for EV charging Infra, Association with key businesses B2B

Read Pick1Pick2Pick3Pick4Pick5Pick6Pick7Pick8Pick9Pick10Pick11Pick12Pick13Pick14Pick15Pick16Pick17, Pick18, Pick19, Pick20

Business

SPSL is in the business of high-end solar products and EV chargers. It develops ultra -fast DC chargers and Home AC chargers, and has installed over 2400 EV chargers in collaboration with oil marketing companies

Product Profile:
a) EV Charger: Electric Vehicle Charging Station, AC Charger, DC Charger
b) Solar Products: Solar Inverter, Solar Panels, Solar Batteries, ServPort, SMU
c) Power & Backup: Battery, Servo Stabilizer, etc.
d) LEDs: Domestic LED, Commercial LED
e) Oxygen Concentrator: Oxygen Concentrator 5L and Oxygen Concentrator 10L
f) UVC: UV-C Handheld Disinfection Lamp – 6W, Portable UV-C Disinfection Lamp – 36W (Sensor Equipped), Portable UV-C Disinfection Lamp – 38W, UV-C Disinfection RoboTruk – 150W, UV-C Sterilization Bag, UV-C LED Sterilization Box with 10W Wifi Charger, UV Sterilization Box with Charger, UV-C Car Intelligent Sanitizer, Car Air Sanitizer, UV Air Purifier, FAR UV-C Digital Sanitizer

Covered the thesis here in quick 12 min Video

Well-equipped 2 manufacturing facilities spanning over 80,000 sq. ft. and 1,44,000 sq. ft. respectively in Sonipat, Haryana

Capacity to manufacture 30,000 AC EV Chargers and 12,000 DC EV chargers annually

The company is majorly into B2B operations and having Marquee clientele comprising of BPCL, IOCL, HPCL, Nayara Energy, UPNEDA and others

Employee strength -500+

Range of EV AC AND DC chargers

DC chargers have amazing features on fast port, advanced connectivity and user friendliness

Range of Solar solutions

Solar panels, Solar Inverters, Solar Batteries

ESS : Energy storage system (Major tailwinds may appear here)

Solar Street light (too much commodity)

Solar charge controller

EV CHARGER Components

Another interesting solution is Servport

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

ROCE and ROE > 10%, Pledging 0%, Debt to equity under control

High TTM PE and PB ratio

12X Sales and 12X PAT in 10 Years, Stable EBITDA numbers, Improving NPM

Promoter has good skin in game at ~60% shareholding, FII holding 5% approx

Cash conversion cycle have improved in recent years

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Journey and recent forays

Preferential shares allotment and warrants issued at 83 Rs (approx raised 74cr)

Backward integration efforts for key components (control set and power module) are on track, with the control set already being manufactured in India.

Solar Segment:

  • Regular monthly sales of ₹8-10 crores in the solar segment, targeting a total of ₹100-150 crores annually.
  • Plans to expand presence in 20-21 states within two months to leverage government schemes for household electricity.

International Expansion:

  • Export business is expected to grow, with previous year’s revenue at approximately ₹40 crores and positive momentum for future exports.
  • Attending international exhibitions and establishing a dedicated export team.

Patents; Innovation and Leadership

51% Growth in the Dealer & Distributor Network

Hired 128+ employees in Q1

Coninuous order wins from Major OEM’sCurrent order book stands at approximately 8,000-8,500 pieces of DC chargers, indicating strong demand.

  • Order win from BPCL worth ₹120 Crs for the supply of 1,800 DC EV chargers
  • Order win from IOCL and other EV Charger OEM’s worth ₹111 Crs for the supply of 1,400 DC EV chargers
  • Order win from BPCL for the supply of 2,649 AC EV chargers
  • Order win from HPCL and other EV charger OEM’s worth ₹102 Crs for the supply of 1,500 DC EV chargers

Signed a contract with Adani Total Energies E-Mobility Ltd. (ATEL) for the supply of AC EV chargers

  • SPSL will be responsible for manufacturing, supplying and Installing AC EV Chargers at different Airports and other said locations

Collaborated with an international company to enhance its in-house components manufacturing.

  • SPSL will be constructing a cutting-edge manufacturing facility focused on the production of Power Modules, Control Circuits, and PLCs. The new plant will have an initial annual production capacity of 24,000 power modules & will ramp up its production capacity to 2.4 lakh power modules annually

Solar energy storage

Servotech Secures Order of around 1.2 MW Solar Energy Storage and Grid Connected Systems from Rural Development Department and UPNEDA. Servotech will be responsible for installing multiple 75kW solar-based energy storage systems, designed to provide reliable and uninterrupted power supply across Uttar Pradesh. Additionally, the company will also be designing, manufacturing, supplying, erecting, testing and commissioning 20 kW and 40 kW grid-connected solar power systems, contributing to the state’s renewable energy goals. This order will prove to be essential for overcoming geographical and infrastructural challenges in areas of Uttar Pradesh by enabling a broader reach of sustainable energy solutions and ensuring the penetration of renewable energy into the grid.

Creating new subsidiary “Servotech Sports and Entertainment Pvt. Ltd.”

Servotech aims to capitalize on the sporting fervor, its immense popularity, and global appeal to strengthen its brand presence and connect with a wider audience base. This strategic alignment presents an exciting opportunity for Servotech to extend its reach beyond its industry boundaries and tap into new avenues of success and engagement, establishing itself as not just a leader in the EV charging and solar energy sectors, but also as a prominent player in the sports industry.

Technical chart on 21st Aug24

Consistent Equity dilution, consistent increase in borrowing and Negative cash flows poses risk to company business growth

PE is high and any 2 bad qtrs can screw the returns profile from the current levels

Large capital working requirements is another thing to watch out for

Highly competitive industry both in Solar and EV industry

Delay in projects due to Govt policies or Land acquisition issues

Components import is another risk

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stocks

Few stocks updates

Marine Electricals

Time technoplast

Optiemus Infracom

Kilburn Engineering

Genus Power

Advait Infra

Jupiter Wagons

INOX INDIA

Netweb Tech

PCBL

HSCL

Balu forge

Stocks

Ola Electric : Screaming Balance sheet

Medical · Stocks

Forehead lines

Stocks · SWOT

CHUKh CHUKh RAILGAADI

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Oriental Rail Infra

Key Investment thesis –> Providing Infra to Railway sector. Govt focus and orders landing up fast to Railway vendors. Oriental rail Infra is prime contender for seats and birth for new coaches. Apart from that New wagons orders also flowing

Read Pick1Pick2Pick3Pick4Pick5Pick6Pick7Pick8Pick9Pick10Pick11Pick12Pick13Pick14Pick15Pick16Pick17, Pick18, Pick19

Business

Oriental Rail Infrastructure Limited (ORIL) (formerly know as Oriental Veneer Products Limited) is engaged in manufacturing and supply of rail products predominantly for Indian Railways(IR). It manufactures Seats and Berths, Chairs, Lavatory doors etc. for all types of passenger coaches. It also manufactures Heavy Engineering equipment’s like Railway Rolling Stock, a diverse range of products which includes Wagons, Bogie, Coupler & Draft Gears through its wholly owned subsidiary Oriental Foundry Private Limited (OFPL).

Manufacturing Facility for Silicon Foam, Seats and Berth, Rexine, Compreg Board, PU Foam used for Seats & Berths, Recron used for Seats & Berths

Only Listed player in Seats & Berths in Organised sector

RDSO Certified and preferred vendor

1000+ employee strength

This Wagon capacity has been increased to 2400 wagons in Sep2023

Preferential shares allotment and warrants issued at 169 Rs (approx 200cr raised)

Order Book and strength

Company has a strong order book of more than 1200cr

Strong promoter background

3 decade old company

Big clients

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

Sales and profit 7x and 10x approximately in last 9 years

ROCE and ROE >12 %

Debt to equity is okayish at ~1, Pledging is 0%

Promoter has good skin in game at ~55% shareholding and big players entered recently including Mukul Agarwal

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Technicals

Technical chart in 10th Aug24

Working capital intensive nature of operations

Operating Cash flows are not good. Working capital days, Cash conversion cycle, ROCE, ROE needs to improve

Strong dependency on big customer IR

Margins are fluctuating in past based on execution and delivery. Not easy to predict bad or good quarters for company business

Susceptibility of profitability to volatility in raw material prices – ORIL’s product mix mainly includes seats, berths, compreg boards wherein the major raw materials are wood, rexene, cloth, foams, recron and various other solvents. Major raw material is supplied inhouse like company manufactures rexene and foam useful in manufacturing of seats. Other raw material consumed for manufacturing of seats includes veneer, which is formed from timber and company procures timber from local market. Its profitability is susceptible to fluctuations in the prices of wood as it serves as the main raw material for manufacturing of veneers, particle boards, plywood and compreg boards. For wagons, bogies and coupler body, major raw material is steel or scrap of steel which is procured from local market whose prices are highly volatile in nature. However, the company has a price variation clause inbuilt for key raw material, i.e., steel and wheels if procured from Indian Railways, thus reducing the price volatility to that extant

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stocks

Free lunch

Stocks

What GIGA can do!

Stocks

Valiant Communication Updates

Valiant communications Disclosure –holding from below levels , one of my bets that hit 10x still a good potential for 3x-5x from these levels Target –> 50x from Valiant communications

You decide your own risk, reward

Not a recommedation to buy sell

RECENT RESULTS – Highest Sales, PAT

Key updates captured from Company presentation

Valiant had entered into agreement(s) with its business partner Tejas Networks Limited to present their joint bids before the Gujarat Energy Transmission Corporation Limited (GETCO) for two different projects, wherein, Tejas has acted as a lead bidder in both the projects.

For Project #1, the GETCO has issued the Letter of Intent (LOI) to Tejas, being the lead bidder. Valiant is expected to receive the corresponding confirmed order of exceeding 3,400 lacs from Tejas in the ongoing quarter.

For Project #2, Valiant with its business partner Tejas, are L1 bidders. This Project is to be issued under the “Make-in-India” initiative with a business opportunity for Valiant exceeding 3,200 lacs. The outcome is awaited.

Quantum-safe features in Valiant’s cyber-security products and solutions are under development and commercial role out is expected within the calendar year 2024.

The operating profit margins has been improved in the light of:  Expected better product-mix;  Earlier years supplies are entering in AMC phase now, resulting a top-up revenue for services;  New cuƫng-edge hardware technology driven products are being offered.

VCL-NAS and Data Storage Servers: Valiant has introduced India’s first, Made in India ransomware resistant, OnSite, Off-Site and Off-Line Data Storage and NAS (Network-AƩached Storage) Servers with a current capacity of 1.2 Petabyte (i.e. 1,200 Terabytes). Valiant’s VCL-NAS is an essential component of the modern networked computing environment including data center applications. VCL-NAS comes equipped with incremental upgrades using AES 256 encryption and upgrading to Quantum-Safe technology. It allows the protection of stored data against natural disasters, man-made disasters and acts of war – including EMP (electromagnetic pulse). Off-Site VCL-NAS and Data Storage Servers are used for Disaster Recovery ensuring that critical data is still accessible and can be restored. Off-Site backups are used for Data Redundancy to provide redundancy, reducing the risk of data loss due to hardware failures, human error, or software issues on the primary server. VCL-NAS and Data Storage Servers can also be used for Geographic Diversity to restore data in geographically distant locations, overcoming the risk of natural disaster, acts of war including EMP aƩacks. Another key feature of VCL-NAS and Data Storage Servers including providing Air-Gap Security. Data stored offline, is immune to online threats such as hacking, malware, and ransomware. Grid Automation and Grid Islanding solution: Our Company has also introduced its Grid Automation and Grid Islanding solution

Earlier thesis is covered here ( 2 years back) https://alpha-affairs.com/2022/07/07/an-insight-into-equipment-company/…

#valiantcomm #Stocks

AGM · Stocks

Avantel AGM 2024 and 2025: Key points

Avantel AGM 2024

Copied key contents which I liked from AGM transcript.

Disclosure : I am holding it from very low levels, Not added/not sold recently


we have consolidated our existing business in satellite communication for defence applications, we are also diversifying into two different areas and the results we expect to see in two years from now in a big way.

So, and we are very confident that both these initiatives will put the company in a different orbit.
From 2026 -27 onwards, we expect to see the results. And from 2027 onwards, the three years from now, there will be a quantum jump. we expect the company to establish itself as the top five companies in the country in the space of defence

First diversification that we are doing is the software defined radios. It’s a big, huge market globally. But if you come to very specific to India alone itself, it’s around $11 billion market globally. But coming to India in the Indian Defence market alone, it’s, it’s around, it’s around $300 million leaving the civilian commercial market only Indian defence market per annum. That is $300 million is per annum

we would be number two, I mean, if I’m not wrong, in that space of SDR’s with SCI compliance and that covers various spectrum like HF, VHF, UHF, L band, Satcom, SDR. There are various frequency bands and various versions of them for like portable versions, handheld versions with vehicle borne aircrafts, helicopters, shipborne submarines

C4ISR is the basic backbone of any, you know, any defence service, which includes command, control, communication, computing, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance

We are planning to complete a range of products by this year, financially and itself, but we expect to see a good revenue and all from 26, 27 onwards. By 2027, we should have, we consolidated as a serious player in that segment in India. And these products will also have possibility to expand in the global market.

second diversification is in the space sector where there the government of India has started opening up the sector very seriously and they want to see that private sector enters BLO, build, launch and operate kind of services. So in all the both upstream as downstream and midstream services in satellite space will be open to the private sector either through partnership with public sector or, government. Public private partnership or private sector alone government of India is looking at something like $50 billion in the next eight to nine years

we are well positioned to expand our presence in the space sector by getting into two areas.

One is ground station as a service like it includes satellite operation Centre, mission control Centre and also receiving the data and images from the satellites. Their station is supposed to receive the signals from satellites and then distribute that to the customers.

And the second part is the assembly, integration and testing of the satellites themselves. There up to satellite weight of say 1000 kgs max. We should be able to do it in house. So we are establishing a facility in ECT electronic city in Hyderabad. It is near airport. It’s about four acres of land. The construction is going on and we should be able to complete that facility in all respects by this year end. So there two things

Orders
we have around 287 crores worth of orders on hand right now. there are a lot of other things in pipeline railways now, we are well established. We are expecting another 60 crores order, approximately, and maybe in a month or two and followed up by another tender coming up. They are coming up for I think maybe 12,000 terminals. So that will be a public tender. NSIL, we are doing, I mean, we have an order for around 27,600 or so

Five-kilowatt HF system we have already delivered and that has only been delivered to Indian Navy, government
of India through bath electronics, installed and commissioned. So, there’s a good requirement in that space. And right now, A, we have the product in hand and we are ready for that. So, whenever the RFP comes, we are. That will be a big opportunity. Maybe few hundred crores.

we want to work on satellite payloads also which is again state of the art kind of development work. Subsystems for satellites. These are highly manpower intensive kind of work. So, the manpower expenses in R and D will grow a lot significantly in the next three to four years because we are investing heavily in R and D in those software, different radios and satellite subsystems right now.
We have five projects sanctioned by Minister of defence government of India and five is the maximum they can give to any company. So, and we got five out of this. Two contracts are signed. One is in the final stage of contract signing. Maybe this month, June they will sign another one, maybe in June end or July. So enough. There are two major projects we have signed wherein once we complete the development, we’ll be the only vendor for those requirements. And those projects are having high potential because we’ll be the single vendor and those projects are having huge requirement from Indian army

Government of India is giving a grant for those projects, investing in that. And they are investing in their time and effort to do the trials, conduct the field trials for these projects. So earlier we have to understand the requirements, develop the product without anything, no cost, no commitment basis, go after them to conduct trials and accept that. Now it has come from them. They are given the specs, they have given the requirements, they are giving the grant and they are saying once it is completed, they will buy from us. So, it is like a phenomenal change in the outlook from the government of India. And in terms of making India and self-reliant, I think they mean business

Receivables
Receivables we have, because we did 38 crores in the last quarter. I mean there is some, it appears to be more, but we have already received close to 39 crores from those 68 crores. And in that again around eleven crores is towards installation commissioning which will come over a period of time as we complete the installation of the equipment and all crores, another remaining eleven crores we should be receiving in June or July. So, there is absolutely no, as you could see, there are no bad debts at all for the company and they are, if they are there also, they are minuscule, 0.001% something like that. Because all receivables are from government of India or government of India undertakings.

IMax opportunity
we may do some two and a half crores or so next year. Then following year maybe, we may even go up to ten crores, then 15 crores. But we are confident that we will reach 100 crores by 2030. So that’s not a very ambitious target because of the market here is around $11 billion and we are importing about $7 billion every year in medical equipment. That sector, which is about $7 billion, is the import itself around 60,000 crores or more they are importing. There is a huge potential there that is also expected to go to $50 billion by 2030. we are very well positioned in that because our expertise in electronics and engineering and mechanical, everything is very helpful in making world class equipment. We are not compromising on quality or anything. We are trying to build artificial intelligence into that. We want to make this equipment IOT enabled and benchmarked against the best in the world. So, there is no doubt that we will do well in image. It’s only a matter of time. So, But the break-even may happen. Maybe if not this year, next year definitely it will break even and get into cash profit. We’ll make profits in 25, 26 for sure. And after that the growth will be exponential. So, the I max would be a very, very significant

we are positioned in a place called AP MedTech zone where the world class facilities are created for complete testing and certification. It’s world class, it is recognized by WHO also. So, our facility is coming up in that 300 acre or something kind of a thing, where there is incubation centre, the test labs, certification labs, and many companies also have already started operations about four or five years back, and they’re doing extremely well. So, in that we have chosen space where two, three areas we have identified.

One is the respiratory area, like. Like ventilators and C Pap, BiPap and things like that. Then we are selected. Endoscopy is one of the areas And of course, to start with a low, low-end side, we have taken surgical staplers where it is certified. And then we, as I briefed you earlier, we got a contract for supply, 25,000 numbers per month from another OEM company. So, we’re on the right track. And then the final, we also want to, as I rightly, as I told you earlier, we want to develop something called hospital at home kind of equipment, which will be very useful for in times like Covid or for elders or for communities. So where in a budget of, say, ten lakhs, you can have everything that a hospital can provide. In an ICU, which is a small, it’s an equipment which will be carried on a cart or something like that, which will monitor all vitals. It will supply oxygen, it will have ventilator, it will have infusion pump to infuse injections and all. It will monitor all the vitals. They will be communicated to the doctor. Essential medicines will be made available there. Simple. Some small blood tests also can be done. So basically, it is like everything that you can ask for in an ICU, kind of things will be made available. Any nurse can handle that. And as the vitals are monitored remotely and doctor can be. Will receive alerts and then he can give guidance and then nurse can attend to that

are we able to develop any new products now which will help us be ahead of the competition for the next three, four years and enjoy similar margins?
Dr Abburi Vidyasagar- Actually we are continuing that initiative in developing intellectual property. The fundamental focus of the company is on innovation. Always it’s an innovation driven company, though we give very lot of importance to customer service and operational excellence, which are also required to make our company profitable. But the core is innovation only even today.

we have already started working on software, different radios with SCA compliance for Indian as well as global market in defence communication. That is going to be. I mean, there will not be many companies in that anyway. Okay, I don’t say zero competition. There will be competition, but there will be limited competition. Similarly, the ground terminals I am talking about in KU band, cultivating Gaga band, which is again, very few companies will be there. I mean, the satellite terminals I am talking about, which are portable, mobile, you know, airborne, those versions which can be mounted in aircraft or a helicopter, those satellite terminals, again, very few companies will be there

Avantel AGM 2025

we have taken
up five projects, 5 projects from the Ministry of Defence under the scheme of iDEX Indian
Defence Challenges. So, the projects are mostly related to satellite communication. In fact,
all the five projects are related to satellite communication. And the first one is sat phone
based on geostationary satellite. The second one was again Convoy Management based on
satellite. Both are for Indian Army. The third one is the receiver for receiving video through
satellite, again for Indian Army. Port and 5th projects are for the requirements of Indian
Navy, which is mostly based on Satcom on the move, the communication on the move for
both land-based platforms as well as for the airborne applications. So, all five out of the
five project, the 5th project contract was signed recently, but the fourth projects were
signed quite some time back about six months back and the development work is going on
very well

we have come for rights issue which is that
near Vijayawada about an hour from the airport of Vijayawada, it’s on the highway. So that
we would like to use for you know, making antennas which like HF antennas which are
very huge and in terms of occupy a lot of space, 5 kilowatt HF antennas, one kilowatt HF
antennas and then other types of antennas use it in military applications as well as sat com
ground station antennas for say 7.3 meters, 9.3 meters, even 11 meters satellite (Not
Clear) antennas can be manufactured there.

we are meeting all the
requirements in terms of production as well as design, development of various products for
MSS, particularly MSS mobile satellite services and UHF, SATCOM and UHF LOS
radios, HFSDRs and HF one kilowatt systems and the real time training information
systems, fishing transponders for boats from the Department of Fisheries through NSL.

The
growth again using CAGR growth. So for example, in 2021, the sales was 77 crores and
now 24-25 it is 248 crores either kind of almost it’s more than it’s about 3 times 300%. If
you look at the profit, it was 15 crores in 2021 and now it is 24-25 which has come to about
close to 60 crores, 59.56 crores see this is about almost four times Ok, the 400% something
like. So this kind of increase you, I would like to caution you will not be there for next
couple of years in 25-26 and 26-27, which it will be more stable and from 27-28 again, you
can expect a steep growth. If a couple of opportunities from say 4 to 5 opportunities, 5
opportunities are there, which are likely to take us to the next level of growth to say sound
50 crores turnover supposed to be aimed to reach by 2030 to reach that kind of from say
sound 50 again, 300% again over a period of four years. So that is possible from if we can
convert two out of five to six opportunities that we are working on, which will get us good
numbers in terms of both sales as well as the profit

l. Coming to IMAX, so as I told you in the last meeting, this medical
equipment requires certification, Ok. The certification process will quite elaborate and go
through and has to go through many levels of testing particularly things like those
noninvasive ventilators and then you know CPAP patient monitoring systems. Those things
have to go through a lot of processes that for certification. But the total money, if you to
put them in the right perspective the startups with one single product also I have to remain
investing at least 5 to $10 million. And all the money that we have invested here is close
to $4 million, not even 4 million rather than 4 million. And if we have around 5 products
in place and the certification process will be completed for all these products by September
for sure. I mean some of them we got already and some of them by June this month end,
some of them July end one more and August one more and September. So in the next three
months we are getting all the certifications. Plus we have to build a facility with a clean
room and other things. The kind of world class facility built and out of 30 crores close to 22
crores has gone for fixed assets. There’s nothing that and you can assume that eight crores
have gone for product development. So basically we laid the strong foundation for IMAX
to go forward and if any of the shareholders are very, very, I mean worried about this, then
the promotes can take over if required. So, but thing is the medical industry, the projections
are from $12 billion in 23-24, they are expected to reach $50 billion by 2030. That is the
kind of growth they are expecting in IMAX

. I’ll come to the first point
that and he also was asked about unsecured loans and all that CDB. There are two reasons
for which the shares have been sold. One is to subscribe to the rights issue number 1.
number 2 is Laxmi Foundation. I have donated quite some time back the 45,00,000 shares
and obviously that donated means I want to sell the shares and invest in the trust for
building the hospital, which we already have a hospital in leisure premises and we want to
go for our own building for the hospital, much bigger hospital, maybe around 200 bed
hospital, multi-specialty hospital. So we have to, I mean, I’m going to not stop here. I’m
going to maybe donate more, another 45,00,000 shares or maybe another 45,00,000 shares,
maybe another 90,00,000 shares for every next 3-4 years. So that’s and I think that’s my
privilege to donate. And then once we donate, they have to be sold to be able to invest in
the foundation activities. So I think that’s obvious and I hope shareholders understand that
point. Regarding these loans unsecured loans because the company because suddenly the
lot of projects were implemented and obviously the receivables have to come from
government PSUs and where there were delays, there were delays in receivables. So instead
of rushing to the bank. So whatever money I wanted to got to invest in rights, I have
invested as unsecured loans here because it is the easiest route for me to fund immediately.

e SDR market is around 3000 crores every year for the last,
so many last 7-8 years is buying from different services is about SDR business for military
segment alone is that much so and obviously it’s not something that you can do overnight,
then everybody could have done it, you know, So for Avantel also, it takes time to do as
per software communication architecture, SCA 4.1 specifications and kind of stringent
requirements that army and the navy are asking for, including Air Force that shows that the
kind of intellectual property that is involved in development of SDRs and Avantel’s
capability number one is we are already supplying HFSDRs 1 kilowatt HFSDRs is being
supplied to Indian Navy and the shipyards. So our competency and capability is already
proven. We have delivered. We are already demonstrated and trials have completed for
UHF SDR and UHF sat com SDR to Indian Navy in trials on ships. So there also it’s not
on the board drawing board. It’s proven. And 3rd, as you can see, we are selected by Deal
Dehradun as against competition from Bell L&T and other major players. So we are short,
we became L1 and we are technically qualified. So and those radios are meant for Indian
Air Force, Ok, so airborne SDRS for which we have been we got the received the contract
also they gave us two years, but I am sure we will develop much before that. Ok. That’s a
four channel radio now. Right now they are being imported. This is an import. Two
companies were there and we are L1 and some company L2 both of us shared the order,
other one is Coral yeah. So that that’s about the SDR capability and development and the
big numbers. Defence Services in the next maybe one year. So we are participated in the RFI and if
definitely qualification criteria we have to see how much turnover and all that individually
or through conversion we will bid for that. That’s big number. So in that the product that is
required for that is in am advanced stage and definitely we will meet the requirements. We
have given the complaints for all the requirements and it’s that development is going on
now, right now at ECT facility in Hyderabad, Ok, when that is 12,000, you can, I don’t
know it will be 3000 crores or by 10,000 crores. It depends upon the kind of estimate they
have for this product. But definitely I’m sure it will be around maybe 3000 crores or even
more, Ok. So that’s the kind of segment we are positioning ourselves and there are entry
barriers. There is not something that everybody can by investing money they can develop
the product unless the import and obviously imported the equipment are at least 100% more
expensive than what is developed by Bharat Electronics. Not even a lender in Bharat
Electronics is giving it a competitive price when compared to imports. Dr. Ajit may correct
me if I’m wrong. So this is about the SDR part about win profile radar. Yes, we have the
technology. We already delivered sharp and two more tenders are coming. One tender is
expected this year. One tender is already come. We have already participated in the bid and
it may be opened anytime, maybe in the next couple of months. And the next one, the RFP
for us may come in the next 2-3 months and we are very confident that we will be there,
one for Indian Air Force, One for ISTRAC

Somebody’s talking about 100 crores less or something kind
of order. This 100 plus crores of orders will come this year itself and other things like
ground stations and all that. One good news is we have a good collaboration with Safran
France, the one of the best companies in France, in aerospace, not only in France, in the
Europe itself and maybe in the world. So they are, we are collaborating with them for all
the ground station 360° coverage, full motion antennas for satellite data reception,

we have already tied up with one company in Med Tech
industry for Health Kiosk and we will be doing the contract manufacturing for them. And
also we can also sell directly also. It is a very good product. It’s called help pod. It’s like an
ATM for healthcare. There are many, many parameters automatically measured. Maybe
it’ll take 15 minutes maximum, Max that is otherwise all together, actual measurement time
is 5 minutes. So that health part like an ATM Kiosk and we have some requirements. It can
be proliferated both. In fact, there’s a potential in military also for that along with our home
care product which can be moved into ambulances, army vehicles, trucks and health centers
everywhere. It can be fixed along with the H pod. H pod and our health home care unit
together. It will be like a mini hospital during diagnostics and service. So both are very
good products and the home care product when it comes, it integrates multiple technology.
It will have x-ray, ultrasound scan, patient monitor, ventilator. It will have everything that
you can ask for to like in whatever is there for the best possible treatment in hospital. So that’s
our product and HPOD is the product from Satyendra Goyal who is from Chicago, USA.

They have developed it and they want us to partner. We have signed an MOU also and that
is another great opportunity. And in Imax when, when we when we start producing, after
the certificate get, start get going, the growth rates will not be 10-15%, but they could be
40-50% year on year or even more 100% or something like that. So once it starts with some
4-5 crores this year, afterwards it could be 30 crores, then it could be 60 to 75 and then
hundred. That’s the kind of potential that is there in that area in highlights

Stocks · SWOT

Emerging Defense company

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Jaykay Enterprises

Key Investment thesis –> Defense and aerospace sector venture in precision manufacturing with big customers supported by designing, development, manufacturing, and testing of advanced composite engineering products made or composed of fibre glass, glass mat, plastic, resins etc. with applications in defence/aerospace/ logistics & electrical industries. Company also developing good capabilities in Additive manufacturing and software systems to support above venture

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Business

Jaykay Enterprises Limited (JKE), part of J K Organisation and part of the 139 years old diversified JK conglomerate. JKE initially engaged in the business of manufacturing nylon and acrylic fibers and later went into Registrar and Share Transfer Agent activities.

Presently, the Company has diversified itself into Additive Manufacturing systems, Proto typing, powder metallurgy, large scale Digital manufacturing, Reverse Engineering, Plant modelling, In the area of defense & Aerospace we focus on areas of engineering products across various industry verticals, software designing and development, manufacturing of parts and accessories used in defence and aerospace sector, our work includes composite applications, Under water mines ,machining for aerospace sector.

Product segments

The Company has consolidated its business focus into specific dedicated opportunities.
a) Defence & Aerospace; b) Digital Manufacturing & Advanced Systems c) Software &Services d) Real Estate & Hospitality.
The Company is operating business of manufacturing of precision turned components and all type of engineering goods for the defence, aerospace and other allied industries including Manufacturing,trade and deal in all kinds of products related to Defence and Aerospace and Additive manufacturing and Technical Consultancy Services, 3D Scanning,Reverse engineering ,Plant Modelling, design, develop and market software products for 3D and activities through its subsidiaries, Joint Venture, partnerships and associates.

Management Pedigree

Mr. Abhishek Singhania is the Promoter, Chairman & Managing Director of Jaykay Enterprises Limited and scion of one of the best-known business families of India. He is the cofounder & has served as Managing Director of JK Technosoft Ltd (‘JKT’) and leads the company’s global operations together with the Board &Management Team.
He has invaluable experience within JK Organization companies, handling various aspects of J K businesses, managing business units and operations as well as spearheading successful national and international expansion
programs.
He has rich experience in the manufacturing & IT services industry and multi-dimensional expertise in basic & core sector industries such as – textiles, synthetic fibres, cement and chemical processing, both in continuous as
well as discrete manufacturing, Mr. Singhania has deep insights in Software Development Life Cycle (SDLC), Project Management, Strategic Planning, Business Development, Thought Leadership.
Mr. Singhania spearhead in Carving new business opportunities and managing strategic investments in Defence & Aerospace, Digital Manufacturing (3D & Processing), Digital Transformation through acquisitions
.
He is an alumnus of IMD Business School.

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

Sales and profit catching up in last 2 years

ROCE and ROE <10 %

Debt to equity is under control 0.35, Pledging is 0%

Promoter has good skin in game at ~56% shareholding and stake is increasing while Public stake is decreasing

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Joint Ventures And subsidiaries

JKE had entered into a strategic partnership with the global leaders in 3D Metal design and printing market. JKE had signed a Joint Venture and Shareholders Agreement with M/s Additive 3D Pte Ltd(A3D) an affiliate to M/s EOS Singapore Pte Ltd and consequent upon which a JointVenture (JV) company had been incorporated in the name of M/s Neumesh Labs Private Limited (‘Neumesh’) on 01st January, 2021, with shareholding of JKE and A3d respectively is 70% and 30% in said JV Company, inter alia, in the business of the 3D printing technology in India.

Neumesh Labs Private Limited

Neumesh Labs Private Limited (“Neumesh”) has established a Centre of Excellence (COE) in Bengaluru, the COE has state of the art EOS Software, Machines & Practices of cutting-edge 3D technology. Further Neumesh has developed a 3D printer JKPrint500, which was unveiled in IMTEX 23 Fair in Bengaluru. The product has received enthusiastic market response. Neumesh is also developing a lower price 3D printer which will be targeted at the mass market.

Neumesh, has also started its AM labs business. This is in line with various State Governments opening COE across engineering colleges and ITIs’. GOI in its 2023 budget announcement stated its intentions to establish COE’s across the country. Considering, huge numbers of COE’s that will be established, the demand for high quality polymer printers for training purposes will be high. Therefore, Jaykay Enterprises Limited along with its eco system partners have indigenously developed a polymer printer JK Print 300 and JKPM3 series, a Powder Management System which was unveiled in IMTEX 23 Fair in Bengaluru. The initial customer response has been encouraging. The JK Print 300 Printer is suitable for usage in prototyping, consumer goods, Automobile, and architecture for low volume production. The machine is ideal for usage in low volume production and training of students and technicians. The JK PM3 Powder Management System will optimize productivity and economics keeping in mind highest quality standards of parts produced by 3D metal printers. Neumesh, is working in tandem with the Governments Make in India program. Neumesh has started working on IAF prototyping projects and is looking closely at the MEA Oil & Gas market.

JK Defence & Aerospace Limited (“JK Defence”) and Allen Reinforced Plastics Private Limited (Allen)

JK Defence & Aerospace Limited (“JK Defence”) has acquired the 76.41% equity stake in Allen Reinforced Plastics Private Limited (Allen) which is engaged in the business of designing, development, manufacturing, and testing of advanced composite engineering products made or composed of fibre glass, glass mat, plastic, resins etc. applications in defence/aerospace/ logistics & electrical industries.
Allen indigenously develops and supplies critical components to key defence projects in the country, such as BrahMos, Pinaka, SMILE, Akash missiles etc. to defence undertakings such as DRDO, ISRO, OFB, BHEL, BDL among others.

https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/6176b47a-3b09-4333-8e63-6fcc4580c2fd.pdf

JK Defence & Aerospace Limited, Wholly Owned Subsidiary (“JKDAL”) of Jaykay Enterprises Limited, has been accorded an approval from the Office of the Commissioner for the Industrial Development and Director of Industries and Commerce, Government of Karnataka w.r.t. the investment proposal of JKDAL to establish a unit for manufacture of “Precision Turned Components and all types of Engineering Goods for the Defence, Aerospace and other Allied Industries including assembling in all kinds of products of Defence and Aerospace Equipments”.
The approval includes allotment of 5 acres of land from KIADB at Devanahalli General Industrial Area (ITIR), Bangalore Rural District and necessary permission for water and power connections and associated NOC(s) from state industry authority. The unit will be eligible for incentives and concession as per applicable policy of the State.

Jaykay Enterprises Limited (“the Company”) has acquired 99% stake in Bangalore based partnership firm M/s. Silvergrey Engineers (SGE) inter-alia engaged in manufacturing and supply of parts and accessories to defence equipment manufacturing industry, catering to Customers including HAL, BEL, ISRO, Gas Turbine Research Establishment, Aeronautical Development Agency, Tata Advance Systems amongst others. SGE presently has manufacturing facilities located at Bengaluru

Representative image of 3D printers, digital manufacturing(not actual)

JK Digital & Advance Systems Private Limited

Incorporated on July 27, 2023, to provide digital and technical consultancy services, 3D scanning, and software engineering lab services. It aims to design, develop, and market software products for 3D applications and various industries.

Current Event

Company Share price has been adjusted for upcoming rights issue at 25Rs on 19th July24

Quarterly results have shown improvement –7th Aug24

12 acre Land parcel applied in lucknow

Details of recent triggers

Neumesh Labs Private Limited (Material Subsidiary) signs Memorandum of Understanding (“MoU”)
with Agnikul Cosmos Private Limited
Neumesh Labs Private Limited, material subsidiary of the company entered into a MoU with Agnikul
Cosmos Private Limited, a Chennai headquartered Space-tech start-up Company on August 9, 2023.
The MoU includes supply and maintenance of Metal Printer, Part Printing and Supply of Metal Powder.
• Joint Venture with Phillips Machine Tools India Private Limited
The Company had entered into a Joint Venture with Phillips Machine Tools India Private Limited, a
subsidiary of Phillips Corporation, USA, to form and constitute a Limited Liability Partnership (LLP) under
the name and style of JK Phillips LLP pursuant to the Limited Liability Partnership Agreement dated
December 20, 2023. The LLP has been formed on December 28, 2023 to carry out the business of
trading and distribution of Advance systems which includes CNC machines, lathes, hydraulic press, 3D
printers, moulding machines and accessories originally produced by Phillips and other manufacturing/
trading activities including after-sales services.
• Tripartite Agreement to manufacture Medical Implants executed between JK Digital & Advanced
Systems Private Limited, EOS Electro Optical Systems India Private Limited and Meril Innovations
Private Limited
During the year, JK Digital & Advanced Systems Private Limited a WoS of the Company had completed
the execution of a Tripartite Manufacturing Agreement on January 19, 2024 with Meril Innovations
Private Limited, Gujarat (Meril Life Sciences), a leading MedTech Solutions Company, for production of
Medical Devices/Implants through 3D Printing along with its technology Partner EOS, Chennai a WoS of
EOS GmBH of Germany.
The Agreement provides for JK Digital to Install, operate specified 3D Printers assisted by EOS, for
manufacturing of Orthopedic Implants at Meril Life Sciences premises in Gujarat.
• Merger of Business of Silvergrey Engineers into the Company
In line with the approval of Board of Directors of the Company accorded on May 29, 2023 the Company
had executed Dissolution cum Retirement Deed with Ujala Merchants and Traders Limited (UMTL)
dated February 3, 2024, where in UMTL agreed to retire from the from the partnership of Silvergrey
Engineers w.e.f. January 31, 2024, resulting the Company acquired the balance 1% stake in Silvergrey
Engineers, pursuant to which the Company, will carry on the business of manufacturing of precision
turned components and all type of engineering goods for the defence, aerospace and other allied
industries as a division/segment of the Company.
• Approval of Land Parcel to JK Defence & Aerospace Limited (WoS) in Bangalore Rural District
JK Defence & Aerospace Limited WoS of the Company, had been accorded an approval from the
Office of the Commissioner for the Industrial Development and Director of Industries and Commerce,
Government of Karnataka on March 13, 2024 w.r.t. the investment proposal to establish a unit for
manufacture of “Precision Turned Components and all types of Engineering Goods for the Defence,
Aerospace and other Allied Industries including assembling in all kinds of products of Defence and
Aerospace Equipments’’

The approval includes allotment of 5 acres of land from KIADB at Devanahalli General Industrial
Area (ITIR), Bangalore Rural District and necessary permission for water and power connections and
associated NOC(s) from state industry authority. The unit will be eligible for incentives and concession
as per applicable policy of the State

Recently India has made 3D printed Semi cryogenic engine

Additive manufacturing expected to grow at more than 20% CAGR and coupled with defense and aerospace sector growth, oppportunity seems big enough

Technical chart in 27 Jul24 (after Rights issue adjustment)

Technicals on 6-Jul-24 –ALD presentation

Technicals on 18-Jun-24

Operating Cash flows are not good. Working capital days, Cash conversion cycle, ROCE, ROE not upto the mark –outcome is high valuation which is typical characteristics for a turnaround company–Things look really bad before they turn decent, and then good and then turn very good.

Chances of turning very good?? We need to see –1 out of 100 companies turnaround succuessfully—rest of the companies bites the dust

Other income is high and skewing PAT

New business division of defense dont take off as anticipated

Dependency on limited customers for new contracts and

Competition from domestic and foreign players

There are related party loans to subsidiaries which may be susceptible to waivers

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

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Stocks · SWOT

Emerging Fintech company with SaaS

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services

Key Investment thesis –> Differentiated SaaS-based fintech platform with Strong network effect offering Comprehensive suite of products for a large & growing addressable market. Company has amazing cross selling and Up-selling opportunities across domains.

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Business

Zaggle builds financial solutions and products to manage the business expenses of corporates, SMEs, & Startups through automated and innovative workflows. Headquartered at Hyderabad, it is at an intersection of of SaaS (Software as a service) and Fintech. With 273+ employees, the company has 50 Mn+ co-branded prepaid cards.

Products
Zaggle Zoyer: accounts management services
Zaggle Save: Help employees save tax with Save’s flexible employee benefit plans
Zaggle Propel: all-in-one solution for employee rewards, and channel partner incentives.

Stats in accounts/users and Revenue streams

Share in Prepaid Cards market –16%+, Transaction volume wise ~13%

  • #1 issuer of prepaid cards
  • Multilingual interface
  • In-house developed technology with strong network effect
  • Customizable products
  • Diversified customer relationships across sectors along with preferred banking and merchant partnerships
  • Low churn rate of customer (<2%), long term relationships
  • Seasoned management team and board

Awards

Company has received an award for “Best Spend Management System“ and “Best Cards Initiative for Zaggle ZatiX“ at 11th Edition Payments Industry Awards by KamiKaze B2B.

Company has received an award for “FinTech Brand of the Year“ at 4th Edition Festival of FinTech Conclave Awards 2024 in association with BW Businessworld.

Company has received an award for “Pride of Telangana “ Achiever” Start up Category 2024” by Round Table India and Ratnadeep.

Company has received an award for “Excellence in Innovation Business Spend Management Software India 2023” in the Global Banking and Finance Review Awards 2023.

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

Amazing Sales and Profit growth of 11x in 5 Years

ROCE and ROE close to 15%

Debt to equity is under control and close to Nil

Pledging is 0%, Promoter has good skin in game at ~44% shareholding

Though FII, DII decreased stake in last 2 qtrs but still stake held by FII, DII + HNI is big, Public holding only ~20% stake . Big Shark Ashish Kacholia has increased stake over few quarters towards 4%+ shareholding

Triggers

Macro Trends :

Moving towards Digital payments ; Increasing scope of Prepaid cards ; New companies coming up

Management Guidance and commentary

We doubled our revenue over the last 3 years and are poised to double our revenue over the next 2 years through organic growth. Our expectation of revenue growth for this fiscal year is to the tune of 45%-55%. We are focused on garnering more market share and making significant investments in technology, specifically building deeper AI capabilities to cater to the massive demand for Spend management solutions.
We intend to pursue inorganic growth opportunities through mergers and acquisitions.
Additionally, we plan to expand geographically into the US markets as part of our growth strategy.

New Vertical

In Q1FY24, Zaggle introduced corporate credit cards and vendor management platform – Zoyer.

Launch of credit cards as a product in FY24 . The monthly volume of transactions for credit cards exceeded the monthly volume of transactions for prepaid card

Zaggle Zatix – our analytics platform launched this FY & offered by Banks as bundled solution of Corporate Credit Cards + SaaS.

New contracts in Last 1 year

In Q1FY24, company entered into contract with BOB Financial Solutions Limited for implementing commercial card Onboarding & value-added services platform and launch of the Zaggle Yes Bank Corporate Credit Card, powered by Zaggle Zatix – a spend analytics platform that allows corporates to streamline business and employee expenses, budget better and negotiate favorable supplier terms.

Zaggle Save (Expense Management platform & Employee benefits)

  • Employees of Hero Motocorp Limited.
  • Lifestyle International Private Limited
  • Quess corp limited
  • Bennett, Coleman & Co. Ltd.
  • ARCADIS CONSULTING INDIA PRIVATE LIMITED
  • Wipro Limited
  • Benetton India Pvt. Ltd.
  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals Limited
  • Europ Assistance India Pvt. Ltd.
  • Axis bank limited
  • Expleo Solutions Limited
  • Yokohama India Private Limited
  • Eversub India Private Limited (Subway)

Contract with Torrent gas for 2 years , approx 200cr business for Implementing Close Loop Fleet Program

Agreements with ecosystem players in varied domains like Domestic card, corporate cards, forex cards, Travel, Cross border payments

Agreement with VISA -In Oct,23, company has entered into a growth agreement with VISA. This alliance is in support of the issuance of Forex CoBrand Cards. Visa will pay the launch bonus for supporting the launch of Forex Cobrand Cards. and will also pay incentives on Forex transactions basis spend commitments. Zaggle can leverage existing Corporate base to sell forex cards to employees of the Corporate client, and it can be tightly coupled with Zaggle expense management solution. The deal size is ~$20 Mn for next 5 years.

Company has entered into an agreement with Skydo Technologies Private Limited. This is to enable facilatate cross border payments for Zaggle corporate customers

Zaggle is contracted to provide services to Bank whereby Zaggle’s accounts payable software & expense management software and the Axis bank Corporate Credit Cards are bundled and jointly offered to Zaggle corporate customers to drive card spends & greater usage of the software

Zaggle & EaseMyTrip will leverage its Existing Corporate base to sell Integrated Travel & Expense Management Solutions to Corporate Clients.

Zaggle & Riya Travel will leverage its Existing & New Corporate base to sell Integrated Travel & Expense Management Solutions to Corporate Clients.

Zaggle is contracted to be a Co-brand partner with Nishi Forex who is an Authorised Dealer II for forex card to carry out activities such as Sales and Distribution, Marketing and Campaigning bundled with Zaggle expense management to drive card spends & greater usage of the software. Subject to RBI approval the product launch will be done in due course.

Strategic alliances and partnerships with PSU

Zaggle Propel itself Can hit potentially 3000cr in revenue with overall revenue may hit 5000cr by 2030. Net profit margin may remain between 4-7%. Company may see profits of 250-350cr if opportunity size is grabbed. With an Eps of 19-25 and PE of 40-60 –Future Price Range oscillates between estimated 750-1500. Getting such a business at 100-150 Rs price point could be super deal (dont know if we get that price)

Peer analysis

Operating Cash flows are not good. That needs to be monitored closely

Working capital days, Cash conversion cycle is also expanding

Business is heavily titlted towards H2 of FY

Other income will go down once cash from IPO is Utilised

Lot of investment is being done in Zoyer for product enhancement and building of Zatix, an analytics platform. If products fails to takeoff, then a good amount will be written off from assets

Increased Regulatory Compliance poses many risks for Fintech companies

High valuations in short term is another risk though runway seems long for company growth

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

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Stocks · SWOT

Smart city Proxy

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Allied Digital Services (ADSL)

Key Investment thesis –> Smart city contracts and infrastructure solutions

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Business

ADSL global IT Consulting and Services provider and Systems integrator offering infrastructure solutions and services to clients across 70 countries. It designs, develops, and deploys digital solutions and delivers end-to-end IT infrastructure services including, End user IT Support, IT asset life cycle, enterprise applications and integrated solutions

CMMi Level 3, SOC2 certified, ISO 9001, 27001 & 20000 – Highest standard for IT Service Management Tools

Customers, Global Presence and Revenue Mix

Increasing clients. Deals from big clients

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

Stable Ebitda, Pat margins. Debt to Equity under control. ROCE is on uptrend in medium term

Working capital days and cash conversion cycle have been improving

ADSL when i first published the report

ADSL NOW

Triggers

Securing new projects of Smart city

Securing of prestigious contracts, exemplified by projects like the Ayodhya Smart City and Taloja Smart City.

In February 2024, ADSL received a Letter of Intent for the Taloja Smart Industrial City Solution contract in Navi Mumbai. This groundbreaking initiative will unfold over an 18- month implementation phase, followed by a 60-month Operations and Maintenance period. The project’s scope involves establishing an Integrated Command & Control Centre (ICCC) at both the Corporation’s Head office and the Industrial Township. The ICCC software will seamlessly integrate with a Cloud-based Data Center/Disaster Recovery system. Furthermore, the project encompasses the deployment of a cutting edge CCTV-based Surveillance System to bolster security and monitoring capabilities.
In January 2024, was selected as a Master System Integrator (MSI) for the Integration of CCTV Surveillance with Existing ITMS Control Room for the Ayodhya Smart City Project. This project entails the establishment of a multi-location CCTV surveillance system. The capital expenditure (CAPEX) and implementation phase is anticipated to last three months, followed by a five-year operational and maintenance (O&M) phase.

Completed 12 smart city projects with 2 new wins.

Expecting an opportunity size of Rs. 50,000 crore in the smart city projects in the next 5 years.

Seeing traction in the smart city space with upcoming tenders.

Future Outlook,Targeting Acquisitions and exploring fields like

Eyeing opportunities in Cybersecurity and Cloud arena for potential acquisitions.

Focused on improving margins in O&M contracts and government projects.

Expecting better traction in IT business with growing interest in European and APAC markets.

Revenue Plan

Plans to reach INR1,000 crores in revenue over the next 2-3 years with a focus on improving margins

Order book outstanding at Rs. 1,600 crore, with execution period of around three years (Nov23)

Digital Desk (formerly ADiTaaS):

  • Rebranded to ‘Digital Desk’ with enhanced features in AI, conversational AI, and generative AI.
  • Seeing traction with 100+ customers globally.

Leadership Augmentation

  • Allied Digital has added Mr. Ramanan Ramanathan as “Global Head Strategy – Growth, Innovation, Partnerships” to its Senior Leadership Team. Mr. Ramanathan, a seasoned strategist and growth consultant, has advised global entities and served as the Mission Director of the Atal Innovation Mission, where he established over 10,000 Tinkering Labs and 75 incubators.
  • In his new role, he will assist the company in its expansion by identifying new market opportunities, fostering innovation, and establishing strategic partnerships. Additionally, he will identify and evaluate potential partners to enhance business capabilities and achieve strategic objectives.
  • With a distinguished career at TCS and CMC Limited, he continues to shape innovation, entrepreneurship, and sustainable development across various sectors.

8th October 24

Allied Digital awarded Pune Safe City (FY 2024) Project for Total Contract Value of Rs. 430+ Crore

Key project highlights include:
 Comprehensive surveillance: Track 1 of the project shall cover O&M of the existing cameras for a period of 6 years and Track 2 shall cover Implementation of new infrastructure over 12 months followed by 5 years of O&M.

 Advanced technology: The project will feature advanced Artificial Intelligence-enabled video analytics, an Automatic Number Plate Recognition (ANPR) system, Vehicle Over speed Detection System (VDS) a Facial Recognition System (FRS), Drones, and Mobile surveillance vans to ensure robust security and monitoring.

 Upgraded infrastructure: The Command-and-Control Center at the Commissioner of Police office and supporting Data Center will be upgraded with implementation of additional capacity and installation of advanced software leading to improved efficiency and 24×7 real time monitoring. Additional viewing facilities will be established at various police stations and key government offices

Concentration of revenue from top clients

Working capital intensive nature of operations

Highly competitive nature of IT industry

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stocks · SWOT

Emerging company in GIS and Manufacturing solutions

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Ceinsys Tech

Business

Ceinsys Tech Ltd. is engaged in providing value added Solutions for various segments into SMART CITY solutions and Software under the ITES business segment and is primarily dealing in providing Geospatial, Enterprise & Engineering Services and software products. The Geospatial engineering services and Enterprise solutions offerings encompass various aspects of geospatial intelligence, including Data Creation, Data Analytics, Decision Support Systems (DSS), Enterprise Web Solutions, and Dashboards.

Its services include GIS, Remote Sensing, LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging), Photogrammetry, Energy System and solutions, Engineering Design Services, Surveys and Customized Application Development.

The Manufacturing Solutions span the entire product development process – covering both the product engineering activities and industrial automation solutions for various verticals such as two / three-wheelers, passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and off-highway equipment.

In the FY22 Ceinsys, strategically expanded into mobility sector by acquiring Allygrow Technologies, a specialized engineering service provider with a strong international presence. This acquisition allowed Ceinsys to enhance its capabilities into manufacturing technology solutions covering the entire product development process and industrial automation for diverse sectors such as two and three wheelers, passenger cars, commercial vehicles and off highway equipment.

Its a Pure-Play GIS and MF Services Company

Employee strength –1000+ and 200+ Customers (40% business from Repeat Customers}

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Subsidiaries

CTL had two direct subsidiaries ADCC Infocom Private Limited (involved in activities like software engineering, software development, business computing, data communication and networking, image processing and remote sensing etc ) and ATPL (specialised in manufacturing engineering services) and 5 step down subsidiaries i.e. Allygrow Technologies B.V, Technology Associates Inc., Allygrow Engineering Services Pvt Ltd, Allygrow Technologies, GmbH and Allygrow Technologies Ltd., UK

Geospatial Overview

Clients in Geospatial

Manufacturing Solutions overview

Customers, Global Presence and Revenue Mix

  • The company boasts a marquee list of customers ranging from large corporates, OEMS, asset management companies and government bodies in the Geospatial and Manufacturing sectors, globally
  • Enterprise Geospatial & Engineering Services 84%, Software Products 15%
  • Geospatial Mainly Domestic 98%
  • Manufacturing Manily Exports 92%
  • It has a global presence with offices in India, the United States, United Kingdom and Germany

Applications

Smart city solutions

Spatial Data Infra

Disaster Management

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, EBITDA, PAT

Debt to equity is under control < Almost Nil

ROCE>20, ROE> 15

Pledge 14.6%

Good Sales and Net Profit Growth

Fluctuating OPM, Good NPM, Good Cash flow from operations

Triggers

Expansions and Acquisitions for future growth

ATPL has a track record of around 8 years and is a technology driven engineering service company and has its presence in US, Europe and India and specializes in Product design and Robotics automation. The company derives majority of its revenue from international market. With acquisition of ATPL, CTL is likely to derive benefits from the transaction by leveraging ATPL’s overseas network and expand its geographical presence.

The company is leveraging on India’s projected geospatial market growth which is expected to grow at CAGR of 13.5% by 2025

New Vertical

The company is also into software product development, Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning (ML) and Embedded Electronics space through a new vertical formation which focuses on product development activities related to Metaverse, EdTech, Gaming and Mobility.

Order inflows

Order book 710cr in March24

Current order book 750cr on 30th Jun24. ~550 crore is towards the geospatial and engineering services, and around +200 crore is towards the technology related solutions services. Bidding done for 200 crore of which
there are 70% of the tender pipeline we are already L1

Targeting Acquisitions and exploring fields like

Acquisition of Ally Grow Technologies facilitates entry into the mobility services sector, capitalizing on the convergence of GIS and autonomous driving technologies

Establishment of a new vertical MEG-Next which focuses on innovative product development activities related to Metaverse, EdTech, Gaming and Mobility.

Further acquisitions being planned in the Geospatial, Manufacturing and Technology domains

Aquired VTS in Jul24

Smart Water Management

The company is focused on capitalizing on substantial funding opportunities provided by government initiatives such as National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP), Jal Jeevan Mission, and Namami Gange program, with a proposed budget of approximately USD 15 Billion for water-related projects

Focused on tapping the growth avenues in smart water management and renewable energy sectors, as India’s aims to add over 340 GW of renewable capacity by 2030

Tapping Manufcaturing and EV mobility growth

  • Rapid expansion in EV ecosystem to support Manufacturing business growth
  • Company is all set to seize opportunities in the growing EV mobility market, with global ER&D spending in the automotive sector accounting for USD 125-160 billion which is growing at a CAGR of 10.6%.

Lumpy nature of Orders –Orders come in bulk and so are the payments.

The order book of CTL remain concentrated as top ten orders accounts for 75%, there-by exposing the company to concentration risk. Also, the customer base of CTL is concentrated as around 55% of Income is derived from top ten customers.

Margins Volatility is high. OPM is fluctuating a lot across years

High Number of payable days

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stock Markets · Stocks

Cigar Butt Stocks

Green Energy · Stocks

BHEL to GAIL : Electrolyser

Stocks · SWOT

Astra Microwave

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Astra Microwave

Business

Astra Microwave Products Limited (Astra) was incorporated in 1991 by a team of distinguished scientists with experience in RF/Microwave/Digital Electronics and management of projects with high technology content. Astra Microwave Products Limited, engaged in the business of design, development and manufacture of RF and Microwave Components, sub-systems and systems used in defense, space, meteorology and telecommunication

With over 30 years of experience in microwave radio frequency (RF) applications, AMPL has moved up the value chain from sub-systems to high value-added systems

Astra has 3 Automatic assembly lines for PCBA assembly, 5 class 10K cleanrooms, functional test infrastructure that extends from 30MHz up to 40GHz, in-house Environment test facilities including EMI/EMC facility and a first for any Indian Private Industry – Near Field Antenna test and measurement range.

Total workforce (as on March 31st, 2023) – 1,290

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Subsidiaries

In fiscal 2014, AMPL floated the 100% owned BEPL as a captive supplier of raw material for overseas orders. In fiscal 2015, AMPL floated the 100% owned ASPL in Singapore, as a supplier of MMIC products for semi-conductors. In fiscal 2019, AMPL set up a joint venture, Astra Rafael Comsys Pvt Ltd, with Rafael Advanced Defence Systems for production of communication systems and sub-systems for defence.

Product Portfolio
The company’s product portfolio spans across Defense, Space, Meteorology, Homeland Security and Systems Vertical

Has a diverse range of microwave products like filters, transmitters, receivers, antennas etc.

Manufacturing facilities

5 facilities in Hyderabad, Continuous investment in World Class Infrastructure for Assembly, Functional and Environment testing. Astra’s facilities are approved by several foreign companies for production

R&D Capabilities
Track record of new product development; now graduated to a SYSTEM integrator in Radar. Dedicated R&D facility at Bengaluru to manufacture radars

Strong in-house capability in the microwave radio frequency (RF) applications domain.
Executes orders through BTS (Build To Specifications) and BTP (Build To Print) route

Customers and Regions of Revenue

  • Clientele includes Indian Government Laboratories, Indian Defense
  • Public Sector Undertakings, Indian Space Research Organization
    and many foreign OEM’s

Revenue mix

Geographical spread of total revenue stands as follows: India – 60% and Exports – 40%

Applications

Defense

  • Radars
  • Electronic Warfare
  • Missile Electronics
  • Telemetry
  • Counter-Drones

Space

  • Flight Model Application
  • Ground based
    Application
  • INSAT MSS Terminals

Hydro/Meteorology

  • Water Level Measurement (Bubbler/
    Radar Sensor)
  • Automatic Weather Stations (AWS)
  • Agromet Met Stations (AMS)
  • Automatic Rain Gauge (ARG) X
    Band Doppler Weather Radar

Other areas of work

  • Antennas
  • MMIC
  • Contract Manufacturing
  • Homeland Security

Awards and Certifications

The company has various certificates such as AS9100D & BS EN ISO 9001:2015, ISO27001:2013, ISO9001:2015, ISO14001:2015, ISO45001:2018, ISO/IEC17025:2017.

Awards

LAToT Ceremony for Coastal Surveillance Radar

Excellence in Innovation, Design Technology, R&D 2021

Counter-Drone System LAToT Handing over Ceremony

Award for Excellence in Aerospace lndigenisation-2021

ELCINA EFY Award for Business Excellence

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, Loans, EBITDA,PAT etc

Debt to equity is under control < 1

ROCE, ROE> 15

Pledge 0%

Short and long term liquidity under control

Q1FY24 have been weaker than expected while Q4FY24 has been good

Opportunity Size

Various tailwinds in the defence sector are creating a wide range of opportunities for Indian firms. Company expected to hit 6000-8000cr cumulative revenue in next 5 years if TAM is correctly addressed

Triggers

Consistent order inflows

Defence spend in India has received a mega boost
Opportunities to develop and supply products which are published as negative import list by GOI
Government of India’s Atma Nirbhar Bharat initiatives

Bidding for the whole system – the complete radar system – for both DRDO and for future MoD requirements

Favorable policy initiatives like Buy (IDDM – Indigenously Designed, Developed and Manufactured),MAKE-II, MAKE-Ill

Expansions and Acquisitions for future growth

QIP has been done at 270 rs for Reducing working capital and corporate purposes

Operating margins can improve further

Focusing on domestic defense order can lead to 20% OPM in coming years.

We aim to achieve 70% Domestic 30% Export Revenue distribution over next 2-3 years. Domestic business on an average carries 40 to 45% of gross margin as against 8 to 10% gross margin in exports.

Order inflows

Orders are worth an aggregate amount Rs. 158 crores for supply of Software Defined Radio (SDR) by Astra Rafael Comsys Private Limited (Joint Venture) Company has received an order from India Meteorological Department (IMD) for Supply of C-Band Dual Polarized SSPA based Doppler Weather Radars for a total value of Rs.32.97 crores. Order is to be executed within a period of 18 months.

Orderbook as of March 2023 is Rs. 1,544 crores. This order book consists of only 24% of export orders rest 76% are domestic orders. The BTP segment is a major contributor of our export orders, which are executable in the next 24 months. The sales mix is anticipated to be skewed towards domestic, high margin business.

Orders are worth an aggregate amount order(s)/contract(s) awarded in brief; of Rs.16.8 crores for supply of Satellite sub-systems and weather data processing system from ISRO

Company has bagged orders worth Rs.158 crores for supply of Satellite sub-systems, Airborne Radar and sub-systems of Radar and EW projects, from DRDO, ISRO and DPSU’s

Order book of Rs. 1,956 Crores as on March 31, 2024, which is executable in the next 12 to 36 months period

Orders booked during the quarter ended 31st March 2024 are worth Rs. 472 Crores

Order book of Rs. 2,299 Crores as on March 31, 2024, which includes Rs. 105 Crores pertaining to service orders

Orders booked during the year ended 31st March 2024 are worth Rs. 1,636 Crores

Targeting JV and exploring fields like

Through JV or strategic alliances, offer improved technology and products.
Target the offset requirement in large defence procurement programmes of Gol.
In discussion with our JV partners to develop EO (electro-optics) product line. Bidding for the whole system – the complete radar system – for both DRDO and for future MoD requirements

Recently, we have also entered into a collaboration agreement with Teledyne e2v HiRel in order to provide semiconductor services to support the aerospace, defence, and reliability electronics markets. This agreement will pave the way for numerous new possibilities for us in the futur

Lumpy nature of domestic defence/space programs –Orders come in bulk and so are the payments.

Large working capital requirement: Gross current assets (GCAs) improved to 346 days as on March 31, 2022, from 398 days a year before, led by reduction in debtor days. GCAs are expected at around 400 days over the near to medium term with increased execution of domestic orders. The group primarily caters to domestic defence research and space establishments that usually have a long production cycle and longer working capital cycle compared with overseas orders. Though export revenue may be realised faster, it will be offset by stretch in receivables from domestic orders as domestic order execution is expected to increase in the future and thus working capital intensity would be a key monitorable. Furthermore, the group must maintain sizeable inventory to cater to all segments, as products are customised, and thus, requirements vary across segments.

Susceptibility to risks inherent in a tender-based business, and long gestation period for projects: The business depends on success in bidding for tenders invited by defence public sector undertakings and research establishments. Establishments such as the DRDO invite tenders from qualified vendors for their R&D requirement and commence bulk production on successful completion of product development. Long-term revenue visibility is primarily driven by the success of R&D projects at DRDO and the subsequent mass production of products.

Margins Volatility is high. Export vs domestic order execution changes margin profile and needs to be seen closely in coming quarters

Low Promoter holding

Cash flow from operations struggling

Disclosure –Invested. Do your own diligence before buying/selling

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stocks · SWOT

Jupiter Wagons

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Jupiter Wagons

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Business

Jupiter Wagons Limited (JWL) is a provider of comprehensive mobility solutions, with diverse offerings across Freight Wagons, Locomotives, Passenger Coaches (LHB), Braking Systems, Metro Coach, Commercial Vehicles, ISO Marine Containers, and products such as Couplers, Draft Gears, Bogies, and CMS Crossings. JWL has manufacturing facilities located in Kolkata, Jamshedpur, Indore, and Jabalpur with full backward integration to its foundry operations.

With a rich legacy over four decades, the Company has leveraged its deep technological capabilities and robust financial position to emerge as a one-stop shop for mobility solutions and reinforce its position as one of the fastest growing within the industry.

Railway Wagons

Commercial Vehicles incluising Electric Light Commercial Vehicle business (eLCV)

CMS Crossing

Brake Systems & Brake Disc

Containers including Flex Containers, Marine containers , BESS containers

  • The Group has established partnerships with leading global companies such as Tatravagonka (Slovakia), DAKO-CZ (Czech Republic), Kovis Proizvodna (Slovenia), Telleres Alegria S.A (Spain).
  • Marquee clients associated with company
  • JWL is one of India’s largest wagon manufacturers, with a capacity of 9,600 wagons per annum
  • Improving scale of operations
  • Healthy order book providing revenue visibility
  • Experienced Management and leadership team
  • 12 World-class manufacturing facilities
  • 3,000+ Workforce

Catering to industries such as Railways (Freight + Passenger), Metro Rail, Automobile, Transportation, Logistics, Construction Equipment, Municipalities, Healthcare, Energy, Mining and Infrastructure, the Company boasts a marquee client base including the Indian Railways, American Railroads, Indian Ministry of Defense, Tata Motors, GE, Volvo Eicher Motors

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, Loans, EBITDA,PAT margin, Shareholding pattern

Consistent increase in sales over last 12 qtrs barring a quarter or so
Profits have multiplies by 8x in last 2 years

Consistent Tax records

ROCE and ROE is reasonably above 20%

Promoter has skin in game, FII is increasing stake, DII stake is stable

Recent Developments and Key Triggers

Dedicated Freight corridor, Projected Wagon demand, Improving logistics share through Railways are big triggers for continuous growth of this segment

  • JWL has made a strategic entry into the global markets by signing a long-term Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with RITES Limited, a prominent PSU associated with the Indian Railways, to explore opportunities in the international market for railway rolling stock projects. JWL’s focus is on the design, manufacturing, and supply of Railway wagons.
  • The Company is focusing efforts on achieving Import Substitution, particularly in the areas of High-tech and Highend Containers. To further elevate global competitiveness, manufacturing facilities have been fully automated, enabling consistent production and maintaining world-class quality standards. The manufacturing facility is certified by both ‘LRQA’ and ‘BVQI’.
  • A new foundry is scheduled to be established in Jabalpur over the next 18 months with a capacity of 2,000 tonnes, catering to both captive use and exports. This initiative is expected to yield cost savings in freight expenses.
  • In the Marine Container Business, the outlook for specialized containers is improving as the Company has: Secured a contract for 40-foot ‘Open Top, Coil Containers’ with a pilot order worth ₹ 1,000 lakh.
  • Received a Letter of Intent (LOI) from an Indian Subsidiary of a Prestigious Global Group for the supply of 1,000 units of special Flex Inverter containers for the fiscal year 2024-25.
  • JV Company JWL DAKO CZ India Ltd. has received an order aggregating ~₹ 11,200 lakh for axle-mounted disc brake systems from Indian Railways.
  • The BESS container, a key element in Solar and Data Centre Containers, offering energy storage capabilities has a huge market opportunity in round-the-clock Renewable Energy Projects as well as Commercial Industrial Energy storage in both domestic and international markets. With Jupiter’s expertise in making containers for this application, we now are looking forward to adding more value for the same by creating complete integrated solutions for varied markets.
  • Successful Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) in May and December 2023 amounting to ~ ₹ 528cr which includes prominent investors, including DIIs like Tata MF, HSBC MF, Bandhan Equity Fund, and FII’s like Societe Generale, and Copthall Mauritius Investment Limited.
  • JWL is one of India’s largest wagon manufacturers, with a capacity of 9,600 wagons per annum with plans to enhance capacity to 12,000 wagons per annum by Q1 fiscal 2025.
  • JWL has also ventured in brake disc, brake systems for rolling stock and weldable CMS Crossing manufacturing during fiscals 2023-24 equipping JWL to capitalize on robust spendings for developing high speed train infrastructure, and to fortify its market position in this segment, in Q1 fiscal 2024 JWL has acquired Stone India Limited, having extensive infrastructure and licensing for brake manufacturing. 

Valuations

Looking at their growth currently and opportunity size in coming years, Stock is trading at fair value. Once the capacity comes online and if company executes the order well , it might look undervalued intermittently

Risks

Exposure to risks relating to fluctuation in raw material prices and intense competition: The key inputs include steel and related products. While the IR projects generally have a long execution period and are covered by a price-variation clause to a large extent, private sector orders are generally fixed in nature.

Cash flows poses a big risk due to intensive working capital operations

Valuations are subjective but definitely its not hugely undervalued in short term

Most orders are from Railways and have this dependency in business, though company is trying to diversify

If you have understood the triggers and industries it cater to + RISKS which can materialize and have patience then think of buying this company in every dip, market offers, else Ignore the stock

Stock might be volatile in short term and give a chance to buy around 425-525 range for long term investment purpose

Also Read : Savita Oil

ALSO READ : SS7 (Diwali to Diwali)

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stocks · SWOT

Savita Oil : Oiling is important

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Savita Oil

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Business

Savita Oil Technologies Limited, established in 1961, is a specialty petroleum products company engaged in manufacturing Transformer Oils, White Oils etc.

The Co manufactures products like Transformer Oils, Liquid Paraffins, White Oils, Automotive and Industrial Lubricants, Coolants and Greases, among others. These products are essentially obtained through refining base oil, and topped with additives to derive the required characteristics. A wide range of lubricants, greases, and coolants of the Co are sold to retail customers under the brand SAVSOL

The Co has a market share of ~35% in the domestic transformer oil and white oil segments.

The Co’s manufacturing facilities are situated in the state of Maharashtra and at Silvassa in the UT of Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu with total refining capacities of 450,000 kilolitres per annum. Its windmills are located at 18 sites in the states of Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka and have an installed capacity to produce 54.15 MW of wind-powered electricity

Company has 80 % domestic sales vs 20% exports

Revenue distribution 75% from petroleum and 25% from lubricating oils

Unit I – Navi Mumbai, Maharashtra
Unit II – Mahad, Maharashtra
Unit III – Kharadpada, Silvassa
Unit IV – Silli, Silvassa

  • 41 Stock points,
  • 20,000 Retailers
  • 400 Distributors
  • 1,500 Franchise Dealers

Two major segments : Petroleum Oils and Lubricating Oils

Petroleum oils : Transformer oils, White and Mineral oil, Speciality oil : ~75% sales as portion of total sales over last 2 years

  1. Transformer oils : These oils are used as an insulating and cooling medium in distribution transformers, power transformers and instrumentation transformers
  2. White oils :
  • Offer wide range of highly refined specialty mineral oil based products under the “TECHNOL” and “SAVONOL” brand.
  • They manufacture petroleum jellies like Ultima White, Snow White, Yellow Petroleum Jelly and other specific industrial grade petrolatum’s under the brand “Savogel”
  • Key properties of this fluids are good lubricity, smoothness, softness and resistance to moisture in the formulations
  • Specialized waxes and emulsions including paraffin wax emulsions, microcrystalline wax, Polyethylene wax, oxidized PE wax and a range of wax emulsions. Wax Emulsion protect coating and ink surfaces for diverse applications
  • Cable filling and flooding compounds for copper cables as well as Optic Fiber Cables under “Savofil”, “Savoflod” and “Vitagel” brand names. This compound helps moisture tolerance, softness and stability at an extreme temperature

3.Formulated & Specialty Products

  • The 5G Telecom spectrum auction held in 2022 and subsequent rollout of the network is expected to generate healthy demand for this product
  • › Growing demand from end user market
  • › Government Linked PLI Scheme
  • Key Growth Drivers
  • Optic Fibre Cables
  • Textile & Leather
  • Auto components
  • Polymers
  • Refrigeration Compressors
  • Construction Compounds

Lubricating oils : Automotive and Industrial oils

Automotive oils

  • The lubricant brand SAVSOL manufactures and markets high performance lubricants, fluids, coolants & greases and is amongst the fastest growing lubricant brand of India
  • It has a comprehensive range of automotive lubricants meeting the growing demand for sustainable products in various categories, i.e., Passenger Car Oils, Motorcycle Oils, Commercial Vehicle Oils, and Other Specialty Products
  • SAVSOL portfolio has products which successfully meets the latest & stringent BS VI emission norms for automobiles
  • Savita Oil Technologies known for its high quality lubricant manufacturing with state-of-the-art plants and technology centre has been amongst preferred supplier to automotive OEMs for a wide range of lubricant applications
  • Trusted partner for leading automotive OEMs. Some of our OEM associations are existing for over two decades
  • A fully equipped technical and quality control lab ensures high quality standards

Industrial oils

  • Savita Oil Technologies has been a trusted partner to Industrial OEMs for a wide range of lubricant application needs.
  • › It has an elaborate product portfolio under Brand “SAVSOL” catering to various Industrial applications and provides
  • excellent lubrication, performance and protection to different types of Machines and Industrial Equipment
  • The exhaustive portfolio includes wide range of Hydraulic Oils, Turbine Oils, Thermic Fluids, Heavy Duty Industrial Gear
  • Oils, Transmission Oils, Greases, Heat Treatment (Quenching Oils), Metal Working Oils and other Specialty Oils

Multi-decade relationships with many of our OEM and B2B customers across all product lines

In-house technology and R&D is the backbone of our company and has manifested many high quality products across the product portfolio.

Focus on innovation

Focus on sustainable products development

Management has almost 3 decades of experience.

Company has ISO and other necessary certifications in its field of operations

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, Loans, EBITDA,PAT margin, Shareholding pattern


Consistent record of Dividends since listing in 1994
Healthy cash generation over the years
Debt free balance sheet
Consistent track of profitability despite market volatility
Longstanding relationships with customers and vendors

Consistent Tax records

Cash conversion cycle and working capital cycle is good.

Cash flows seems good

ROCE is reasonably above 20%

Shareholding pattern

Promoter has skin in game. SBI energy fund has entered recently

ALSO READ : SS7 (Diwali to Diwali)

Recent Developments

Key triggers

Transformer oils : Rising Investments over the next decade in transmission segment to support higher generation capacity and rural electrification
Rising demand for modernization of aging grid infrastructure coupled with large scale capacity addition will boost the market

White oils : The Indian personal care industry is witnessing a boom due to changing perceptions, growing awareness, and the rise of direct-to-consumer (D2C) companies making waves in the online retail space
Growing demand of cosmetic and pharma products from urban & rural India

Product Innovation

Company is focused on building an independent distribution network for our industrial lubricants and with this now in place , they want to rapidly scale up industrial lubricant volumes

Company has created a subsidiary and moving towards plastic recycling

Savita Greentec Limited (a subsidiary of Savita Oil Technologies Limited) is expected to commence construction of Greenfield Projects in plastic recycling in theQ4Fy24

SAVSOL Bio Boost, one of India’s most biodegradable engine oils is launched

Oct23 – successfully commissioned new Synthetic Ester manufacturing plant

Commissioned new Synthetic Ester manufacturing plant at Mahad, Maharashtra with a designed capacity of 5,000 metric tons of which current operational capacity would be ~3,000 metric tonnes per annum

The new synthetic ester manufacturing plant will provide a strategic advantage to Savita by making it the first company in the world to manufacture and market all three classes of Transformer Fluids vis. Mineral Oil Based, Natural Ester Based as well as Synthetic Ester Based Transformer Fluids. The applications of these Esters are very versatile, and we will be able to leverage our existing client base to cross-sell these products while tapping new clientele. With these plant-based esters, we will have a more sustainable and environment friendly product range in the premium and synthetic categories. We plan to launch a new range of EV Coolants and immersion Cooling Fluids based on Esters from this plant. One of our products has already been approved by a reputed OEM as an EV coolant. We are also undertaking trials with another potential customer for immersion cooling.

Environment friendly products

Company have evaluated the introduction of versatile ester-based compounds (esters) in product range to enhance our diversified offerings of environmentally friendly products.
Group V Base Oils comprising Polyol, Phosphate and other Esters are the most superior performing fluids that exceed the performance of synthetic base oils on parameters of lubrication, thermal stability, oxidative stability, compatibility with most metals and sealants and biodegradable with low toxicity

Modernisation of Existing Transformers: Majority of India’s transformers and power infrastructure components are ageing and need replacement or modernisation. This drives the demand for newer, more efficient, and technologically advanced transformers.

Implementation of Smart Grid: The development of smart grids requires intelligent transformers that can handle bidirectional power flow, manage voltage fluctuations, and support grid automation. This opens avenues for technologically advanced transformers. Moreover, the demand for energy-efficient transformers that reduce transmission losses and improve overall grid efficiency is steadily expanding in India.
The transformer fluids market in India holds promising opportunities as the country strives to meet its increasing
power demands while addressing environmental concerns and adopting technological advancements.

Company is seeing a substantial increase in customer order books within the Power and Distribution Transformer sector, with their production capacity reserved for the coming 12-16 months. This heightened demand extends beyond India; the export segment to North America and other regions is also demonstrating promising growth potential. This is attributed to India’s competitive manufacturing ecosystem for transformers, well-suited to meet global requirements.

Alternative Fluids
Bio-Based
– Your Company also produces bioTransol, a natural ester-based insulating fluid designed for transformers. This groundbreaking product was originally launched by Savita Polymers Limited (earlier a wholly-owned subsidiary of your Company which is in the process of being merged into your Company), in 2015. Remarkably, it marked the first instance of an Indian company introducing such a product to the market.
With an extensive reach, bioTransol has been applied to over 300 projects, solidifying its impact. This product promotes environmental consciousness with a high proportion of biodegradability. Moreover, its safety and efficiency surpass conventional options across various equipment applications.
Your Company is actively engaged in collaborating with major national and state utility boards, as well as Original
Equipment Manufacturers (OEM) clients, to showcase the product’s merits. Not only does bioTransol offer a more
effective solution within its grade, but it also embodies environmental sustainability. In an environment where global OEMs are compelled to reduce their carbon footprint, the appeal of such products is further enhanced.
Company is confident that the adoption of Natural Ester-Based Transformer Fluids will witness substantial growth, becoming an integral component of OEM consumption.


Synthetic Based – Your Company is poised to introduce Transol Synth100, a cutting-edge synthetic ester-based
insulation fluid. This fluid represents a significant advancement in transformer fluid technology, surpassing
existing solutions across a range of parameters.
Transol Synth100 stands as the most robust transformer fluid to date. As this product comes at a higher cost compared to mineral or natural esters, Transol Synth100 finds application in highly sensitive applications such as Locomotives (Metro and Rail), Mining, and Floating Solar projects. The overall lifecycle cost of this fluid effectively offsets its initial investment which will serve as a key driving force in the gradual transition from mineral to ester fluids within the ecosystem. With the launch of Transol Synth100 in the coming financial year, your Company will achieve a remarkable milestone, emerging as the sole manufacturer of the entire spectrum of transformer fluids – Mineral, Natural, and Synthetic.

Capex 

Capacity Expansion Increasing capacity through continued investments for efficient leveraging of comprehensive and balanced product portfolio

Valuations

Reasonable valuations with PE <20. If the company shows growth in coming years as per their talk and opportunity size, this price looks undervalued

Risks

During the quarter under review, two critical components – Base Oils and the Exchange Rate have witnessed major volatility and both of these impacted us adversely. Base Oils Prices have fallen about 25% since June 2022 and the Indian rupee also depreciated significantly in the Quarter ending December, 2022. This resulted in
inventory and foreign exchange losses which have impacted our margins

Any policy changes can impact the company hard

Stock has given a breakout and volumes are supporting upmove as well

If you have understood the triggers and industries it cater to + RISKS which can materialize and have patience then think of buying this company in every dip, market offers, else Ignore the stock

Stock might be volatile in short term and give a chance to buy around 500-650 range for long term investment purpose

Also Read : ICEMAKE Refrigeration : Time to Chill

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stocks · SWOT

Inox India

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Inox India

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Business

Inox India is World’s leading provider of customized cryogenic equipment with Over 30 years of experience in design , manufacturing and installation of cryogenic equipment
Global customer base across 100+ countries
Large-scale serial manufacturing facilities at four locations in India and part manufacturing and service distribution from one location at Brazil with service distribution extending to Brazil and the Netherlands

Income in different segments and Export : Domestic Contribution

Orders in different segments and Export : Domestic Contribution

Serving Industrial Gas, LNG and Cryo Scientific Division

Working continuously towards Clean Energy initiatives in – LNG, Liquid Hydrogen & Fusion Energy

Company has done good over years , some of the things mentioned below

  • Completion of supply & installation of Cryogenic equipment’s for second launch pad project of ISRO
  • Manufacturing, installation and commissioning of COMNAVAC thermal vacuum system for ISRO1
  • Installation of mini-LNG terminal, in Scotland, UK
  • Commissioning of LNG dispensing station in Dahej & CNG cascade filling facility in Nagpur
  • MOU with a Japanese conglomerate for exploring opportunities in virtual LNG pipeline
  • Completion of manufacturing of cryolines & warmlines for ITER2
  • Awarded contract for setting up of mini-LNG terminal for Caribbean LNG Inc, West Indies
  • Manufactured and delivered an MRI cryostat for a GOI project
  • Ventured into manufacturing stainless steel kegs for varied applications including beverages
  • Produced and shipped 238 KL & 311 KL Liquid Hydrogen Tank to a South Korean customer

Company has

  • In-house technology, and engineering capabilities
  • Strong Product Development & Engineering Focus
  • Integrated Facilities in India and Service Support Internationally

Professional Management team

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, Loans, EBITDA,PAT margin, Shareholding pattern

ROCE and ROE are at reasonably good levels

Debt to Equity is almost Nil

Promoter has skin in game.

Sales, OPM, Net profit has been on rising trend continuously, OPM stable above 20%

Cash conversion cycle needs to be monitored.

Working capital days are good

ALSO READ : Pick1Pick2Pick3Pick4Pick5Pick6Pick7Pick8Pick9, Pick10, Pick11

Recent Developments

Orders received for thermal shield repair, LCNG stations, Export orders as well in Q3FY24

Order Inflow was at ₹.295 Cr, up by 7% YoY
Company recorded highest revenue in Industrial Gas division of ₹. 214 Cr
As on 9MFY24, the Order Backlog was at ₹.1,043 Cr with 50% orders from Industrial Gas, 23% orders from LNG and balance 27% orders from Cryo Scientific Division and export order comprised of 47% of the Order Backlog

Capex

Company has incurred greenfield capex at Savli plant of ₹.100 Cr, entirely funded through internal accruals

Focus on LNG and Hydrogen

Agreements

ATGL and INOXCVA enter into a mutual support agreement to strengthen LNG ecosystem in the country
Both companies will accord a preferred partner status for delivery of LNG equipment and services

Memorandum of Understanding towards collaboration for the development of technology for the design and manufacture of SuperConducting Magnet based System for clinical, industrial, defense and research applications.

Company has received Patent Rights from Patents Office, Government of India titled: “A METHOD FOR SUSPENDING INNER VESSELS OF DEW AR TYPE CONTAINER TO STORE CRYOGENIC FLUID” bearing
Patent No. 530403

Company jointly with Institute for Plasma Research has received Patent Rights from Patents Office, Government of India titled “DISPLACEMENT DECOUPLING ARRANGEMENT FOR PIPING SYSTEMS” bearing Patent No. 502670

Company has received Patent Rights from Patents Office, Government of India titled:

  1. ”A METHOD AND AN APPARATUS FOR DISPENSING LNG AS FUEL” bearing Patent No. 492614.
  2. “SLIDING SPACER AND ITS ASSEMBLY TO SUPPORT THE INTERNAL CRYOGENIC PROCESS PIPE CRYOLINE” bearing Patent No. 503868

Valuations

Company is richly valued and at price of 1356 could be Fairly overvalued as well. Due to certain moat in business it is doing, it is commanding rich valuations while Earnings Growth is only around 25%.

Risks

High Cash conversion cycle due to inherent nature of business. It needs to be monitored closely

Rich valuations. One bad quarter can lead to correction in stock prices

Exports having a significant contribution in sales. Any disruption due to escalation of ongoing conflicts like China Taiwan or Israel Palestine, Iran can cause temporary issues

Exposure to intense competition in international markets: 

The  company operates in the capital goods sector, which is cyclical in nature and susceptible to international policies governing end-user industries, such as oil and gas and industrial gases. 

Survived well in last one month market correction and Recently made new highs. ANy correction towards 1250 zone, I would be tempted to add to my Position

If you have understood the triggers and industries it cater to + RISKS which can materialize and have patience then think of buying this company in every dip, market offers, else Ignore the stock

Also Read : ICEMAKE Refrigeration : Time to Chill

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

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Positional Stocks · Stock Markets · Stocks

Positional Stocks 17-Mar-24

Market took away updated SL and we did not lose anything on the positions. Following process saved us

No positions as of now. From January to March we have gradually reduced from 8 to 6 to 4 to 3 positions and did not add new ones. It really helped in this fall from Positional portfolio perspective

Long term trend · Stocks

Terminal Capacity

Stocks

Cost of energy

Cost of energy
INOX wind
Stocks · SWOT

Transportation Solutions

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

AVG logistics

Also Read Pick1Pick2Pick3Pick4Pick5Pick6Pick7, Pick8, Pick9

Business

AVG Logistics Ltd, incorporated in 2010, provides road transportation services, warehousing facilities and Railway transportation to various domestic and multinational companies.  AVG Logistics provides customized and technology-driven solutions across transportation, warehousing, distribution, and supply chain management. Furthermore, the Company also offers Third-Party Logistics Services (3PL), effectively complementing its wide range of logistics solutions. Company mission is to offer an integrated Multimodal network of Logistics
solutions across varied industries

Transportation: Express Delivery, Refrigerated Transportation, Freight Forwarding, etc
Warehousing: Manpower Handling, Packaging, Multi-User Warehouse facility, etc
Value-Added Services like custom clearance, E2E solution, Multimodal transportation, Reverse logistics, etc.
The Co. also undertakes transportation services to Nepal, Bangladesh and Bhutan

AVGL had the agreement of 1 – 3 years with all its major customers and the agreement includes the escalation clause based on the 5% change in the diesel cost

Fleet Size
The Co as of 31st December 2023 has a fleet size of more than 3000+ vehicles, including hired & owned dry/reefer vehicles. Owned vehicle fleet is approx 500+

Network
The Co has a pan India presence with 50+branches and 7 zonal offices.

Company caters to 6 rail routes and can deliver 1 to 40 tons of logistics

9 trans-shipment hubs for LTL services, 1 owned fleet maintenance hub
~7,.05L sq. ft. of warehousing footprint pan India ( 81,000+ sq. ft. Owned and 6.24L leased Warehousing Space). Further expansion happening

Company has certain moats/advantages wrt new entrants in terms of

  • 3 decades of promoter experience
  • End to end solution provider
  • Multimodal transport
  • Distribution network is strong pan India
  • Client relationships with dedicated warehouses for Nestle, HUL and Mother dairy
  • Reverse logistics
  • Tech-enabled fleet with GPRS systems
  • and Asset light model of fleet
  • Company also offers Rail logistics
  • Also offers Cold chain logistics
  • Versatile Solutions For Efficient Storage & Operations (caters to liquid, container, Agri, FMCG, chemicals)

It offers a range of rail logistics services to its customers, including Full rack and piece meal transportation, container movement, and terminal management across all CONCOR ICDs. This is very important in bigger scheme of things in coming years

Cold chain logistics is the segment to watch out for in coming decade

Company has a clear focus on Tech Initiatives regarding its operations. Company keeps on finding Disruptive & Innovative Customised Solutions. Zero Residual Food Grade Tanker is one of the solutions. Curtain Multi-door Truck is another solution

Clients

Reputed clientele in diverse sectors like FMCG, Chemicals, Power, Electrical, automotive like Nestle, Mother Dairy, ITC Ltd, Coca-Cola etc

Well recognized by clients and external agencies in terms of awards and recognition

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, Loans, EBITDA, PAT margin, SHP

Similarly ROCE and ROE are decent.

Debt to Equity is high and needs to be closely monitored

Cash conversion cycle is stable and Working capital days are also stable

Shareholding pattern

Promoter has skin in game. FII adding, DII selling. Publicdomain have few strong holdings as well but overall public holdings have increased

ALSO READ : SS7 (Diwali to Diwali)

Recent Developments in last 1.5 years

Tie up with railways :Signed 6 tenders worth ₹510 cr with Indian Railways for 6 leased parcel trains.

They also got 150 crore contract from Indian Railways for operations of Leased Parcel Express Train. This special train, connecting Bangalore to Ludhiana (Punjab), will complete one round trip every week over the next 6 years, totaling 313 trips. The Express Service will cover the distance in ~72 hours ensuring expeditious, seamless connectivity between the important locations. Ludhiana is an invaluable addition to our railway network, opening doors to a gigantic textile market -largest hosiery manufacturing, cotton textiles, cycle manufacturing amongst others

QSR clients :Started servicing QSR clients

Expanding the cold chain and parcel division. Company is acquiring 50+ fleet of cold chain vehicles to enhance its cold chain capabilities

Also is Upcoming 50,000 sq. ft. Owned Warehousing Space In Agartala

JV : Joint Ventured with Sunil Transport for liquid logistics.

EV Fleet : They are planning to introduce electric vehicles in their fleet in the future.

Company also recently had a collaboration with Blue Energy Motors (BEM), India’s only LNG truck manufacturers. This represents a significant leap towards a more sustainable and eco-friendly future in the transportation industry. This landmark collaboration is formalized through a strategic Transportation as a Service (TAAS) Agreement, wherein AVG Logistics and BEM join forces to integrate LNG-powered vehicles. The collaboration underscores a shared commitment to advancing sustainable transportation practices and fostering a greener future.

Backward integration for last mile : Incorporated a Wholly owned subsidiary named ‘Galaxy Packers and Movers’

They have onboarded Gazal Kalra, co-founder of Rivigo, as a strategic advisor to guide them on sustainability and technology. She also Subscribed to Warrants at 371 Rs

Company has also raised funds at 371 Rs/Share through

  • ISSUE OF CONVERTIBLE WARRANTS ON PREFERENTIAL BASIS TO PERSONS BELONGING TO PROMOTER CATEGORY
  • ISSUE OF CONVERTIBLE WARRANTS ON PREFERENTIAL BASIS TO PERSONS BELONGING TO NON-PROMOTER CATEGORY
  • ISSUE OF EQUITY SHARES ON PREFERENTIAL BASIS TO NON-PROMOTERS

Govt Initiatives to Improve Infrastructure aid Logistics growth : India aims to reduce logistics cost from 13% – 14% of GDP to 8% – 10% of GDP. It is estimated that a 10% reduction in indirect logistics cost will result in 5% to 8% rise in exports. GOI to undertake multiple logistics specific initiatives, such as GatiShakti, National Logistics Policy and others. These programs aim to streamline India’s logistics sector by making it more green, agile, transparent and integrated.

Valuations

Expected sales projections for FY25 is ~700cr and with PAT margin of ~7-8.5%, we get PAT of 50-60 cr. So stock price may move towards 700-900 by 31Mar25. There could be volatility in stock which can be used for accumulation

Risks

High Debt to Equity Ratio. This needs to be monitored very closely

New warehouse opening and its utilization

Renewal of contracts with customers on favourable terms needs to be watched out

High capital working requirements remain a risk.

High competitive industry

Stock has been consolidating between 400-460

Technical chart on 16 Mar24

If you have understood the triggers and industries it cater to + RISKS which can materialize and have patience then think of buying this company in every dip, market offers, else Ignore the stock

Stock might be volatile in short term and give a chance to buy for long term investment purpose

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.

Stocks · SWOT

Capex is the key

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

Kilburn Engineering

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Business

Kilburn Engineering Limited is primarily engaged in designing, manufacturing and commissioning customized equipment / systems for critical applications in several industrial sectors viz. Chemical including Soda Ash, Carbon Black, Steel, Nuclear Power, Petrochemical and Food Processing etc.

Company has cutting-edge manufacturing facility for fabrication, machining, and assembly of equipment located in Thane, Maharashtra (India). Manufacturing plant spans an area of 30,960 square meters and is equipped with state-of-the-art technology and machinery.

Company operates in two segments viz. Process Equipment and Tea Drying Equipment

Food Processing Equipment -During FY23 Company had bagged a total of 103 orders in the domestic market and 5 from overseas Market
for tea dryers

40+ Years of rich experience with 3,000+ Installations globally done
200+ Workforce and 15+ Sectors catered by products and solutions

Kind of Equipment’s & system’s orders got by company

  • Silos for storage of PTA.
  • Metal extraction plant for extraction of exotic material from refinery spent catalyst.
  • Dryer, cooler, Granulator and Coater for fertilisers.
  • Calciner package for API (Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients) industry.
  • Hydrogen Fluoride Reactor package (Rotary Kiln)
  • Rotary Dryers
  • VFBD for wet clay
  • Tea Dryers and others

In the wake of increasing concerns about environmental degradation, our Paddle dryers have emerged as a sustainable solution for drying sludge. These advanced dryers play a vital role in states where strict pollution norms have been enforced, making it imperative for industries to adopt ecofriendly practices. By efficiently removing moisture from sludge, these dryers significantly reduce the volume of waste generated, thereby minimizing the environmental footprint of industrial processes

Sewage treatment — The market size for water and wastewater management in India was 216.03 billion in 2022. By 2027, it is anticipated to grow to518.15 billion, with a projected CAGR of 15.95% during the period 2023-2027.

On similar note, many other industries catered by Kilburn are expected to grow at 5-14% CAGR till 2030 and further

Eextensive and sophisticated R&D facility that are equipped with a full range of pilot plant dryers,
including

  • Paddle Dryers
  • Vacuum Paddle Dryers
  • Band Dryers
  • Fluid Bed Dryers,
  • Vibrating Fluid Bed Dryers

Company has good manufacturing capabilities and order book of 236cr in hand at 31st Dec23.

Order received in Q3FY24 94cr. Executed 73cr

Continuous order inflow in Q4FY24 as well

Order Enquiries –> Approx 100cr

Clients

Reputed clientele lik ACC, JSW , Reliance, Arvind, PCBL, Fnolex, Granules, Coromandel, SRF, LnT and many other renowned names

Professional Management team

Fundamental Ratios, Cash, Loans, EBITDA,PAT margin, Shareholding pattern

Similarly ROCE and ROE are at reasonably good levels

Debt to Equity is under control

Sales, OPM, Net profit has been on rising trend continuously

Cash conversion cycle needs to be monitored.

Working capital days are good and have been improving

Shareholding pattern

Promoter has skin in game. One of the old promoters has been selling and other has been buying. Now its settled and Publicdomain have few strong holdings as well.

ALSO READ : SS7 (Diwali to Diwali)

Recent Developments

Promoter buying from open market

Promoter has been buying from open market continuously. Good buying happened between 270-310 zone

Last buy around 320

Acquisition of ME energy 

This acquisition will help the company to grow faster

Company has put an estimated target of 500cr revenue by FY25 as ME energy has a 118cr pending order book

Capex

Expecting small capex of 15-20 cr till Dec25

Valuations

Expected Cumulative sales projections for FY25 is ~500cr (considering orders and Acquisition) and with PAT margin of ~12% after merger, we get PAT of 60 cr. So stock price may move towards 500 by 31Mar25. There could be volatility in stock which can be used for accumulation

Risks

Chequered history of non-payment of loans and subsequent new promoters on board.

Due to the non-payment of its loan obligations to RBL Bank Limited (RBL) starting in March 2020, KEL underwent debt restructuring in FY21. The resolution plan (RP) sanctioned by RBL in accordance with the Reserve Bank of India’s criteria was accepted by the company board on March 4, 2021, and it was put into effect on March 31, 2021. As per the RP, the outstanding principal loan of Rs 95 crores and interest of Rs 9 crores due to RBL up to 31 March 2021 was to be restructured. As part of the debt restructuring, Rs 65 crores of sustainable debt was converted into long- term loans with a 12.5 year payback period at an annual interest rate of 9%, Rs 13.5 crores in equity shares were allocated to RBL, and Rs 25.5 crores in 0.01% cumulative redeemable preference shares (CRPS) were also allocated to RBL.

Chemical companies are facing challenge to make sales. Their capex plan may be delayed further leading to slow flow of order to companies like Kilburn

Economy impact because of possible US recession might delay things by a year or more

High capital working requirements remain a risk.

Delay in Acquisition of ME energy. This is major risk in short term

Stock has been consolidating between 260-290 for almost few months and given a breakout recently and then got good results as well

Technicals on 31-Mar-24

Survived well in last one month market correction

If you have understood the triggers and industries it cater to + RISKS which can materialize and have patience then think of buying this company in every dip, market offers, else Ignore the stock

Stock might be volatile in short term and give a chance to buy around 270-340 range for long term investment purpose

Also Read : ICEMAKE Refrigeration : Time to Chill

Disclaimer – Analysis is NOT a BUY/SELL/HOLD Recommendation. It can be used for educational purposes. There can be lot of things which have been missed in analysis either due to lack of information or oversight etc.. Do your own diligence & contact your expert financial adviser before making any investment decision.

In case you have any questions/ queries, please feel free to reach me through Contact Form

Do spread the word among your peers, family members or anyone who can benefit from this blog and asked them to subscribe. But be selfish and take care of yourself first by subscribing before they do.

Enjoy the day and your life. Don’t forget, we are alone in this grand universe and may not get a chance to live again.